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    Middle East
     Mar 7, 2007
Page 3 of 3
The Sadr movement 'will eventually triumph'


its local servants. Sayed Muqtada al-Sadr is fighting for the rights of all Iraqis, and the majority of Iraqis, including Sunnis, recognize that.

MA: So you are claiming that once the Americans pull out, responsible leaders on both sides will come forward and reach agreement?

MK: Yes!

MA: But what about the people in government? Some of them



have large militias; don't you think they will fight hard to maintain their privileges?

MK: We are talking about individuals. They don't have any following, and their armed groups will collapse. They will depart the scene quickly lest they incur the wrath of the Iraqi people.

MA: What about the foreign component of the terrorist campaign? I am referring to the so-called jihadi Salafis and the takfiris; what are you going to do with them?

MK: These people took advantage of the American occupation of Iraq. Their propaganda rests on the claim that they are in Iraq to fight the Americans. Once the Americans leave, their support bases in Iraq will evaporate overnight. I don't think these people will give the Iraqis too much trouble. In any case, the Iraqis have the capability to deal with them in a quick and decisive manner.

MA: Let's talk about the Mehdi Army now. What is the primary role of the Jaish al-Mehdi?

MK: Its primary role is a social and charitable one. Iraq currently lacks proper institutions. Even during Saddam's reign the only effective institution in Iraq was the army. Of course that was disbanded after the invasion, so right now we have no national institutions to speak of. There is a huge vacuum, and the Jaish al-Mehdi is filling it with its socio-economic, educational and charitable activities. They also provide security for vulnerable communities, especially in Baghdad.

MA: Is the Mehdi Army attacking coalition forces?

MK: Their policy has been to engage with the government in order to coax it away from the occupation and its infrastructures. Therefore, they are not involved in military operations, as that would compromise their position inside the government. But recently they withdrew from the Parliament for several months and urged the government to pressure the Americans into declaring a timetable for their withdrawal.

MA: So if the Mehdi Army is not confronting the occupation militarily, which group on the Shi'ite side is?

MK: The people involved in the resistance do not usually disclose their identity. So I can't really answer your question. But as far as the Mehdi Army is concerned, they are not fighting the occupation militarily.

MA: Is the Jaish Al-Mehdi subject to strong discipline?

MK: It is disciplined at the higher levels. But there are many groups and elements that have attached themselves to the Mehdi Army, and it is very difficult to control their activities. They may undertake activities which would not meet the approval of the commanders of the Mehdi Army.

MA: How large is the Mehdi Army?

MK: I don't know the exact figure. But there are millions of people throughout Iraq who are ready to accept orders from Sayed Muqtada al-Sadr.

MA: But how large is its core? Are we talking of 10,000-20,000 people?

MK: As I said, I don't have exact figures, but I believe it is larger than that.

MA: You mentioned the problems associated with size and how different groups are attaching themselves to the Mehdi Army. There are also reports of splinter groups operating under the Mehdi Army umbrella. Are these reports accurate?

MK: I would not say there are large splinter groups. But there are small, roguish groups and individuals operating under the umbrella of the Jaish al-Mehdi. However, the Mehdi Army cannot be held responsible for their actions. There are also charismatic leaders within the Mehdi Army who also have links to other groups. But these people, by and large, are loyal to Sayed Muqtada al-Sadr and would not disobey his orders.

MA: Many Sunnis and some Americans allege that the Mehdi Army is behind the death squads; what do you say?

MK: This is completely untrue! This is American propaganda that is pushed by people who do not wish the Iraqi people well. The Mehdi Army is composed of people who love all of Iraq and do not discriminate against their countrymen on the basis of religion, sect or culture.

MA: So who is responsible for the death squads?

MK: The Americans are either directly or indirectly responsible for the massacres. By creating conflict situations, they inflame passions on both sides and sour relations between Iraqis. The occupation is the source of all the violence in Iraq. Once the occupation begins to wind down, the conflict will ease accordingly.

MA: What about the recent arrest of Deputy Health Minister Hakim al-Zamili, and the accusation that the Sadrist movement is using hospitals as a cover for conducting sectarian warfare?

MK: It is propaganda, pure and simple. They spread these lies because the Sadrist movement is too popular and the Americans can't accept this. In every section of Iraqi society, the Mehdi Army and the Sadrist movement [are] growing in strength and popularity, and the Americans just don't know how to handle this.

MA: What about your rivals in the Sunni community? They are making accusations as well.

MK: Some of them have made the drastic mistake of falling for American propaganda. But if they cast their minds back, they should remember that the Mehdi Army stood with the Sunnis during the siege of Fallujah. This is the same Mehdi Army. The only thing that has changed is that this army has grown in strength and popularity.

MA: What are the likely political implications of the surge?

MK: If this operation does not succeed - and I expect it will not succeed - at the very least the Maliki government will collapse.

MA: Will the Americans then get rid of the democratic process and establish a military dictatorship led by a few generals, as some people in Washington are advising? And will this be the beginning of the end of the occupation?

MK: I don't think the Americans have a coherent plan. Just look at this latest operation. The [George W] Bush administration has ignored all the advice given to it and launched a new round of aggression against the Iraqi people. Maybe Bush will fight in Iraq until the end of his presidency in January 2009. The next administration will then start the process of withdrawal.

MA: How will all this affect the Sadrist movement?

MK: I am 100% sure that the Sadrist movement will emerge stronger. They have faced more daunting challenges in the past and come out stronger. The situation will go from bad to worse in Iraq until the Americans decide they have had enough and pull out. I expect we will reach that moment in early 2009. From now until then, the situation in Iraq will just steadily deteriorate. Many more innocent Iraqis will die.

MA: How do you see the future role of Muqtada al-Sadr? Can he ever become a national Iraqi leader?

MK: He can, but he is not power-hungry. He is very clever and exceptionally charismatic. He is a natural leader and I am sure he will fulfill his potential.

(This article first appeared in SaudiDebate.com. Published with permission.)

(Copyright 2007 SaudiDebate.com.)

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