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Little Laos relishes its big moment

For the first time, Laos will host the Southeast Asian Games, with the 25th edition of the 11-country sporting fest taking place next month. The tiny landlocked country has had to rely on massive foreign aid - notably from China - to stage the event, arousing considerable scorn in some circles. Yet, the enduring theme of Laos' history has been its engagement with and dependence on foreign powers. For Laos, this is a glorious coming-out for the one-party state.
- Simon Creak (Nov 4, '09)

Russia, India and China go their ways

Despite its best efforts, Russia failed at a recent trilateral summit to get India and China to agree to a common regional initiative regarding Afghanistan. This failure ensures that the United States can now press ahead with its own strategy of striking grand bargains individually with these key players. - M K Bhadrakumar (Nov 4, '09)

Iraqis divide ahead of elections
Any hopes that sectarianism was on the way out in Iraq died with the massive August 19 and October 25 terror attacks in Baghdad. Sects and communities are once again divided, and the coalitions that have been formed to contest January's elections are a clear reflection of these poisoned waters. - Sami Moubayed (Nov 4, '09)

US frets over Tokyo drift
The United States-Japan alliance remains a cornerstone of US security in the Pacific, but Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama's pledges to create more independence for Japan and a viable East Asian community have led to uncertainty in Washington. Domestically, Hatoyama faces a delicate balancing act as he attempts to satisfy the demands of the public, pacifist coalition members, and an ever-more assertive Japanese military. - Peter J Brown (Nov 4, '09)

Who will be the last frog in the well?
After centuries of Sinocentrism behind the Great Wall and secretive imperial politics within the Forbidden City, China's opening up and thirst for a greater understanding of the foreign world has sparked a global Chinese renaissance in engineering, computing and the classical arts. Should the West not try and dispel its suspicions over this model of modernization, it runs a real risk of being left behind. - David Gosset (Nov 4, '09)

Obama's world outreach teetering
Just months after well-received speeches in Turkey and Egypt, setbacks from Afghanistan to the West Bank to Pakistan, Iraq and Iran have seen belief plunge in the Muslim world over United States President Barack Obama and his plans for progress. With this, anti-US sentiment is back on the rise. - Jim Lobe (Nov 4, '09)

INTERVIEW
Ex-hostage 'sick and tired' of rhetoric
Bruce Laingen, a former United States diplomat among those held hostage in Tehran for 444 days, agrees that the US and Iran should find a basis for a new relationship. But first Iran needs to end its anti-American tirades, he says. - Golnaz Esfandiari (Nov 4, '09)



China's Three Gorges Dam comes of age
Fifteen years since work began and at a cost of between US$8 billion to $27 billion, the water level in the reservoir behind the Three Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River will soon reach its final height of 175 meters. Officials, though, aren't celebrating too loudly: as China searches for new forms of renewable energy, the dam has become a monument to obsolete ambitions. (Nov 3, '09)

The polling booths are finally closed
The Independent Election Commission in Afghanistan has vigorously defended its decision to hand President Hamid Karzai a second five-year term following the withdrawal of his challenger, Abdullah Abdullah. At the same time, the commission makes it clear the matter is not up for debate - it's time to move on, like it or not. - Derek Henry Flood (Nov 3, '09)

DISPATCHES FROM AMERICA
Afghanistan as a bailout state
In Washington's terms, the disaster unfolding daily in Afghanistan is not the definition of failure. In economic lingo, it now falls into the category of "too big to fail", which means upping the ante; America's leaders always opt for more in counter-insurgency disasters rather than cutting their losses. - Tom Engelhardt (Nov 3, '09)

Fighting the 'good' war
Afghanistan is not Washington's "good war", though it is now characterized in that fashion not only by the Republican right wing but by President Barack Obama and many Democrats who were critical of the "Bush" Iraq war. - Jack A Smith (Nov 3, '09)

Drugs, guns and war in Myanmar
Insurgent groups in the north of Myanmar have begun flooding the region with cheap narcotics to boost revenues as part of a concerted weapons build-up. An illicit trade that for years benefited the military leadership may now help fund a re-ignited civil conflict that has the potential to spill over and rattle relations with close ally Beijing. - Brian McCartan (Nov 3, '09)

Refugees turn their backs on Iraq
Since Iraq descended into a living nightmare in 2003, about 1.4 million refugees have streamed over the border into Syria - particularly in the wake of escalating sectarian attacks. It's tough going in the adopted country, especially for Christians such as Leila Johana, but she is not going back to Iraq. - Stephen Starr (Nov 3, '09)

New heights for Singapore property
Singapore's property market, buffeted as the city-state felt the full brunt of the global financial crisis, is rebounding so strongly that home sales are setting records and potential buyers are leaving blank checks with agents to secure new apartments in new projects. - Megawati Wijaya (Nov 3, '09)

