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AN ATol EXCLUSIVE
Al-Qaeda's guerrilla chief lays out strategy

The top field commander of al-Qaeda, in an exclusive interview with Asia Times Online, proves he is alive and well after repeated drone attacks and delineates in broad strokes al-Qaeda's strategy. The Afghanistan trap, baited on September 11, 2001, has been sprung, says formidable guerrilla leader Ilyas Kashmiri, and events from Gaza to Mumbai should not be seen in isolation but as part of the master plan to bloody the United States and its proxies. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 14, '09)

Hawks still link Taliban to al-Qaeda
The relationship between Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda network and the Taliban has been a central issue in White House discussions on Afghanistan strategy that began last month, with security officials insisting that Afghan insurgent groups have "much closer ties to al-Qaeda now than they did before 9/11". - Gareth Porter (Oct 14, '09)

Obama beset by America's far right
Neo-conservative heavyweights are working overtime to paint United States President Barack Obama's foreign policy as designed to weaken and constrain American power by abandoning the more aggressive policies of his predecessor, George W Bush. The Nobel committee's decision to honor Obama, they say, only hastens America's decline. - Jim Lobe (Oct 14, '09)



Omaha greets an unusual visitor from China
People's Liberation Army Colonel Yao Yunzhu is frequently invited to international conferences because she is one of only a handful of military researchers in China who speaks English well. But what was she doing at the United States base near Omaha, Nebraska, which oversees all aspects of US nuclear warfighting? - Peter J Brown (Oct 14, '09)

SINOGRAPH
Asia steels for
challenges ahead

All of Asia has witnessed the United States battered and mired in Iraq and Afghanistan, and buffeted by financial crisis. As the world's largest economy takes stock, trends in Asia could take new directions and countries in the region might decide it is more practical and efficient to sort out their problems by themselves. - Francesco Sisci (Oct 14, '09)

Benchmarks prove elusive in Iran talks
Russia has politely yet firmly rebuffed United States Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's bid to secure Russian support for tougher sanctions on Iran if talks on its nuclear program fail. This will please those in the administration of President Barack Obama who prefer dialogue to threats. The administration, though, does not speak with one voice. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Oct 14, '09)

Turkey won't play with Israel
Israel believes Turkey's cancellation of joint war games is linked to lingering anger in Ankara over Israel's offensive on Hamas in the Gaza Strip, while Turkey is trying to downplay what is clearly a blip in one of the region's most strategic - and unlikely - relationships. (Oct 14, '09)



Kerry-Lugar bill a Catch-22 for Pakistan
Conditions attached in the United States Congress to the Kerry-Lugar bill - which grants Pakistan US$1.5 billion annually over the next five years - have rubbed some in Islamabad the wrong way. Leading voices berate the bill as turning Pakistan into an American neo-colony. The dilemma is whether to align with the US to combat militancy, or take a principled stand in support of a weak democracy. - Zahid U Kramet (Oct 13, '09)

Arab world befuddled by Obama's Nobel
The news that United States President Barack Obama had won the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize ripped through the Arab world, launching a vociferous debate in the media, on the streets and in the upper echelons of power. Many snapped that a Nobel is not granted for good intentions, but others insist his predecessor George W Bush was so bad, all Obama had to do to win was show up. - Sami Moubayed (Oct 13, '09)

Sinking feeling in the Philippines 
The tropical storm-induced flooding that has killed at least 700 people in Manila and nearby provinces points to years of government failure in urban planning and disaster-management preparedness. Philippine President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo's limp response has pulled her popularity ratings down even further, and may sink her anointed successor in next year's polls. - Joel D Adriano (Oct 13, '09)

SPEAKING FREELY
Debating the dragon-bear duet
Are current Sino-Russian bilateral relations the beginning of a new, multi-polar world order? Or is Beijing pulling Moscow into a new form of resource patron-clientism in which the former holds the upper hand? While the skeptics have plenty of evidence to show that Russia is being short-changed by China, there are mutual regional and global benefits to this partnership. - Anna Konopatskaya (Oct 13, '09)

North Korea begins 'Plan C'
As part of a "Plan C", Pyongyang is willing to start acting as a responsible nuclear power, stop transferring sensitive technology abroad and even help the Barack Obama administration's goal of global nuclear disarmament, according to its unofficial spokesman. All it will take is complete US recognition of the North's nuclear power status, a peace treaty and the establishment of full diplomatic ties. - Kim Myong Chol (Oct 13, '09)


