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    Middle East
     Apr 13, 2007
Page 2 of 4
DISPATCHES FROM AMERICA

The theater of the imperially absurd
By Tom Engelhardt

journalists and pundits simply stopped connecting the dots.

Give the Bush administration credit: its top officials took in the world as a whole and at an imperial glance. They regularly connected the dots as they saw them. The post-September 11 strike at Afghanistan was never simply a strike at al-Qaeda (or the Taliban who hosted them). It was always a prelude to war against



Saddam's Iraq. And the invasion of Iraq was never meant to end in Baghdad (as indicated in the neo-con prewar quip, "Everyone wants to go to Baghdad. Real men want to go to Tehran"). Nor was Tehran to be the end of the line.

Under the rubric of the "global war on terror", they were considering literally dozens of countries as potential future targets. Cheney put the matter bluntly back in August 2002 as the public drumbeat for an invasion of Iraq was just revving up:
The war in Afghanistan is only the beginning of a lengthy campaign. Were we to stop now, any sense of security we might have would be false and temporary. There is a terrorist underworld out there spread among more than 60 countries.
Almost immediately after the September 11 attacks, they began stitching together the arc of instability in their minds with an eye not so much to Arabs, or South Asians, or even Israelis, but to playing their version of what the British imperialists used to call "the Great Game". They had the full-scale rollback of energy-giant Russia in mind as well as the containment or rollback of potential future imperial power, China, already visibly desperate for Iraqi, Iranian and other energy supplies.

In the year before the invasion of Iraq, they were remarkably blunt about this. They proudly published that seminal document of the Bush era, the National Security Strategy of the United States of America, 2002, which called for the US to "build and maintain" its military power on the planet "beyond challenge".

Think about that for a moment. A single power on Earth "beyond challenge". This was a dream of planetary dominion that once would have been left to madmen. But in what looked like a world with only one great power, it was easy enough to imagine a great game with only one great player, an arms race with only one swift runner.

The Bush administration was in essence calling for a world in which no superpower, or bloc of powers, would ever be allowed to challenge this country's supremacy. As Bush put it in an address at the United States Military Academy at West Point, New York, in 2002, "America has, and intends to keep, military strengths beyond challenge, thereby making the destabilizing arms races of other eras pointless, and limiting rivalries to trade and other pursuits of peace."

The National Security Strategy put the same thought this way: "Our forces will be strong enough to dissuade potential adversaries from pursuing a military buildup in hopes of surpassing, or equaling, the power of the United States." That's anywhere on the planet. Ever. And Bush and his followers promptly began to hike the Pentagon budget to suit their oversized, military fantasies of what a US "footprint" should be.

With this in mind, the arc of instability, which, in energy-flow terms, was quite literally the planet's heartland, seemed the place to control. And yet - look hard as you will - you're unlikely to find a single piece in your daily paper that takes in that arc; that, say, includes Somalia and Pakistan in the same piece, even though Bush administration policy has in effect tied them together in disaster.

To take another example, the rise of Iran (and a possible "Shi'ite crescent"), Iran's influence or interference in Iraq, Iran's nuclear program and Iran's off-the-wall president have been near obsessions in the US media; and yet you would be hard-pressed to find a piece even pointing out that the Bush administration's two invasions and occupations - Iraq and Afghanistan - which left both those countries bristling with vast US bases and sprawling US-controlled prison systems, took place on either side of Iran.

Add in the fact that the Bush administration, probably through the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), is in essence running terror raids into Iran through Pakistan and you have a remarkably different vision of Iran's geostrategic situation than even an informed American media consumer would normally see.

After September 11, but based on the sort of pre-2001 thinking you could find well represented at the neo-con website Project for the New American Century, the Bush administration's top officials wrote their own drama for the arc of instability. They were, of course, the main characters in it, along with the US military, some Afghan and Iraqi exiles who would play their necessary roles in the "liberation" of their countries, and a few evil ogres like Saddam.

Today, not six years after they raised the curtain on what was to be their grand imperial drama, they find themselves in a dark theater with at least six crises in search of an author, all clamoring for attention - and every possibility that a seventh (not to say a 17th) "character" in that rowdy, still gathering, audience may soon rise to insist on a part in the horrific farce that has actually taken place.

Six crises in search of an author
Sweeping across the region from East to West, let's briefly note the six festering or clamoring crisis spots, any one of which could end up with the play's major role before Bush slips out of office.

Pakistan: The Pakistani government was America's main partner, along with the Saudis, in funding, arming and running the anti-Soviet struggle of the mujahideen, including Osama bin Laden, in Afghanistan in the 1980s; and Pakistan's intelligence agency, the Inter-Services Intelligence, was the godfather of the Taliban (and remains, it seems, a supporter to this day). In September 2001, the Bush administration gave the country's coup-installed military ruler, President General Pervez Musharraf, the basic you're-either-with-us-or-against-us choice. He chose the "with" and in the course of these past years, under constant US pressure, has lost almost complete control over Pakistan's tribal regions along the Afghan border to various tribal groups, the Taliban, al-Qaeda and other foreign jihadis, who have established bases there. Now, significant parts of the country are experiencing unrest in what looks increasingly like a countdown to chaos in a nuclear-armed nation.

Afghanistan: In the meantime, from those Pakistani base areas, the revived and rearmed Taliban (and their al-Qaeda partners) are preparing to launch a major spring offensive in Afghanistan, using tactics from the Iraq war (suicide bombers or "Mullah Omar's missiles", as they call them, and the roadside bomb). They are already capable of taking over southern Afghan districts for periods of time. The Bush administration used the Northern Alliance - that is, proxy Afghan forces - to take Kabul in November 2001.

It then set up its bases and prisons and established President

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