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AN ATol EXCLUSIVE
Al-Qaeda's guerrilla chief lays out strategy
 
The top field commander of al-Qaeda, in an exclusive interview with Asia Times
Online, proves he is alive and well after repeated drone attacks and delineates
in broad strokes al-Qaeda's strategy. The Afghanistan trap, baited on September
11, 2001, has been sprung, says formidable guerrilla leader Ilyas Kashmiri, and
events from Gaza to Mumbai should not be seen in isolation but as part of the
master plan to bloody the United States and its proxies. - Syed Saleem Shahzad
(Oct 14, '09)
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Hawks still link
Taliban to al-Qaeda
The relationship between Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda network and the Taliban has
been a central issue in White House discussions on Afghanistan strategy that
began last month, with security officials insisting that Afghan insurgent
groups have "much closer ties to al-Qaeda now than they did before 9/11". - Gareth
Porter (Oct 14, '09)
Obama beset by America's far right
Neo-conservative heavyweights are working overtime to paint United States
President Barack Obama's foreign policy as designed to weaken and constrain
American power by abandoning the more aggressive policies of his predecessor,
George W Bush. The Nobel committee's decision to honor Obama, they say, only
hastens America's decline. - Jim
Lobe (Oct 14,
'09)
Omaha greets an unusual visitor from
China
People's Liberation Army Colonel Yao Yunzhu is frequently invited to
international conferences because she is one of only a handful of military
researchers in China who speaks English well. But what was she doing at the
United States base near Omaha, Nebraska, which oversees all aspects of US
nuclear warfighting? - Peter J Brown (Oct 14,
'09)
SINOGRAPH
Asia steels for
challenges ahead
All of Asia has witnessed the United States battered and mired in Iraq and
Afghanistan, and buffeted by financial crisis. As the world's largest economy
takes stock, trends in Asia could take new directions and countries in the
region might decide it is more practical and efficient to sort out their
problems by themselves. - Francesco Sisci (Oct
14, '09)
Benchmarks prove elusive in Iran
talks
Russia has politely yet firmly rebuffed United States Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton's bid to secure Russian support for tougher sanctions on Iran
if talks on its nuclear program fail. This will please those in the
administration of President Barack Obama who prefer dialogue to threats. The
administration, though, does not speak with one voice. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi
(Oct 14, '09)
Turkey won't play with Israel
Israel believes Turkey's cancellation of joint war games is linked to lingering
anger in Ankara over Israel's offensive on Hamas in the Gaza Strip, while
Turkey is trying to downplay what is clearly a blip in one of the region's most
strategic - and unlikely - relationships. (Oct 14,
'09)

Kerry-Lugar bill a Catch-22 for
Pakistan
Conditions attached in the United States Congress to the Kerry-Lugar bill -
which grants Pakistan US$1.5 billion annually over the next five years - have
rubbed some in Islamabad the wrong way. Leading voices berate the bill as
turning Pakistan into an American neo-colony. The dilemma is whether to align
with the US to combat militancy, or take a principled stand in support of a
weak democracy. - Zahid U Kramet (Oct 13,
'09)
Arab world befuddled by Obama's
Nobel
The news that United States President Barack Obama had won the 2009 Nobel Peace
Prize ripped through the Arab world, launching a vociferous debate in the
media, on the streets and in the upper echelons of power. Many snapped that a
Nobel is not granted for good intentions, but others insist his predecessor
George W Bush was so bad, all Obama had to do to win was show up. - Sami
Moubayed (Oct 13, '09)
Sinking feeling in the
Philippines
The tropical storm-induced flooding that has killed at least
700 people in Manila and nearby provinces points to years of government failure
in urban planning and disaster-management preparedness. Philippine President
Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo's limp response has pulled her popularity ratings down
even further, and may sink her anointed successor in next year's polls. - Joel D
Adriano (Oct 13, '09)
SPEAKING FREELY
Debating the dragon-bear duet
Are current Sino-Russian bilateral relations the beginning of a new,
multi-polar world order? Or is Beijing pulling Moscow into a new form of
resource patron-clientism in which the former holds the upper hand? While the
skeptics have plenty of evidence to show that Russia is being short-changed by
China, there are mutual regional and global benefits to this partnership. - Anna
Konopatskaya (Oct 13, '09)
North Korea begins 'Plan C'
As part of a "Plan C", Pyongyang is willing to start acting as a responsible
nuclear power, stop transferring sensitive technology abroad and even help the
Barack Obama administration's goal of global nuclear disarmament, according to
its unofficial spokesman. All it will take is complete US recognition of the
North's nuclear power status, a peace treaty and the establishment of full
diplomatic ties. - Kim Myong Chol (Oct 13,
'09)
China's rockers too pampered for politics
Unlike trailblazers from the 1990s, who sung fiery political anthems and faced
harsh censorship, young rock bands in today's China are indifferent to
politics, with introspection, veganism and day jobs more common than angst.