China electrifies urban transit
Chinese companies such as Zhengzhou Yutong Bus and Anhui Ankai Automobile China, at present little known outside their home country, are seeking to lead the world in making public buses fit for a health-conscious world. In their favor is a vast and growing urban population - and a government determined to clean up China's megacities. - Ryan Rutkowski (Nov 3, '09)

THE BEAR'S LAIR
Bernanke learns from the wrong crash
United States Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, noted as a specialist on the 1929 market crash and the Great Depression, would be better off looking at other financial disasters over the centuries for lessons more pertinent to the present crisis. - Martin Hutchinson (Nov 3, '09)

US goofs the Afghan election
Presidential candidate Abdullah Abdullah's withdrawal from a runoff that he had scant chance of winning ends what had become a mere sideshow to more significant events unfolding in Kabul. President Hamid Karzai can now firmly take center stage. He has turned the tables on Western powers that would have seen him vilified and overthrown, and, if the rift worsens, he could yet blow the lid on an explosive issue: the role of foreign troops in the narcotics trade. - M K Bhadrakumar (Nov 2, '09)

Al-Qaeda has plans for its new recruit
With the recent appointment of Ilyas Kashmiri as head of its military committee, al-Qaeda has recruited a veteran who learned his trade on the battlefields of Afghanistan and during the insurgency against India in disputed Kashmir. Ilyas also took with him his elite 313 Brigade, which al-Qaeda claims it now wants to unleash. A foiled plot in Denmark could be a prelude. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Nov 2, '09)

SPENGLER
The idiot twins of
American idealism

It is mad to believe, as the George W Bush administration did, that the United States can remake the world in its own image. It is even madder to turn foreign policy into an affirmative action program for disadvantaged or dying cultures. In such lean times, Washington's "realists" do not seem focused on what should be a core interest, fostering viable partners for the future and jettisoning those that are beyond viability. - Spengler (Nov 2, '09)

Sechin divides the Black Sea
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin appears to have overturned the long-term strategic perspective on how the country should use the Black Sea as an energy transit route. Out goes Bulgaria as a terminal and key partner; in comes Turkey with a much-enhanced role - with all waters muddied by claim and counter-claim. - John Helmer (Nov 2, '09)

Chinese general enters US military core
Ahead of United States President Barack Obama's first official visit to Beijing, China's second-highest officer became the first People's Liberation Army member to visit US Strategic Command headquarters. Both sides are sending the right signals in pursuit of strengthening military-to-military ties; beneath the surface, improved relations do not appear an urgent priority. - Peter J Brown (Nov 2, '09)

Sikhs take stock of 1984
In October 1984, the assassination of prime minister Indira Gandhi led to the massacre of thousands of Sikhs. India now has a Sikh premier and ruling Congress party leaders say they have won the hearts of the Sikh community. But not all Sikhs are appeased; they are still waiting for justice. - Sudha Ramachandran (Nov 2, '09)

NATO forces turn to warlords
Afghan warlords are earning millions of dollars from North Atlantic Treaty Organization forces to guard forward operating bases and supply convoys. Their ruthless private armies are reviled by much of the public, and are likely to turn their rifles on NATO forces should the protection money dry up. - Gareth Porter (Oct 30, '09)

Doubles, toil and trouble in Pyongyang
North Korean leader Kim Jong-il's sprightly appearance in a spate of public showings since he reportedly suffered a stroke, including meetings with China's Premier Wen Jiabao and former United States president Bill Clinton, has re-ignited rumors there is a troupe of look-alike Dear Leader actors. - Donald Kirk (Oct 30, '09)

AN ATOL INVESTIGATION
Deep inside Indonesia's kill zone
Indonesia's Detachment 88 counter-terrorism teams are seen by some critics as too willing to kill suspects and so do away with the need for long trials of suspected jihadis. Yet the training of these crisis response teams, and their weaponry, is in many ways inadequate for confronting at close quarters suicidal and well-armed opponents. - John McBeth (Oct 30, '09)

<IT WORLD>
Microsoft reliable as ever
Microsoft has maintained its reputation for delivering fierce headaches along with its new software offerings. Many would-be users of Windows 7 are discovering that the company's new operating system fails to install satisfactorily and their computers then refuse to restore the old system.
Martin J Young surveys the week's developments in computing, science, gaming and gizmos. (Oct 30, '09)

Ill winds over Iran's nuclear draft
The contents of Iran's response to a fuel-for-fuel draft proposal from the International Atomic Energy Agency for Tehran's low-enriched uranium have not been officially disclosed. Already, though, both inside Iran and in the United States, the initiative is under attack. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Oct 30, '09

CHAN AKYA
Time to go Dutch
The ruling by the European Union Commissioner for Competition that Dutch bank ING Groep should sell its insurance unit and US banking arm demonstrates that the Europeans, unlike their US counterparts, are taking the right route regarding stewardship of the global financial system. (Oct 30, '09)

