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Red alert in Andhra Pradesh
By Sudha Ramachandran

CHENNAI - The abortive assassination attempt on Chandrababu Naidu, the chief minister of the southern Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, by the left-extremist People's War (PW), signals that the PW is not a spent force - it is able and willing to strike targets of its choice.

Naidu escaped with a fractured collarbone when five claymore mines exploded close to the bulletproof car in which he was traveling. Four others, including two members of the State Legislative Assembly, are reported to be in serious condition.

Known for the way he has transformed governance in Andhra, Naidu has earned himself the sobriquet of "the CEO of Andhra Inc". He has made Hyderabad, the state capital, the cyber capital of the country. His economic policies have won him accolades from the World Bank, software giants and Andhra's urban elite.

However, Naidu's policies have widened the urban-rural economic gap and deepened deprivation among the rural poor. His policies have evoked much anger among this section. His government has carried out some of the most brutal crackdowns ever on the PW and its supporters. Not surprisingly, he has been on the PW's hit-list for years. Claiming responsibility for the attack on Naidu, the PW in a statement said that he and the state police were "enemies of the people" because of their "anti-people policies" and "deserved to be eliminated".

Formed in April of 1980, the PW started its operations in the Telangana region, Andhra's most backward area. Today, it is active in at least 12 of Andhra's 23 districts. The PW draws inspiration from Mao's people's war and aims at capturing political power through a protracted armed struggle based on guerrilla warfare. It has built up bases in remote areas and set up "liberated zones". It is said that the PW has set up "parallel administrations" in over 125 villages. The PW's influence runs in several other states, including Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Jharkhand and Bihar.

The PW is said to have around 1,100 fighters and over 5,000 underground activists. It can also draw on the support of tens of thousands of villagers and several intellectuals. However, its support is said to be on the decline. Many were put off by bloody inter-group wars. Several have expressed their distaste for its increasing resort to terror tactics and its targeting of innocent civilians. Its strategy has received much criticism. The PW attacks multinational corporations, such as the one on a Coca-Cola unit in late 2001, hit the working class the most as hundreds lost their jobs.

The PW's arsenal is said to have grown in sophistication over the years. In the early years of its existence, knives, sickles and axes and other household and farm equipment were the main weapons. Today, its arsenal includes AK-47s, sten guns and an assortment of explosives and land mines. P V Ramanna, an expert on the PW, has drawn attention to reports that the PW is on its way to using rocket-propelled grenades.

In comparison to other militant organizations operating in South Asia, such as the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), the Hizbul Mujahideen and the Lashkar-e-Toiba, the arsenal of the PW might seem less sophisticated. This is in part because the PW lacks the kind of state sponsors that the Hizbul or the Lashkar have, or the sort of support that the LTTE can draw on among the Tamil diaspora. It is said that the contributions of the Tamil diaspora and the money that flows from its international business interests (including the narcotics trade) are what enable the LTTE to buy sophisticated weaponry in the world's arms bazaars.

The PW has sought to overcome these shortcomings by cooperating in various ways with South Asian militant groups. Although the left-extremist movement is riven with personal rivalries and differences regarding ideology and tactics, its various groups have come together to share access to arms and explosives.

According to reports, the PW has strong links not only with the Bihar and Jharkhand-based Maoist Community Center (MCC) and the Nepalese Maoists, it also has ties with the LTTE, which go back to the 1980s when the Tigers are said to have shared with the PW their expertise on improvised explosive devices. In return, the PW provided the LTTE with access to RDX from nearby quarries. The PW also provided sanctuary to Tiger cadres and allowed them to train in the forests where their writ ran. Despite their ideological differences - the LTTE is Tamil nationalist, the PW is left-extremist - the two worked well together. Their common opposition to the Indian state cemented the bond. It is said the LTTE/PW still work together, with the former selling weapons to the PW.

Reports in the media have indicated possible PW links with militants operating in Jammu and Kashmir as well. In September 1999, Lashkar militant Azam Ghouri reportedly met some PW leaders in the Warangal and Nizamabad districts of Andhra to discuss, among other things, the supply of arms and explosives to the PW.

However, it is with other Maoist organizations worldwide that the PW has the strongest ties. It is said to have fraternal links with the Liberation Army of Peru and the Kurdistan Workers' Party. It has attempted to "internationalize its appeal" by taking part in international seminars where likeminded outfits participate.

On July 1, 2001, nine left-extremist outfits active in India, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh formed an umbrella grouping, the Coordination Committees of Maoist Parties and Organizations (CCOMPOSA). The CCOMPOSA includes, among others, the PW, the MCC and the Nepalese Maoists.

The support CCOMPOSA constituents extend to each other goes beyond the moral articulated in their speeches and pamphlets. Nepalese Maoist representatives are known to have participated in the PW's congresses. In fact, several Maoist leaders have been provided safe sanctuaries in MCC and PW hideouts. The formation of CCOMPOSA has also facilitated the exchange of expertise, weapons training and flow of weapons. While explosives stolen from quarries and ordnance factories flow from the PW's hands to the Nepalese Maoists, guns are said to move in the reverse direction.

The real significance of the creation of the CCOMPOSA, say analysts, lies in the consequent emergence of a "compact revolutionary zone". Cooperation between Maoist outfits active in Nepal through Bihar, Jharkhand and Madhya Pradesh up to Andhra has provided the left-extremists contiguous areas in which to operate, move, hide and train. In effect, this means access for the PW to hideouts right up to Nepal.

According to Indian intelligence officials, Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), which is said to be active along the porous India-Nepal border, has tapped into the left-extremist groups very effectively. Maoism is unlikely to have adherents in the ISI, but anti-India sentiment bonds the ISI with left-extremists of the PW. The bond has been mutually beneficial, say Indian Intelligence sources, as left-extremists like the MCC and the PW have received weapons from the ISI, which they have used against the Indian state.

The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation might have failed to surmount differences to engage in meaningful cooperation. But the region's militant groups appear to be many miles ahead, having successfully overcome personal rivalries, ideological differences and geographical distance to cooperate for mutual benefit.

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Oct 8, 2003




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