These children of the urban elite know they should be rebelling against
something, but their lifestyles are just too comfortable to risk. - Alice Liu
(Oct 13, '09)
CREDIT BUBBLE BULLETIN
Dollar dilemma
Continued weakness in the US dollar is being met by calls for Washington to
implement a true strong-dollar policy, such as by increasing interest rates or
trimming the country's federal deficit. Yet, such restraint is just not going
to happen. Rather, central banks will be pressured to buy a lot more dollars.
(Oct 13, '09)
Doug Noland looks at the previous week's events each Monday.
THE BEAR'S LAIR
When money is worthless
The increasing attraction to hedge funds of physical commodities as an
investment rather than commodity futures raises the specter of supply
shortages, severe disruptions to industries, and worse. - Martin Hutchinson
Pakistan warns India to 'back
off'
New Delhi has the capacity to play a decisive role in crushing the Taliban
insurgency, which is what makes the Pakistani military establishment extremely
anxious in the developing political scenario on the Afghan chessboard. When the
Taliban struck the Indian embassy in Kabul on Thursday, killing 17 people, the
timing may have been coincidence, maybe not. - M K Bhadrakumar
(Oct 9, '09)
Gaza report seals Abbas' political
fate
The United Nations report on the 2008-2009 Gaza
War wasn't
well received by the United States or Israel, which call it one-sided. What was
more unexpected was an about-face by President Mahmud Abbas' Palestinian
National Authority to seek deferral of a UN debate on the findings. The news
has ripped through the Arab world, destroying any remaining credibility he had.
- Sami Moubayed (Oct 9, '09)
INTERVIEW
Hizbut Tahrir's view on Lebanese
politics
The trans-national and pan-Islamic party Hizbut Tahrir was founded in 1953 in
Palestine to re-establish the Islamic Caliphate that collapsed in 1924. Since
then the party has spread all over the Muslim world and is now estimated to
have hundreds of thousands of members. Osman Bakhach, deputy chairman of Hizbut
Tahrir's Executive Committee, explains why the idea of Muslim unity may be
unstoppable. - Mahan Abedin (Oct 9, '09)
IAEA's not-so-secret satellite game
Iran's decision to reject a protocol enabling the International Atomic Energy
Agency to conduct spot inspections of its nuclear sites means enforcing
safeguard agreements will become more risky and more satellite-driven. Israel's
desire to engage India's space-based surveillance assets is also likely to
intensify. - Peter J Brown (Oct 9, '09)
Beijing hires a media guru
As part of its modernization efforts, the Chinese Communist Party has recruited
a once-famed news anchor as its top media advisor. A lot has changed since the
crisis was met with silence and falsehoods. The party has perhaps realized that
being an international player involves demonstrating some transparency. - Cristian
Segura (Oct 9, '09)
Kabul 2009: War of the Worlds redux
Sometimes it takes 66 pages
to tell the story of a foreign invasion - as in the case of Afghan War
commander General Stanley McChrystal's recent report to the United States
Congress. Sometimes a century old novel can do the trick. H G Wells' 1898
sci-fi classic The War of the Worlds, old as it is, offers a rare
example of how Afghans may see the high-tech American war machine. - Tom
Engelhardt (Oct 9, '09)
BOOK REVIEW
Short-changing China's century
The Empire of Lies by Guy Sorman
This book penetrates the interior of China, touching on areas too-often
overlooked, such as poverty, human rights, and archaic governance. But it fails
to note how far the nation has come this century, its pulse of progress in
developing regions and subtle changes in leadership, and the analysis suffers
as a result. - Benjamin Shobert (Oct 9, '09)
Dollar exit for oil trade?