SINOGRAPH
China no longer
a law unto itself

China and the West, in particular ancient Rome and Greece, followed markedly different routes on the way to developing the legal systems in use today. The West was notably influenced by the needs of merchants and the market place for equitable regulation, while China saw this as a threat to central power. As China steps onto the international stage, it will have to reconcile such differences. - Francesco Sisci (Oct 22, '09)

Helicopter rumors refuse to die
The United States is battling yet another rumor in Afghanistan, that Western forces are using helicopters to transport Taliban fighters from the volatile south to the north of the country. Officials have dismissed the claims as rubbish, but locals are sticking to their stories. - Ahmad Kawoosh (Oct 28, '09)

Taliban take over Afghan province
Following the withdrawal of United States troops from key bases, the Taliban have taken control of Afghanistan's Nuristan province. It is now under Qari Ziaur Rahman, a Taliban commander with strong ties to Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda. With this haven, the Taliban's first goal is to disrupt next month's runoff presidential election, then to assist militants in Pakistan. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 28, '09)

SUN WUKONG
Insurers denied run of property
The Chinese government's decision to allow insurance companies to invest some of their near US$500 billion in holdings directly in real estate has property developers keenly anticipating a new inflow of cash. Yet the red tape with which Beijing is tying up the reform should be sufficient to ensure no quick bucks - or sharp losses - for anyone. - Wu Zhong (Oct 26, '09)
David P Goldman
(Nov 3, '09)
Citigroup was a sick-puppy-in-a-poke. I knew what evil lurked in its back book ...



China hints at move
to rein in growth

China's decision to increase the number of funds that invest domestic savings in overseas markets may be a prelude to a tighter monetary policy as the country's recovering economy surges towards double-digit growth. - Olivia Chung

Jaipur blaze challenges
India's oil priorities

A week-long fatal oil inferno close to the famed Indian "Pink City" of Jaipur, soon after a similar blaze in Puerto Rico, has raised concerns about placing oil depots close to population centers and local authorities' failure to limit residential and other developments in their proximity. The priorities of Indian Oil Corp's management are also being challenged. - Raja Murthy

Power shift
The vast amounts given to banks since the global financial crisis broke have not altered the deflationary forces of contracting credit in the US economy. If business continues to slow amid record government deficits, doubts legitimately grow over the safety of US debt - and raise the possibility of even greater expansion of the International Monetary Fund's political and financial clout. - Doug Wakefield with Ben Hill

Bernankeism - the art
of spreading starvation

Ben Bernanke, from well before he was appointed United States Federal Reserve chairman, guided the US and global economies increasingly towards a world in which speculators profited and the masses went hungry. Worse is still to come. - Hossein Askari and Noureddine Krichene

FROM THE BLOG
Overexposed Citi
If you want to own Citi, wait. The stock will become cheaper. It has more exposure to consumer credit card debt than any of its peers and will continue to waste away for several quarters. - David Goldman




CREDIT BUBBLE BULLETIN
The newest abnormal
It's as if there's a contest to coin a catchy phrase that will gain popular acceptance - and persuade the public that everything in the garden is rosy, or at least heading that way. Now we have the "new normal" - a misnomer for what is, in fact, the "new abnormal" of unrelenting monetary disorder.
Doug Noland looks at the previous week's events each Monday. (Nov 2, '09)

MARKET RAP
No silver lining
An end-of-week revival in prices put a positive sheen on recent trading that might survive for a few more days. The longer prospect is for more or less generalized declines.
R M Cutler runs his eye over the ups and downs in the week's markets. (Oct 30, '09)





"Chan [Akya], re your latest offering, Time to go Dutch: ... If the Europeans can do it, why can't the Americans?" - MonsoonWind

"[I]t appears that in the case of America, the banks ARE the government ... lacking a backbone or at least specific understanding of the banking system, the US government (represented by Bernanke, Geithner et al) needs the 'approval' of the banks to effect any reforms. ..." - Chan Akya

"[I]n Europe, (1) ideology plays a far smaller role than in US, specifically 'social concerns' and 'regulation' are not dirty words in European business/political worlds; (2) debate/decision making defers to the intellectual elites, whereas in the US, debate/decision defers to infotainment talk shows which [are] really puppet shows run by 'power elites' ..." - ding73ding

From Our Mailbox
[Re Afghanistan as a bailout state, November 3] Tom Engelhardt tells it like it is. It was United States politicians and the US military that made the mess in Afghanistan and Pakistan, and now they are pouring in more to make the "Big Muddy" bigger and deeper. Why is it that we elect such stupid people?
Campaign Manager
   Go to Letters to the Editor



1. China's Three Gorges Dam comes of age

2. The idiot twins of American idealism

3. Afghanistan as a bailout state

4. Drugs, guns and war in Myanmar

5. Fighting the 'good' war

6. Bernanke learns from the wrong crash

7. China electrifies urban transit

8. New heights for Singapore property

9. Refugees turn their backs on Iraq

10. US goofs the Afghan election

(24 hours to 11:59pm ET, Nov 3, 2009)

Pick of the month Oct 2009
SPENGLER

Obama's permanent depression




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