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    Southeast Asia
     Aug 9, 2008
Page 2 of 2
Laura Bush's Myanmar crusade
By Brian McCartan

representative of the Karen Human Rights Group, the situation has remained intolerable for Karen villagers across the border in Myanmar. The First Lady toured the camp with her daughter, Barbara, and bid farewell to a group of Karen about to be resettled in the US.

In the early afternoon, she travelled back to Mae Sot to visit the Mae Tao Clinic run by Dr Cynthia Maung, an ethnic Karen who fled Myanmar in the wake of the crackdown on the 1988 pro-democracy uprising. Known as Dr Cynthia, she has run the clinic on the Thai-Myanmar border for almost 20 years. In 2007, she won the prestigious Magsaysay Award for community leadership and her name has been mentioned as a possible Nobel Peace

 

Prize nominee. The clinic treats around 50,000 migrants, refugees, villagers and wounded soldiers from Myanmar every year.

Mrs Bush spent about an hour at the clinic meeting with Dr Cynthia and touring the facility, including a workshop that makes artificial legs for landmine victims. Participants in the clinic meeting said the First Lady asked questions about the damage caused by Cyclone Nargis and the continuing political, education and health situation in the country. She also said she would encourage the Thai government to provide more support for health, education and refugees.

During a brief press conference at the clinic, Mrs Bush said, "The best solution would be if [Myanmar leader] General Than Shwe's regime would start real dialogue." She went on to say, "We urge the Chinese to do what other countries have done, to sanction, to put a financial squeeze on the Burmese generals."

China has used its veto power in the UN Security Council to block American and European moves to censure the regime, including in the wake of the cyclone disaster.

Therein lies the diplomatic rub. Analysts note that while American support has been strong and Mrs Bush's statements of moral support have generally been well received by the Myanmar exile community, without real action the prospects for regime change in Myanmar are dim. American influence in Myanmar is severely limited and without the support of China and India, American threats fall flat.

Investments by China, India, and even US-ally South Korea provide huge financial support to the regime that allows it to act without fear of US sanctions. Chinese military might and Myanmar's perceived status of lying within China's sphere of interest precludes any US threats of military action.

Critics say that Mrs Bush's visit was merely symbolic and aimed more at improving the international image of the US and President Bush as defenders of freedom and human rights as a way to blunt the negative criticism he has received for attending the opening of the 2008 Olympics in Beijing, not to mention his own war-driven foreign policies.

The First Lady's comments after the cyclone were also criticized by American political commentators, who speculated that they were driven by a desire to make her look good, especially when husband George Bush was hovering around 27% in opinion polls.

Today (Friday) is the 20th anniversary of the pro-democracy uprising in Myanmar in 1988, known locally as 8-8-88. The date with its four recurring numbers was meant to have mystical significance after government troops opened fire on demonstrators and more than 3,0000 are estimated to have been killed. Thousands more fled to the country's borders.

Many in the exiled community are hoping for another uprising today, 8808, but that prospect is unlikely. The military also recognizes the significance of the anniversary and has deployed thousands troops on standby in and around Yangon, the old capital. Even so, the economy continues to deteriorate and the country is still seething with anger over the killing of monks and other protestors in the crushing of last year's demonstrations and the junta's hapless and corrupt cyclone relief efforts.

Whether Mrs Bush's stance on Myanmar is genuine, or based on rhetoric that attempts to associate her husband's administration with a cause that nearly everyone agrees is worthy but which few are willing to do anything concrete about, her comments and actions have at least served to keep Myanmar in the news. The country's generals have become adept at riding out storms of criticism until fickle world attention moves elsewhere.

The regime's slow grind against ethnic minority groups has resulted in decades of small military clashes, killings of civilians and the destruction of villages and livelihoods in remote places that, until Bush took up the cudgel, seldom made international headlines. This despite hard statistics indicating that Myanmar has one of the largest internally displaced populations in the world, more destroyed villages than Darfur, one of the largest land areas contaminated with landmines and the largest use of child soldiers by a government army. By keeping Myanmar in the news, more international attention, and criticism, has been placed on the regime.

Many in Myanmar's exile community hope that Laura Bush will continue her interest and remain a close friend even after her husband's term as president expires in a few months.

Brian McCartan is a Chiang Mai-based freelance journalist. He may be reached at brianpm@comcast.net

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