A further shadow has been cast over the future of the US dollar on reports that
Arab oil producers and customers including China and Japan may
soon use other means of settling their huge fuel accounts. - F William Engdahl
(Oct 8, '09)
Heads or tails, Obama loses
Proponents in the United States of an increased counter-insurgency (COIN) in
Afghanistan want more troops. Those favoring a focus on counter-terrorism want
to maintain force levels while stepping up special operations. President Barack
Obama will be damned whichever option he chooses; perhaps he'd best flip a
coin. - Jim Lobe (Oct 8, '09)
INTERVIEW
The 'perfect' quake this way comes
The 7.9-magnitude earthquake that struck the west coast of Sumatra island on
September 30 and killed more than 1,000 people was nothing compared to the
mammoth quake scientists predict for the area in the relatively near future.
The geological deck is stacked against the region, explains Sumatran tectonics
expert Richard Briggs, and local government apathy isn't helping. - Charles
McDermid (Oct 8, '09)
THE ROVING EYE
Stuck in Kabul, with Saigon blues
again
What is now being performed for Washington galleries is the dance of the
generals by Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Mike Mullen, National
Security Adviser retired General Jim Jones and top man in Afghanistan General
Stanley McChrystal. The Pentagon and its experts argue the US should
"Afghanize" the war - but the staggering financial black hole is just getting
bigger as the US slouches towards "Chaos-istan". - Pepe Escobar
(Oct 7, '09)
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David P
Goldman
(Oct 8, '09)
Are we due for a repeat of [Paul Volcker's rate] tightening? Not a chance.
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China's
rich throw lifeline to the West
Western makers of luxury products are enjoying a sales boom in China, as the
number of rich Chinese continues to grow while the rest of the world struggles
amid the continuing downturn. - Olivia Chung
Turkmen workers in rare revolt
Progress on a
US$7.3 billion pipeline being built to carry gas
from Turkmenistan to China, and due to be in
operation this year, was delayed when Turkmen
workers downed tools amid demands for better
pay. Nearly 200 workers were arrested after
clashes with better-paid Chinese
fellow-workers.
Gold's true standard bearers
As the price of gold soars, its rise is accompanied by a constant drumbeat
hammered out on and around United States talk-show programs to persuade
over-anxious, middle-aged Americans to buy Keynes' "barbarous yellow relic". - Julian
Delasantellis
Great expectations
The mixed reaction to Barack Obama being awarded the Nobel Peace Prize is not
surprising, given the hopes of what he may achieve and doubt over what he has
done so far. To justify the confidence the award shows in him, the United
States president could begin by addressing the global financial system, global
policy on climate change, and global peace, through one simple unifying theme:
energy. - Chris Cook
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"... Obama will not tolerate the US running away [from Afghanistan] as some
fools perennially and lamely champion. ..." - Robster
"... Afghanistan is a lost cause! Negotiating with the Taliban for the sake of
a dignified withdrawal is not "running away", just a prudent acknowledgement of
reality. As long as the Taliban agree to sever all ties with al-Qaeda and all
other terrorist groups, why not concede Afghanistan to them?" - MonsoonWind
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From Our Mailbox
[Re Arab world
befuddled by Obama's prize, October 13] United States President Barack
Obama can put political pressure on the Israelis, but as long as the Israel
lobby rules the US, the present, the past and future president of the US is,
was, and will be helpless in bringing peace between Israelis and Palestinians. Saqib
Khan
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Go
to Letters to the Editor |
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ATol Specials
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By Syed Saleem Shahzad
(Jan '09) |
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VIDEO
Taliban's new breed of leader
(May '08) |
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The
Gates
Inheritance
By
Roger Morris
(June '07) |
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Syed Saleem Shahzad reports on
the Afghan war from the Taliban side
(Dec '06)
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How
Hezbollah defeated Israel
By
Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
(Oct '06)
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Mark
Perry and
Alastair Crooke
talk to the 'terrorists'
(Mar '06)
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China:
The
Impossible
Revolution
By
Francesco Sisci
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The Coming
Trade War
By Henry C K Liu
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A series
by Henry C K Liu
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Sinoroving
Pepe Escobar in China
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Money, Power
and
Modern Art
A series by Henry C K Liu
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Andre Gunder Frank on Uncle Sam and his
shrinking dollar
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By Pepe Escobar with
photographs by Kevin Nortz
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Nir Rosen goes inside the Iraqi
resistance
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Nir Rosen rides with the US 3rd
Armored Cavalry in western Iraq
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All material on this
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permission.
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(Holdings), Ltd.
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