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    Southeast Asia
     Aug 13, 2010
PAL on strike path
By Al Labita

MANILA - Philippine Airlines (PAL), Asia's oldest commercial carrier, faces disruption as hundreds of flight attendants and stewards prepare to strike on the heels of an abrupt exodus of 25 pilots in protest against the airline's alleged anti-labor policies.

The planned strike, which could cripple the country's loss-making flag carrier, follows on the collapse of negotiations this week between labor and management and despite the government's mediation efforts on President Benigno Aquino's instructions.

Aquino had issued statements berating both PAL management and labor for "disrupting" air travel that will have an adverse impact on tourism and trade. He reminded PAL that it incurred

 

obligations to the public when it secured the franchise from the government to operate.

"There has been disruption to our tourism efforts and to other aspects of the economy. If this management and labor conflict is not resolved, they will lay themselves open to appropriate charges," Aquino said.

The looming unrest, the likes of which have plagued PAL for years, has raised questions about whether majority owner Lucio Tan, known locally as "Kapitan" (Captain), will bail out his corporate flagship from its labor and financial woes. The tycoon also owns the Philippines' fourth-largest bank following the merger of the previously government-owned Philippine National Bank and Allied Bank. Both banks have extensive operations in China.

Tan, whose business empire spans beer, tobacco, hotel, banking and related ventures, was listed last year by US magazine Forbes as the Philippines' second richest person, with a net worth of US$1.7 billion - up $200 million from 2008.

Senior aides say Tan is not inclined to spare more money for PAL after recent financial losses. He has preferred instead to allow in new investors, diluting his 85% majority stake. The government holds about 5% of the airline, while individual investors account for the remaining shares. Aquino had ruled out a government takeover of PAL, saying the state was also in financial difficulties. But, officials say, the government is keeping its options open.

PAL president Jaime Bautista confirmed that talks with prospective investors had taken place, but refused to name who he had spoken with. However, they are known to include foreign investment banks, apparently fronting for those keen to acquire PAL from Tan.

Two airlines - Cathay Pacific and United Arab Airlines - are reportedly among those on PAL's list of suitors. Market rumors also linked Hong Kong-based First Pacific Co Ltd and Manila conglomerate San Miguel Corp (SMC) to the list of potential buyers.

Awash with cash, First Pacific and SMC have recently competed to acquire financially ailing firms, the latest of which was Meralco, the crown jewel of the Philippines' power industry. Analysts suggest another possible buyer is John Gokongwei, whose conglomerate JG Summit Holdings runs Cebu Pacific, PAL's major local competitor.

"Mr Gokongwei has been on the lookout for new investments and PAL may just be the right opportunity for him," said an analyst who tracks airline stocks.

Market talk of a possible entry of new investors has sparked a rise in PAL's share price - from a low of three pesos to a recent high of 5.40 pesos. The stock is currently trading around four pesos per share.

To entice new investors, PAL hopes to weather adverse conditions in the travel industry worldwide, worsened by the continued rise in fuel costs. In addition, the airline has to reckon with the cut-throat competition posed by domestic and foreign carriers.

PAL's passenger and cargo traffic, including flights to 33 cities, seven of them under joint service/code share arrangements with other international carriers in 17 countries, slumped after the recent downgrade of the country's aviation safety rating to Category II by the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).

The FAA's downgrade, which prompted the European Union to blacklist Philippine carriers on safety concerns, prevents PAL from using its new long-range aircraft or increasing flights to the United States. There are similar concerns about the airline's lack of pilots trained to fly its Airbus A320s and other wide-bodied jets, say analysts.

However, talks with potential investors are centered on how they can help PAL's depressed financial situation. The company sustained over $350 million in losses during the past two fiscal years. Any capital infusion may be via equity or debt, or a combination of both, analysts say.

Under the constitution, foreign equity in a public utility such as PAL is limited to 40%; Filipino investors must own the remaining 60%. In its latest disclosure to the Securities and Exchange Commission, PAL cited the lingering effects of the global financial crunch as the reason for its weak revenues, forcing it to cut costs by downsizing personnel.

Founded in 1941, PAL has 38 aircraft and flies to 46 domestic and international destinations. It has incurred losses in the past few years because of rising fuel costs and low passenger loads. It reported a $14.3 million loss for its fiscal year ending last March, narrowing from a $297.8 million loss a year earlier.

"Capacity cuts by global airlines did not match the decline in passenger traffic, thus exerting pressure on yields," PAL said in a statement. "Lower fares also contributed to the reduction of PAL's revenues to US$1.36 billion compared to US$1.6 billion the year before."

With the entry of new airlines like Cebu Pacific, PAL's market share of domestic air travel shrunk to 41% of the total 14.7 million passengers in 2009. PAL controlled almost 100% of the domestic market before the entry of Cebu Pacific in 1996.

"Investors are looking for profitability, growth and competency. Aside from being profitable, there should be growth. We also should ..... have the capability to compete with other airlines," Bautista said.

He said PAL needed to pursue its restructuring plan, which calls for the spinoff of in-flight catering, airport and ground handling services and reservations. This will entail the firing of an estimated 3,500 of PAL's 7,500 workforce to reduce costs and losses.

Manpower accounts for 18% of PAL's total expenses, a percentage PAL says it wants to reduce to the single-digit level. The PAL Employees Association and some militant labor groups oppose the proposed retrenchments, threatening to ground the airline in protest.

"PAL's claim of losses is highly questionable, given the increase in Lucio Tan's net worth to US$1.7 billion," noted Kilusang Mayo Uno (May 1 Movement) chairman Elmer Labog. "We don't buy the lie that PAL is incurring losses, as its owner Lucio Tan has just firmed up his position as the second wealthiest man in the country today," he said.

Al Labita is a Manila-based journalist.

(Copyright 2010 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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