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    Southeast Asia
     May 7, 2010
Call to open Myanmar's books
By Brian McCartan

BANGKOK - A new international campaign aims to encourage oil and gas giants Total and Chevron to reveal the extent of payments they have made to the Myanmar government over the past 18 years. New oil and gas pipelines are slated to come online in the next few years and rights groups allege Myanmar's oil and gas industry serves to prop up the rights-abusing military regime.

EarthRights International (ERI), a Washington DC-based human-rights and environmental organization, announced the campaign at a press conference in Bangkok on April 27. A statement for the campaign was signed by more than 160 labor unions, investment firms, academics, non-government organizations and policy makers, including former Irish president and head of the United Nations Human Rights Commission, Mary Robinson, as well as

 

former Norwegian prime minister Kjell Magne Bondevik.

The statement calls for France-based Total, Chevron of the United States, and Thai state oil company Petroleum Authority of Thailand Exploration and Production (PTTEP), to reveal the amounts paid to the junta in fees, taxes, royalties and benefits since the start of the Yadana Gas project in 1992. EarthRights says transparency of these payments would set a good example for other oil and gas companies now working in Myanmar.

Total, in response to a report by ERI in September 2009, disclosed in October 2009 that its portion of the Yadana gas project had generated US$254 million for the junta in 2008. Economists say this data will be important for the policies, including taxation, interest rates and exchange rate management, of the government that comes into power after the elections that are expected to be held this year.

Total, Chevron and PTTEP are part of a consortium, together with Myanmar state gas firm Myanmar Oil and Gas Enterprise (MOGE), in the Yadana gas field in the Andaman sea as well as a gas pipeline that feeds two power plants that provide electricity to Bangkok. Total signed an initial profit-sharing contract with MOGE in 1992 and remains the primary shareholder. Chevron became involved when it bought UNOCAL in 2005. Sales of gas from the pipeline to PTT Public Company Ltd, Thailand's state-owned oil and gas company, began in 2000.

The project came in for criticism over well-documented human-rights abuses in the area directly related to construction of the pipeline between 1996-1999 and ongoing security measures maintained along its route. A lawsuit brought against UNOCAL in the United States by villagers from the pipeline area was settled for an undisclosed sum in 2005.

Despite this, Total and Chevron - which inherited UNOCAL's liabilities in the merger - deny responsibility for the negative impacts of the project, including human-rights abuses. They have even made claims that rights abuses have been eradicated in the project area, statements that ERI and other human-rights groups contest.

The Yadana field is the military regime's single-largest revenue earner. ERI estimates the field earned $1.7 billion in 2008, of which an estimated $1.02 billion went directly to the regime. The group believes that from 2000, when gas sales began, through 2008, the junta earned a total of $7.58 billion in revenues.

Fast cash flows
Another field in the Andaman Sea, the Yetagun, is run by Malaysia's Petronas, Thai Nippon Steel, PTTEP and MOGE. Petronas took over the stake of a British energy company that pulled out of the project under pressure in 2002 and is now its largest shareholder. A natural gas pipeline from the field joins with the Yadana pipeline at the Thai border. According to ERI's research, the amount of revenue earned from the Yetagun project is only slightly less than that generated by the Yadana project.

Another much more ambitious oil and gas pipeline project in western Myanmar is projected to at least double these annual earnings. The Shwe Gas project encompasses natural gas extraction from a field off the coast of Arakan Division and a 2,806-kilometer pipeline that will run the length of Myanmar to Kunming in southwestern China and onto Nanning, the capital of Guangxi province.

The consortium involves Daewoo International and Korean Gas of South Korea, Oil and Gas Corporation (ONCG-Videsh) and Gas Authority of India Ltd (GAIL) and MOGE. Hyundai Heavy Industries of South Korea was contracted by Daewoo in February to construct related offshore and onshore gas production facilities.
China's state-run China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) secured its place as the sole buyer of the Shwe natural gas reserves in 2008. In June 2009, Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping and Myanmar deputy leader Vice Senior General Maung Aye signed a memorandum of understanding for the development, operation and management of the pipeline, which will have a capacity to transport 12 billion cubic meters of natural gas annually.

Conservative estimates indicate that Myanmar's government will earn $1 billion per year from the pipeline over the next 30 years, with the first gas transfers expected to begin in 2013. This is in addition to the $2.5 billion to $3 billion already paid to the regime for bonuses and contract exploration rights related to the project.

Supplementing the project is the construction of a deep-sea port and crude oil storage facilities on Maday Island, near the town of Kyaukpyu, on the Arakan coast. The port will allow Chinese oil tankers to unload at the facility and pump the oil through a 771-kilometer pipeline being built alongside the natural gas pipeline to Kunming.

