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    Middle East
     Oct 15, 2008
McCain's 'crusader' logic concerns Syria
By Sami Moubayed

DAMASCUS - For the past year, Arabs in general and Syrians in particular have been banking on a victory for Democratic Senator Barack Obama in the United States. They believe - at a grassroots level - that an Obama administration would better serve their interests because it would depart from the Republican policies of George W Bush, which led to the occupation of two Muslim countries, Afghanistan and Iraq.

Republican Senator John McCain, they fear, would lead them to another deadly war against yet a third Muslim country - Iran. As one young Syrian university student put it, "If I were an American, I would vote for Obama because, being a black man who grew up in the US, he knows the meaning of injustice. A man who has felt

 

injustice would never practice it against others." She laughingly added, "His father's name is Hussain; meaning Obama's name is Abu Hussain."

More recently, editorials have started appearing in the Syrian press, questioning whether Obama would actually be good for the Arabs, especially after his high-profile visit to Israel in which he declared his support for Tel Aviv. The selection of Joe Biden as his running mate also caused many Syrians to frown, associating him with the famous plan to partition Iraq into Shi'ite, Sunni and Kurdish zones.

Many Syrians have started rethinking. They fear that Obama, because of his Muslim origins, will work relentlessly to prove his "Americanism" by being more radical than Bush. Some have even began bracing themselves for a McCain victory, thinking that the retired Vietnam officer would have more courage to take serious initiatives in the Middle East, especially related to the Arab-Israeli peace process.

Sadly, however, archiving is poor in the Arab world, and those who are now banking on a McCain victory fail to read his comments and career before running for the 2008 presidential elections. In 1992, McCain appeared on Larry King Live and gave two reasons why the US should involve itself militarily in the Middle East. One was because America was a "Judeo-Christian nation" (which, to the Muslim world, sounds like the Crusades).

The other was, "so long as the world's energy resources came from that part of the world". Justice, peace, stability and human rights were not mentioned by the congressman from Arizona. In 1991, also with Larry King, he argued against a military invasion of Iraq, so as not to turn Saddam Hussein into a hero and because it couldn't be done with air power alone and would require the commitment of ground troops.

He also said that decision-makers in the US could not tell a Sunni from a Shi'ite - meaning they were uninformed of the Arab and Muslim world - and cited human casualties in Baghdad that the US should avoid. McCain said, "I don't think you could do it with air power. Unbeknownst to a lot of people, we tried bombing. We weren't trying to kill him, but we were just trying to bomb every place we thought he might be or could possibly be. I'm not sure that if we did go in on the ground we could tell a Shi'ite from a Sunni, even from a Kurd. And who is it that we'd be fighting and battling against on the streets of Baghdad? And, if we got into Baghdad, we would lose all of our military supremacy and we would take casualties ..."

These are all wrong answers, as far as Arabs are concerned. And if these two examples weren't enough to remind the Muslim world of McCain's policies, a similar dialogue took place last week, when he was approached by one of his supporters who said, "I don't trust Obama. He's an Arab." Instead of saying, "There is nothing wrong with being an Arab", McCain said, "No, ma'am. He's a decent, family man, a citizen that I just happen to have disagreements with."

McCain and Syria
In 1984, McCain visited Syria with a congressional delegation and met with president Hafez al-Assad. He described the 75-minute interview in an article in the Arizona Republic (April 3, 1984), saying that Assad was an "outwardly attractive man" who "projected an aura of confidence and the satisfaction of a general who had just achieved a decisive victory".

Earlier, in 1974, a striking description of the Syrian leader had been made by president Richard Nixon, who said in his memoirs that Assad was a "tough negotiator (who has) a great deal of mystique, tremendous stamina, and a lot of charm. All in all, he is a man of substance, and at his age [then 44], he will be a leader to be reckoned with in this part of the world. This man really has elements of genius - without any question!"

When Jimmy Carter visited Syria, he wrote, "Little was known about his [Assad's] personal or family life, but former secretary of state Henry Kissinger and others who knew Assad had described him to me as very intelligent, eloquent and frank in discussing the most sensitive issues. I invited the Syrian leader to come and visit me in Washington, but he replied that he had no desire ever to visit the United States. Despite this firm but polite rebuff, I learned what I could about him and his nation before meeting him."

Carter then added, "During subsequent trips to Syria, I spent hours debating with Assad and listening to his analysis of events in the Middle East ... he seemed to speak like a modern Saladin - as though it was his obligation to rid the region of foreign presence while preserving Damascus as the focal point of modern Arab unity."