China's rockers too pampered for politics
Unlike trailblazers from the 1990s, who sung fiery political anthems and faced harsh censorship, young rock bands in today's China are indifferent to politics, with introspection, veganism and day jobs more common than angst. These children of the urban elite know they should be rebelling against something, but their lifestyles are just too comfortable to risk. - Alice Liu (Oct 13, '09)

CREDIT BUBBLE BULLETIN
Dollar dilemma
Continued weakness in the US dollar is being met by calls for Washington to implement a true strong-dollar policy, such as by increasing interest rates or trimming the country's federal deficit. Yet, such restraint is just not going to happen. Rather, central banks will be pressured to buy a lot more dollars. (Oct 13, '09)
Doug Noland looks at the previous week's events each Monday.

THE BEAR'S LAIR
When money is worthless
The increasing attraction to hedge funds of physical commodities as an investment rather than commodity futures raises the specter of supply shortages, severe disruptions to industries, and worse. - Martin Hutchinson

Pakistan warns India to 'back off'
New Delhi has the capacity to play a decisive role in crushing the Taliban insurgency, which is what makes the Pakistani military establishment extremely anxious in the developing political scenario on the Afghan chessboard. When the Taliban struck the Indian embassy in Kabul on Thursday, killing 17 people, the timing may have been coincidence, maybe not. - M K Bhadrakumar (Oct 9, '09)

Gaza report seals Abbas' political fate
The United Nations report on the 2008-2009 Gaza
War wasn't well received by the United States or Israel, which call it one-sided. What was more unexpected was an about-face by President Mahmud Abbas' Palestinian National Authority to seek deferral of a UN debate on the findings. The news has ripped through the Arab world, destroying any remaining credibility he had. - Sami Moubayed (Oct 9, '09)

INTERVIEW

Hizbut Tahrir's view on Lebanese politics
The trans-national and pan-Islamic party Hizbut Tahrir was founded in 1953 in Palestine to re-establish the Islamic Caliphate that collapsed in 1924. Since then the party has spread all over the Muslim world and is now estimated to have hundreds of thousands of members. Osman Bakhach, deputy chairman of Hizbut Tahrir's Executive Committee, explains why the idea of Muslim unity may be unstoppable. - Mahan Abedin (Oct 9, '09)

IAEA's not-so-secret satellite game
Iran's decision to reject a protocol enabling the International Atomic Energy Agency to conduct spot inspections of its nuclear sites means enforcing safeguard agreements will become more risky and more satellite-driven. Israel's desire to engage India's space-based surveillance assets is also likely to intensify. - Peter J Brown (Oct 9, '09)

Beijing hires a media guru
As part of its modernization efforts, the Chinese Communist Party has recruited a once-famed news anchor as its top media advisor. A lot has changed since the crisis was met with silence and falsehoods. The party has perhaps realized that being an international player involves demonstrating some transparency. - Cristian Segura (Oct 9, '09)

Kabul 2009: War of the Worlds redux
Sometimes it takes 66 pages to tell the story of a foreign invasion - as in the case of Afghan War commander General Stanley McChrystal's recent report to the United States Congress. Sometimes a century old novel can do the trick. H G Wells' 1898 sci-fi classic The War of the Worlds, old as it is, offers a rare example of how Afghans may see the high-tech American war machine. - Tom Engelhardt (Oct 9, '09)

BOOK REVIEW
Short-changing China's century
The Empire of Lies by Guy Sorman
This book penetrates the interior of China, touching on areas too-often overlooked, such as poverty, human rights, and archaic governance. But it fails to note how far the nation has come this century, its pulse of progress in developing regions and subtle changes in leadership, and the analysis suffers as a result. - Benjamin Shobert (Oct 9, '09)

Dollar exit for oil trade?
A further shadow has been cast over the future of the US dollar on reports that Arab oil producers and customers including China and Japan may
soon use other means of settling their huge fuel accounts. - F William Engdahl (Oct 8, '09)

Heads or tails, Obama loses
Proponents in the United States of an increased counter-insurgency (COIN) in Afghanistan want more troops. Those favoring a focus on counter-terrorism want to maintain force levels while stepping up special operations. President Barack Obama will be damned whichever option he chooses; perhaps he'd best flip a coin. - Jim Lobe (Oct 8, '09)

