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London on the spot over deployment
By Breffni O'Rourke

PRAGUE - Britain has been Washington's closest and most determined partner in the military intervention in Iraq. British troops fought their way into southern Iraq in the war to topple Saddam Hussein, and have since administered the region around the key Iraqi port of Basra with considerable success.

But Washington's request for the British to send some 600 to 800 troops to take over a zone in an area of active insurgency has landed like a bombshell on the British political scene.

For Ian Kemp, a senior analyst with Jane's geopolitical publishing group, it reveals just how stretched the US military is to meet its commitments in Iraq, Afghanistan, and elsewhere in the world. "One thing it does show is how hard-pressed the US Army is. To request an additional battalion, a mere 800 men, you would think this is something the US Army or the Marine Corps would be able to provide themselves," Kemp says.

The British forces so far have managed to remain largely out of the headlines despite the increasingly vicious anti-occupation insurgency to the north. That's at least partly because the southern part of the country - of mostly Shi'ite Muslims - was generally hostile to Saddam's regime anyway and was not sorry to see the dictator go.

But independent London-based military analyst Alexandra Ashbourne adds that the British are skilled at peacekeeping and have done a good job. "The British forces are treated with quite some considerable respect, they seem to be doing a very good job, and because of the British skill, particularly in peacekeeping, they are getting along well," Ashbourne said.

Ashbourne says the timing of Washington's request - just two weeks before the US presidential election - has been widely greeted with cynicism in Britain. "There is real, real concern in this country that this request has come at this time precisely because of the election in the week after next in the United States, that Bush wants to show that it really is a coalition [of nations operating in Iraq], it is not just the Americans operating [there]," Ashbourne said.

British officials say there has been no decision yet on how to react to the US request. But alarm bells are ringing in that the British public have never been enthusiastic about the Iraq war, and a move like this could result in increased British casualties.

The Guardian daily newspaper says in an editorial Monday that "if ever there was an example of 'mission creep', the request from the US for the redeployment in support of the Americans south of Baghdad, is as dangerous as they come". It says deployment would mark a "major escalation" of Britain's involvement in the occupation of Iraq. Yet, so far, there has been little public discussion of the move.

The request adds further pressure on British Prime Minister Tony Blair, whose popularity has plummeted since it became clear that there were no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. Neutralizing those weapons was the main reason he used to justify the war.

As analyst Kemp sees it, Blair is going to have a difficult time whatever he decides. "It is certainly going to be very difficult indeed for Blair to refuse the request, in terms of his relationship with Bush, but the other side of the coin [is] that he is probably going to come under tremendous political criticism here in the UK if he does meet the request," Kemp said.

Reports say that if there is any redeployment, it would likely involve soldiers of the crack Scottish regiment called the Black Watch. They would replace US troops of the 24th Marine Expeditionary Force, who would reportedly move to near the insurgent-controlled city of Fallujah, to take part in the expected major offensive against the insurgents.

US warplanes bombed the Iraqi city of Fallujah overnight on Monday in a bid to destroy buildings believed to belong to Islamic militant Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. In another development, US forces also launched attacks on the town of Duluiya, north of Baghdad, raiding homes and arresting dozens of suspected rebels.

A statement released by the US military on Tuesday said that the air strikes on Fallujah destroyed safe houses and weapons caches used by followers of Jordanian Zarqawi. The US military has blamed the group for using the homes to plan suicide car bombings.

Meanwhile, the top Fallujah negotiator in peace talks with the Iraqi government dashed hopes of resuming talks soon on Monday despite his release by US and Iraqi authorities, saying that negotiations remain suspended. Sheik Khaled al-Jumeili said talks will remain suspended as a protest against his detainment by US troops, who had accused him of representing the insurgents.

"The fact is that I'm negotiating on behalf of Fallujah people - civilians, kids, women, who have no power but through being represented by somebody. Since the situation has got up to this, each can go wherever they want and we don't need to talk about negotiations," he said in an interview on al-Arabiya TV.

Copyright (c) 2004, RFE/RL Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave NW, Washington DC 20036


Oct 20, 2004
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