The oil pipeline will have the capacity to transport 22 million tonnes of crude oil annually. The port and pipeline will also allow China to avoid sending oil, by some estimates over 80% of its fuel shipments, from the Middle East and Africa through the pirate-infested and easily blocked Malacca Strait. While the port and storage facilities are scheduled to be completed this year, the pipeline is not expected to be up and running until 2013.

Blacklisted bosses
Contracts for the construction of the port facilities and some of the pipeline infrastructure have been given to Asia World and IGE. Asia World is owned by Steven Law, also known as Tun Myint Hlaing, the son of alleged drug trafficker Lo Hsing Han. Both Law and his father have been on a US visa blacklist since 1996 for suspected drug trafficking and their company is on the US Treasury Department's sanctions list for their financial connections to the regime.

IGE, which is registered in Singapore, is owned by the sons of Myanmar Minister of Industry-1, Aung Thaung. The company is on a European Union sanctions list against junta members and their associated businesses. Aung Thaung and his sons are barred from entering the European Union and Australia under the sanctions.

The dual pipeline project has come under criticism from rights groups. They claim the deal has contributed to increased militarization along the pipeline route, land confiscation and forced labor. A Myanmar army offensive against the Kokang ethnic group along the border with China last year may have also been connected to the pipeline project. Both the military government in the Myanmar capital in Naypyidaw and officials in Beijing are keen to make sure that continued tensions between the junta and ethnic groups along the border do not cause security problems for the pipeline.

Although India will not receive any of the Shwe Gas field's output, it is still interested in Myanmar's offshore oil and gas potential. In February, the Indian government authorized ONCG Videsh and GAIL to move forward with their stakes in the gas pipeline to China. It also authorized a reported $1 billion investment by the companies in continued development of offshore gas fields operated by Daewoo.

Rights groups claim the profits earned by the junta from the Yadana and Yetagun gas projects already provide the means for the regime to ignore international criticism and purchase more weapons and equipment for its military. They claim the $3 billion earned annually from oil and gas projects would be better spent to improve the country's abysmally underfunded health and education sectors.

The generals have been criticized for under-reporting their earnings from the gas projects, which are believed to make up over 60% of national income. Instead of accurately including gas revenues in its national budget, the cash received is recorded at the 30-year-old fixed exchange rate of six kyat to the dollar; the current black market rate is over 1,000 kyat to the greenback.

In a September 2009 report entitled "Total Impact", ERI claimed that the funds not recorded went into offshore accounts at two banks in Singapore - the Overseas Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and the DBS Group. Both banks have officially denied the accusation.

Although oil and gas revenues fell last year due to a decline in global prices, the revenues were still significant. A MOGE representative told the ASEAN Council on Petroleum at a trade fair in November that Myanmar expected to double its output of natural gas in the next 10 years, largely from the Shwe project.

Economist Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel laureate for economics and former World Bank head, suggested to Myanmar's leaders in a rare seminar with a foreign expert in December 2009 that oil and gas revenues could, if used wisely, open up a new era for the impoverished country. Sean Turnell, an Australian expert on Myanmar's economy, has suggested that oil and gas revenues could be used to shore up other parts of the economy, including initiatives that establish credit systems for farmers. So far this foreign advice has fallen on deaf ears.

Oil and gas prices and revenues are a contentious issue in Myanmar. Rapidly rising fuel prices were one of the chief factors that sparked the anti-government street demonstrations in 2007 that later became known around the world as the Buddhist monk-led "Saffron" revolution. As part of a recent move to privatize many of the junta's business holdings, tycoon and junta favorite Tay Za has moved to secure contracts for state-run gas stations, a move that has apparently provoked anger in some Yangon business circles.

The government announced in February it would sell 256 gas stations to private companies. Tay Za, who is the chairman of the recently formed Fuel Oil Importers and Distributors Association (FOIDA) and already has the contract to operate state-run stations in northern Myanmar, is well placed to buy the stations. The vice chairman of the FOIDA is Aung Thet Mann, son of junta number three and armed forces joint chief of staff General Thura Shwe Mann.

It is unlikely however that the privatizations will extend to the state-owned MOGE and it remains unclear how the oil and gas operations will be operated under the new government that will take over after elections late this year. Analysts believe it is unlikely that the generals would allow a new minister to drastically alter the current revenue arrangements. This will be a problem for any new regime as it bids to manage more effectively - and hopefully transparently - the economy.

Brian McCartan is a Bangkok-based freelance journalist. He may be reached at brianpm@comcast.net.

(Copyright 2010 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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