INTERVIEW
The 'perfect' quake this way comes

The 7.9-magnitude earthquake that struck the west coast of Sumatra island on September 30 and killed more than 1,000 people was nothing compared to the mammoth quake scientists predict for the area in the relatively near future. The geological deck is stacked against the region, explains Sumatran tectonics expert Richard Briggs, and local government apathy isn't helping. - Charles McDermid (Oct 8, '09)

THE ROVING EYE
Stuck in Kabul, with Saigon blues again
What is now being performed for Washington galleries is the dance of the generals by Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Mike Mullen, National Security Adviser retired General Jim Jones and top man in Afghanistan General Stanley McChrystal. The Pentagon and its experts argue the US should "Afghanize" the war - but the staggering financial black hole is just getting bigger as the US slouches towards "Chaos-istan". - Pepe Escobar (Oct 7, '09)






David P Goldman
(Oct 8, '09)
Are we due for a repeat of [Paul Volcker's rate] tightening? Not a chance.



China's rich throw lifeline to the West
Western makers of luxury products are enjoying a sales boom in China, as the number of rich Chinese continues to grow while the rest of the world struggles amid the continuing downturn. - Olivia Chung

Turkmen workers in rare revolt
Progress on a US$7.3 billion pipeline being built to carry gas from Turkmenistan to China, and due to be in operation this year, was delayed when Turkmen workers downed tools amid demands for better pay. Nearly 200 workers were arrested after clashes with better-paid Chinese fellow-workers.

Gold's true standard bearers
As the price of gold soars, its rise is accompanied by a constant drumbeat hammered out on and around United States talk-show programs to persuade over-anxious, middle-aged Americans to buy Keynes' "barbarous yellow relic". - Julian Delasantellis

Great expectations
The mixed reaction to Barack Obama being awarded the Nobel Peace Prize is not surprising, given the hopes of what he may achieve and doubt over what he has done so far. To justify the confidence the award shows in him, the United States president could begin by addressing the global financial system, global policy on climate change, and global peace, through one simple unifying theme: energy. - Chris Cook



 





"... Obama will not tolerate the US running away [from Afghanistan] as some fools perennially and lamely champion. ..." - Robster

"... Afghanistan is a lost cause! Negotiating with the Taliban for the sake of a dignified withdrawal is not "running away", just a prudent acknowledgement of reality. As long as the Taliban agree to sever all ties with al-Qaeda and all other terrorist groups, why not concede Afghanistan to them?" - MonsoonWind

From Our Mailbox
[Re Arab world befuddled by Obama's prize, October 13] United States President Barack Obama can put political pressure on the Israelis, but as long as the Israel lobby rules the US, the present, the past and future president of the US is, was, and will be helpless in bringing peace between Israelis and Palestinians. Saqib Khan 
   Go to Letters to the Editor



1. Arab world befuddled by Obama's Nobel

2. When money is worthless 

3. Kerry-Lugar bill a Catch-22 for Pakistan

4. Tough guys don't need to dance

5. Debating the dragon-bear duet

6. Duty call trips Russia steel game

7. Dollar dilemma

8. North Korea begins 'Plan C'

9. Sinking feeling in the Philippines

10. China's rockers too pampered for politics

(24 hours to 11:59pm ET, Oct 13, 2009)

Pick of the month Sep 2009
THE ROVING EYE

Fifty questions on 9/11
More questions on 9/11




ATol Specials


  By Syed Saleem Shahzad
(Jan '09)

  VIDEO
Taliban's new breed of leader
(May '08)

The Gates
Inheritance
By
Roger Morris
 
(June '07)



Syed Saleem Shahzad reports on the Afghan war from the Taliban side
(Dec '06)

How Hezbollah defeated Israel
By
Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
(Oct '06)

Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
talk to the 'terrorists'
(Mar '06)

China: The
Impossible
Revolution

By
Francesco Sisci 

The Coming
Trade War


By Henry C K Liu

A series
by Henry C K Liu
 

Sinoroving

Pepe Escobar in China

Money, Power
and
Modern Art


A series by Henry C K Liu

Andre Gunder Frank on Uncle Sam and his shrinking dollar


By Pepe Escobar with photographs by Kevin Nortz

   Nir Rosen goes inside the Iraqi resistance

Nir Rosen rides with the US 3rd Armored Cavalry in western Iraq



 
 


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