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    Southeast Asia
     Mar 15, 2007
Page 2 of 2
Iran's star rises in the East
By Clive Parker

known oil reserves and has large unexploited fields of natural gas. A US military strike against Iran would inevitably lead to spiking global fuel prices that would badly crimp several Southeast Asian net-fuel-importing economies.

"Southeast Asian countries need energy; they are industrial countries," said Mohsen Pak-Ayeen, Iran's ambassador to Thailand, Myanmar and Laos, in a recent exclusive interview with



Asia Times Online in Bangkok. "Iran can provide [this] for them."

Indeed, consider some recent ASEAN-Iran trade and investment figures. The Philippines, which relies heavily on oil imports to meet its domestic energy needs, purchases roughly 100,000 barrels of crude oil from Iran every day. Meanwhile, Tehran has invested in total more than $100 million in the Philippines' petrochemical industry.

Thailand, Asia's largest energy importer as a percentage of gross domestic product, has likewise recently signed new natural gas exploration deals through state-owned PTTEP for Iranian resources. Iran recently agreed to allow CementThai Chemicals Co to build a $200 million petrochemical plant in the southern Iranian town of Assualuyeh, where Thailand will take a 48% stake, Japan a 12% stake and Iran the rest.

Iran has opened discussions with Thai counterparts on the possibility of building an oil refinery in Thailand, and have opened preliminary discussions on a similar proposal for Myanmar, according to Ambassador Pak-Ayeen. In that direction, Iran recently introduced both Thailand and Myanmar to its new-fangled compressed-natural-gas converters for use in cars and buses, and Pak-Ayeen believes that new bilateral deals implementing the technology could soon follow.

Both Southeast Asian countries have already experimented with such systems in a bid to reduce their dependence on oil-based derivatives for their fuel needs. Although Myanmar is one of the few ASEAN countries that does not have full diplomatic relations with Iran - which currently has full-blown diplomatic missions in Brunei, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand - that could soon change.

Myanmar Deputy Foreign Minister Kyaw Thu is scheduled to go to Tehran for a two-day visit this month to discuss among other issues the possibility of establishing a mission in Tehran, an arrangement that, if accepted, would likely be reciprocated with the establishment of an Iranian embassy in Myanmar. The two countries, which have never shared full diplomatic relations, now both targeted for sanctions by Washington, have recently drawn closer together.

Myanmar and Iran "are always cooperating with each other ... We have the same lobby at the United Nations," Pak-Ayeen said. "The ambassadors were discussing with each other daily" during recent US attempts to sanction both countries at the Security Council. Notably, Iran has remained mum about Thai and Myanmar policies concerning their minority Muslim populations. "Our priority in Thailand and Myanmar is economic," said Pak-Ayeen.

Iran is awaiting the formal ratification of its proposal to become a fully fledged ASEAN dialogue partner, a process that is moving along "positively", according to Pak-Ayeen. There is perhaps no better symbol of Iran's grand designs for engaging Southeast Asia than the shiny, new, huge $5 million embassy it opened in Bangkok last year, replacing a more modest facility it previously rented.

If new compelling evidence emerges that Iran's contentious nuclear program is indeed geared to developing weapons of mass destruction, ASEAN could turn against Tehran. Indonesian Foreign Minister Hassan Wirajuda said last May when Iran was beginning to come under Security Council scrutiny: "Our position is that we support nuclear development for peaceful purposes, especially energy, but we consistently object to nuclear-weapons proliferation." He made a similar statement during US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's visit to Jakarta last year.

Iran has since repeatedly assured its ASEAN partners that they have nothing to fear and as recent as last month invited Non-Aligned Movement members, including Malaysia, to inspect its enrichment facilities independently. So far those assurances have convinced ASEAN, and commercial ties are developing apace.

As such, Iran's diplomatic and commercial star is rising in energy-starved Southeast Asia nearly as fast as it is falling in the nuclear-suspicious US and Europe.

Clive Parker is a Chiang Mai-based freelance journalist.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

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