South Asia

What Kashmiris really want
By Sudha Ramachandran

SRINAGAR - It is a little over a 100 days since the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) took over the reins of government in the state of Jammu and Kashmir (J&K). Its honeymoon with the people, although waning, continues. This is not so much because of its performance – it has failed to deliver on several of its electoral pledges - but because the opposition parties and the separatist groups stand discredited in the eyes of the people.

The general atmosphere in Srinagar, the summer capital of the state, is far more relaxed than it has ever been in the past decade. People venture out of their houses even at night, and commercial establishments remain open until late in the evening. The calm, however, is an uneasy one.

The improved scenario is confined to Srinagar alone. A senior journalist told Asia Times Online that the number of foreign militants entering the Valley from across the border in Pakistani-administered Kashmir is mounting, and that killings and counter-killings continue. There is a fear too that the security situation in the villages is deteriorating and could worsen in the coming months, when the snows melt and infiltration from across the border increases.

In the run up to the state assembly elections last year the PDP pledged to freeze the implementation of the Prevention of Terrorism Act, to dismantle the Special Operations Group (SOG), the much-dreaded and despised counter-insurgency unit of the J&K police, and to release jailed militants who did not have serious charges against them. The PDP government did release 24 jailed militants. However, further release of militants has been stopped under pressure from the central government in Delhi. In future, a screening committee with representatives of the Home Ministry will examine each case before releasing them. The SOG has not been dismantled but only absorbed into its parent unit, the J&K police.

Although the average Kashmiri is disappointed with Chief Minister Mufti Mohammad Sayeed's failure on these two counts, they are not angry with him. It is Delhi that they blame for the mufti’s inability to deliver on these two pledges.

The mufti’s "healing touch" policy appears to have won the hearts of the Kashmiris and it has started yielding some positive results. Relatives of militants, who were earlier denied jobs or access to ex-gratia payments from government, are now being given government jobs and financial support. According to informed observers in Srinagar, it is deepening the divide between local militants and the foreign militants (known here as the mehmaan mujahideen or guest militants).

The mufti has been speaking of issues that touch the common people, like unemployment, violence and poverty. He has introduced some practical changes that have improved daily life in Srinagar. For instance, power cuts have been halved from nine hours a day to four-and-a-half. No major incident of human rights violation by the security forces has come to light, except two, in which the government took immediate action.

The government has launched a major drive to demolish illegal building construction in Srinagar. While some residents welcome the drive as an important step by the government to bring back law and order (the encroachments happened during the height of the militancy when law and order crumbled), the business sections and the poor, who are most affected by the demolitions, are grumbling. Whether the demolitions, which will render several homeless, will trigger off significant resentment against the government remains to be seen.

What has helped the mufti through his first 100 days at the helm in J&K has been the average Kashmiri’s contempt for the National Conference (the party that the PDP ousted from power in the elections), complete disillusionment, even anger, with the Hurriyat Conference (an umbrella organization of separatist groups) and weariness with the 13 years of strife in the state.

That the voters were able to oust the much-hated National Conference through elections seems to have revived to some extent the Kashmiris' faith in democracy and the possibility that political change is possible via the ballot box. "We feel proud that we brought change on our own simply by voting," says a taxi driver.

Even more marked than their anger with the National Conference is the Kashmiris' open anger with the Hurriyat. Indicative of the Hurriyat's isolation in the Valley is the scene outside its headquarters in Rajbagh, Srinagar. There are no crowds surging outside the office waiting to meet the leaders. If people do go there, it is to raise slogans about Hurriyat leaders having eaten up funds meant for relief of victims of violence.

If in the past, hartal (strike) calls by the Hurriyat would lead to a complete closure of the Valley and cripple normal life; today the response is quite different. A hartal call by the Hurriyat on February 7 went by largely ignored. In fact, few people that this correspondent spoke to knew why the hartal had been called in the first place.

Especially the poor resent the lavish lifestyles of the Hurriyat leaders. They openly abuse them for the way they have amassed fortunes and go on shopping sprees to Delhi and abroad, while the common man suffers the strife in the Valley. "We braved the militants' guns and voted but they didn't have the guts to contest the elections," says a woman in Ganderbal. "They shout anti-India slogans, yet hide behind the security provided by the Indian forces," says a shopkeeper. "They want the Indian security forces to protect them from the militants they legitimize and from the people they claim to represent," he points out.

The protest marches that leaders of separatist groups take out these days are hardly impressive. A march led by Shabbir Shah (a former militant who has spent many years in Indian jails and who is now leader of the Democratic Freedom Party) to the United Nations Observers office in Srinagar on February 11 was poorly attended. The march was to demand that India be made to return the mortal remains of Maqbool Butt, the founder of the Jammu and Kashmir Liberation Front who was hanged in 1985 for the assassination of an Indian diplomat, to Kashmir. Other than DFP members, nobody else participated, except for a few children who tagged along shouting slogans. In the past, marches to mark anniversaries were major flash points with separatists clashing with security forces and civilians being caught in the crossfire.

Popular support for the militants that has waned since the mid-1990s when the militancy lost direction and became increasingly criminalized, continues to diminish. A distinct weariness with violence is discernable today. That nothing positive has come out of the Kashmiris opting for armed struggle is the near unanimous view, even in areas in downtown Srinagar like Batamaloo and Nowhatta, from where many youngsters joined the militant ranks. They feel that the militants used the guns to settle personal scores and to loot the people.

However, this weariness with the militants does not mean that support for the Indian security forces is increasing. The people continue to see them as a force that has repressed them. But while they fear both the militants and the security forces, so great is their terror of the militants that they are reluctant to talk of militant violence. When the security forces kill a family member, they condemn the forces, even referring to the regiment he belongs to. However, when a militant does so, they refrain from naming a group or even pointing to militants and instead blame "unidentified gunmen".

Their weariness with violence has undoubtedly pushed the Kashmiris to cling to the hope that the brave new world promised by the mufti government will happen some day. So far, despite his average performance, they are willing to stand by him. But how long will they do so?

It is likely that the militants will step up violence if only to overturn the mufti’s healing touch approach, as this has significantly dented support for militancy. Should militant attacks increase, the chief minister will have to deal firmly with the militants. This will mean a return to search and cordon operations and crackdowns that have reduced in recent months. This could result in diminishing support for the government and in erosion of faith in elections as a viable option of bringing change.

As important as the security situation in determining the fate of the government is the way it handles the main issue of concern to the people – unemployment. "Employment generating schemes will not only keep our boys engaged and away from the militants but also give the people a stake in the system," points out the sister of a slain militant.

Almost every person this correspondent spoke to in Srinagar listed employment as the issue to which the the government should give top priority. Issues of survival are of top concern. Issues such as dialogue with Delhi and whether or not the Hurriyat or Pakistan should be involved in the dialogue, or what role the UN or the US should play figure low among the concerns of the common people Clearly, neither the government of India nor that of Pakistan, nor even the international community, appears to be in tune with the thinking of the Kashmiri people.

(©2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)

 
Feb 20, 2003



Picture imperfect (Feb 6, '03)

Chasing a mirage in Kashmir (Jan 23, '03)

Through the valley of the shadow of death (Jan 9, '03)

 

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