When Bill Clinton met Assad in 1994, he added, "I was impressed by his [Assad’s] intelligence and almost total recall for detailed events going back more than 20 years." Ambassador Edward Djerejian recalled a similar story, when he was notified that he had become US ambassador to Syria in 1989, and happened to be in Israel. He informed prime minister Yitzhak Rabin, who said, "You will be dealing with the smartest man in the Middle East." Rabin then warned against what he called a "loophole" in what the Americans were offering to Syria, because if there were any, "Hafez al-Assad will drive a truck through it".

Was Syria anti-American to start with? That is the question Syrians should explain to McCain when and if he becomes president. Only briefly, in 1963-1970, could the Syrian government be described as anti-American. After a tug-of-war between the US and Great Britain in 1949-1954, carried out by proxy through allies like Saudi Arabia and Iraq, Syria began charting its own course, with real democracy, in 1954.

During the elections of 1955, the ballots brought a communist into the Syrian parliament. Terror overtook the US State Department. It expressed fear "at the drift towards a leftist, anti-US position in Syria". The US ambassador to Syria added, "If the present trend continues, there is strong possibility that a communist-dominated Syria will emerge, threatening the peace and stability of the area, and endangering the achievement of our objectives in the Near East."

The US began talking of regime change in Damascus, and even financed two failed coups in the late 1950s, prompting the Syrians to expel a number of US diplomats. The US responded by expelling Syrian ambassador Farid Zayn al-Din from Washington. As a result, anti-Americanism soured and demonstrators stormed the US Embassy and the home of the ambassador.

Why would Syria - in the 1950s and today - support a superpower that was relentlessly trying to bring down its government? On the other hand, why would it turn down the friendship of another superpower - the USSR in the 1950s and Iran today - that was expressing unconditional military, political and economic support to the Syrians?

As early as 1956, the USSR gave Syria 400 million Syrian pounds (US$8 million) for oil extraction, and oversaw the supply of arms worth 20 million British pounds ($34 million), through Egypt. Trade with the Eastern bloc back then was at $19 million per year.

The US commented, after watching Syria snuggle up to the Russians, "Internal medicine will not do; surgery is required for the cancerous growth [of communism] in Syria."

The US began to accuse Syria of meddling in the affairs of its neighbors, and destabilizing Lebanon. The parallel between 1955-1958 and 2005-2008 is haunting; bombs would explode in Beirut, and everybody would blame it on the Syrians. The US encouraged its regional allies to take action against Syria, saying that it would support any covert or overt anti-Syrian activity under Article 51 of the UN charter: self-defense.

Turkey moved its troops to the Syrian border, with US encouragement, and repeatedly violated Syrian airspace. The result, instead of a u-turn, was more Syrian-Soviet friendship. The formal US policy became to minimize contact with the Syrian government, now that the US ambassador was out of Damascus, and to support and fund the Syrian opposition. Records from the US put the amount paid to ambitious officers wanting to overthrow the regime at $3 million.

The Aleppo deputy in parliament, and former prime minister Maarouf al-Dawalibi, threatened to hold a plebiscite in Syria to show the US that the Russians were more popular than the Americans, because the latter were held responsible "for the Palestine tragedy". The New York Times retaliated by describing him as "the most outspoken anti-American leader in the Arab world".

At this stage, president Shukri al-Quwatli came out, for the first time in Syrian history, and described the US as "an enemy", in July 1957. It was the Americans who had removed him from office in 1949, promoting, as Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said in Egypt in 2005, "stability over democracy".

What else could Quwatli do? The Americans were financing revolution in Syria. They were calling on Syria's neighbors to invade and topple the regime. They were levying accusations of regional adventurism against the Syrians. All of this was being done to a country that was never - in principal - anti-American.

Concerning the dilemma in Syrian-US relations, former secretary of state John Foster Dulles wrote in late 1957: "Efforts to persuade moderate Arab leaders to take an overt hard line towards Syria have failed. What alternatives do we have? Force is ruled out. Clandestine activity would not succeed. A hard line from the West would only drive Syria closer to the Soviet bloc."

McCain was in his 20s then, studying at the Naval Academy at Annapolis. He was busy practicing as a lightweight boxer, earning a reputation as someone who loved history and literature, hated mathematics, and more importantly, stood up for people who were bullied.

Syria was bulled in 1955-1958, but it is doubtful if McCain was overly concerned with the small Mediterranean country then. Given all of the above, McCain should visit Damascus again with an open mind, as he did in 1984, to see that both good things and bad things don't change that quickly in the Middle East.

And Arabs in general and Syrians in particular should think twice before betting on McCain.

Sami Moubayed is a Syrian political analyst.

(Copyright 2008 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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