Southeast Asia

Malice in Moroland
By Gary LaMoshi

DENPASAR, Bali - Philippine President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo and US President George W Bush share enough traits to be subjects of a Tales from the Crypt or Twilight Zone episode.

Each is the offspring of a former president of their respective countries. Each took Daddy's old chair in the freest nation in their region on January 20, 2001, without benefit of a popular mandate. Their twin ascensions were enabled by dubious decisions of Supreme Courts packed with backers of the interests these presidents protect. Not surprisingly, each president seemingly regards the national constitution as an inconvenience to flout when it blocks a desired path.

Each of these two presidents in their mid-50s (she's 55, he's 56) is obsessive about physical fitness and wields his/her religious faith as a justification of his/her public policies, in contrast to their corpulent, morally lax predecessors. Each seized the war on terrorism as a central plank of their previously floundering administrations.

So why can't they keep their stories straight about the latest deployment of US forces to fight Abu Sayyaf in the southern Philippine province of Mindanao?

He said, she said
The Pentagon announced last week that about 3,000 troops, including 350 Special Forces Green Berets (where has Southeast Asia seen that hat before?), will take part in combat operations aimed at finishing off the Abu Sayyaf forces that escaped last year's joint US-Philippine deployment. That operation was classified as a training mission. American fighters were not allowed to fire their weapons except in self-defense.

For this mission against the bandit brigade's remaining stronghold on the island of Sulu, the Pentagon says, things will be different. The Green Berets are going in shooting, with an offshore contingent of 1,000 marines and attack helicopters, aiming to eliminate Abu Sayyaf once and for all.

That pesky Philippine constitution, however, prohibits foreign troops from fighting in the Philippines. "That's something they will have to finesse," a Pentagon official said, referring to Philippine government.

Just how much finessing is needed was evident in Philippine Senator Aquilino Pimentel's criticism of Defense Secretary Angelo Reyes. "I say this is treason in its basest form because he is subverting the constitution by militarizing the policymaking process even in relation to the maintenance of law and order and the establishment of peace in the country, which the legislature [is mandated] to decide."

In the usual measured tones of Philippine political discourse, Pimentel also condemned Reyes for sanctioning Philippine territory for use as a "deadly laboratory for the testing of the effectiveness of US troops, tactics and weaponry against so-called terrorists in Moroland".

"There will be no combat role of US troops, period, period, period," presidential spokesman Ignacio Bunye contended on Saturday. But the Texas White House reconfirmed the Pentagon version of the deployment, no doubt winning hearts and minds in Malacanang Palace for its sensitivity to host-country exigencies.

Defense Secretary Reyes "categorically" assured reporters asking about the Pentagon's statements "that anything that they say that contradicts the constitution and the laws will not materialize". Asked directly about a possible US combat role in the Philippines, Reyes demurred, "That's a matter for lawyers to decide."

Hot to trot
US military motives for making a tough, violent anti-terrorism stand in East Asia are easy to understand. While the United States is preoccupied with preparations to invade Iraq to thwart its unrealized nuclear ambitions, North Korea's Dear Leader Kim Jong-il is winning a game of chicken with the US over his very real nuclear program. Displaying US combat muscle in Mindanao could serve as a warning that the US has the will and the capability to undertake operations in the East Asian theater, regardless of any Iraqi entanglements, since 38,000 troops in South Korea and bases in Japan apparently haven't yet proved the point.

Singapore's allegations of a plot to attack US military, diplomatic and commercial interests on that island and Hong Kong in late 2001 met with skepticism, but last year's Bali bombing provided a deadly wake-up call that al-Qaeda's brand of Muslim extremist violence has found fertile ground in Southeast Asia. Abu Sayyaf's roots trace back to al-Qaeda, and new intelligence reportedly ties it to Jema'ah Islamiyah, which seeks to create an Islamic state stretching from southern Thailand through Indonesia.

Taking heat for its focus on Iraq without a smoking gun linking Saddam Hussein's regime to September 11, 2001 - not to mention its failure to capture Osama bin Laden and eliminate the al-Qaeda threat - the Bush people are anxious to demonstrate that their anti-terrorism interest isn't confined to nations prominent in the oil business. Particularly at this moment of strained relationships with traditional allies France and Germany over its Iraq plans, and reactions in East Asia ranging from China's indifference to vehement opposition in Indonesia in the streets and the government, the United States needs to reinvigorate its credentials in the global war on terrorism.

Fighting Abu Sayyaf, which has killed Americans along with scores of Filipinos, as comrades in arms with the host nation demonstrates a US commitment to cooperate with allies anywhere in the world to eliminate terror threats. It also shows that the Pentagon has a combat strategy other than devastating whole nations in order to save them from terrorists. And, as Senator Pimentel notes, the operation might be a chance for Pentagon planners to gauge how their Asian jungle combat strategies have progressed since that miserable failure three decades ago in Vietnam.

Constitutional solution
While US motivations for teaming with Philippine forces to obliterate Abu Sayyaf are clear, the Arroyo regime's desire to permit US combat troops remains mystifying. Unlike the case with Turkey, there's no indication that the Philippines will receive billions in new aid or a piece of conquered Iraq as a payoff. Arroyo should study fellow presidential offspring Indonesian President Megawati Sukarnoputri's reluctant and limited support for the war on terrorism that has won Indonesia a renewal of US military aid without meaningful reforms or concessions. Arroyo ought to know that playing hard to get works better than being a pushover.

Despite vocal opposition, the previous US mission in the Philippines enjoyed widespread popular support, according to pollsters. But Arroyo doesn't need to win any popularity contests. She says she's not running for another term in order to avoid inflaming tensions in the nation. Flouting the constitution by calling back the colonial rulers and its troops banished a decade ago with the Clark and Subic Bay base closings hardly qualifies as a step toward national unity.

Ratcheting up the violence against Abu Sayyaf may further Arroyo's stated goal of making peace with the more dangerous Moro Islamic Liberation Front and the New People's Army communist insurgency now in its fourth decade. But Muslim separatists reaffirmed last weekend they're ready for a ceasefire and resumption of suspended peace talks. Malacanang is also trying to restart negotiations, though the two sides differ on details. Summoning US troops to eliminate Abu Sayyaf, rather than motivate compromise, could create a backlash among separatist leaders and supporters that will hamper the government's peace agenda.

Abu Sayyaf remains a major irritant. It's kidnapped 102 people during the past 22 months, and killed 18 of those hostages. However, Abu Sayyaf's days as a Muslim separatist political force are behind it. Abu Sayyaf has become nothing but a gang of outlaws, and it's embarrassing that police and military forces have been unable to subdue it, despite knowing who runs it and where it operates.

Philippine military intelligence estimates that Abu Sayyaf has just over 100 members remaining. There is a solution that would fit the Philippine constitution in every sense of the word: rather than calling in Uncle Sam to wipe them out, the government could hire them.

(©2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Feb 25, 2003


Iraqi crisis: Terror fallout in the Philippines
(Feb 15, '03)

 

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