Middle East

America's military 'imperial perimeter'
By Marco Garrido

MANILA - Late last month unidentified senior officials in the administration of US President George W Bush revealed to the New York Times that the Pentagon planned to maintain at least four military bases in key locations in Iraq. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld lamented the report as "inaccurate and unfortunate", denying that the US planned to establish "some sort of permanent presence" in Iraq. "We don't plan to function as occupiers," he said.

Despite Rumsfeld's demurral, there is no doubt that a US presence in Iraq, whether considered "permanent" or not, goes a long way in furthering US strategic objectives in the region. With more than a foothold in Iraq, the US military can now more effectively convey its power into neighboring Iran and Syria. Already, Syria has shown signs of capitulating to US influence by closing the offices of three militant anti-Israel groups that the United States considers terrorist. Iran, for all its obduracy, is virtually enmeshed in a web of US influence, flanked on either side by the US military in Iraq and Afghanistan. Indeed, it is not just Syria and Iran. The war on terror, with its wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, has seen the US military gird the globe like never before.

We have you surrounded
In the words of one senior official in the Bush administration: "On September 11 [2001] we woke up and found ourselves in Central Asia. We found ourselves in Eastern Europe as never before, as the gateway to Central Asia and the Middle East." And after Iraq, the US found - or rather, placed - itself in the Middle East. The widening scope of US military deployments configure what one analyst calls an "imperial perimeter" hemming in the aspirations of regional great powers-rivals with the United States for local influence - by projecting US might as preponderant and proximate.

New bases in the Central Asian republics of Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, along with its sizable military presence in Afghanistan, not only enable the US to loom over Iran and Syria but put it right in Russia's underbelly and at China's western frontier.

To its west, Russia is further pinched by US bases in a number of Central and Eastern European states. Although temporarily set up to assist in the campaign against Iraq, bases in such states as Romania, Bulgaria, and Slovakia are likely to become more permanent, especially given their recent inclusion in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

China finds itself likewise corralled. Looking east, it finds 47,000 US troops in Japan and 37,000 in South Korea. If that weren't daunting enough, it finds in Southeast Asia a security network woven out of bilateral access agreements with the United States. Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines allow the US access to their ports, airfields, repair facilities, and training grounds in return for aid, equipment, and training. This web of access agreements, which provides for the rapid deployment of US troops, in effect checks Chinese ambitions on Taiwan.

While US military pre-eminence curbs the influence of regional great powers, it can also foster dependence in lesser ones. The US-dominated security net in Southeast Asia, for example, discourages the emergence of alternative balance-of-influence arrangements - among the United States, Russia, China and Japan, for instance - as well as mutes the potential of regional organizations such as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Regional Forum (ARF). That is to say, US military power has a way of becoming entrenched by making itself seem necessary.

An ambiguous war on an elusive enemy
Recent US military expansion could not have happened if not for the events of September 11, 2001. The "war on terror" provided both the justification and opportunity for new military campaigns. It also informed the strategic objectives behind them. Under the war on terror, military deployments are expected to do more than maintain balances of power in the United States' favor. They are expected to reduce the threat of terrorism for the US and the world.

To this extent, a new strategy is needed for the new enemy. In terrorism, the US confronts a notoriously elusive adversary, one with multiple forms and faces and without clear national allegiances. Since terrorism is transnational, targeting states proves at best a blunt resort. As with Afghanistan, one may succeed in eliminating a terrorist haven and even go so far as to topple regimes sponsoring terrorism but still fail to extirpate the terrorists themselves.

Moreover, security arrangements designed for Cold War realities have become archaic. While maintaining 80,000 US troops in Germany may have provided an effective bulwark against Soviet expansionism, it does little to deter terrorist activity in Asia and the Middle East.

Senator George Allen, chairman of the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee's Subcommittee on European Affairs, argues that basing options in Central and Eastern Europe have become more relevant in this new war. They are closer to current threats, they would be cheaper to maintain and, in contrast to recent sentiment in Germany over war with Iraq, their host nations in Central and Eastern Europe would be more welcoming of a US military presence. "Now is the time to re-evaluate our basing choices in Europe. We should do this not to punish any ally who did not agree with us, nor even simply to reward our newest (and supportive) European allies, but to serve the strategic interests of the United States of America."

In the war on terror, access is what matters. With access comes greater military maneuverability, which security analyst and Asia Times Online contributor Stephen Blank credits with honing US military superiority to virtual decisiveness. Even without basing, as long as the ability of US forces to deploy in key nations remains unhindered, the United States achieves its tactical objective: to make its presence felt, not only in terms of managing the ambitions of rival regional powers but, in at least one case, also in terms of being able to involve itself in local campaigns against terrorism.

In the Philippines, US troops have taken part in operations against the bandit-cum-terrorist Abu Sayyaf group. While US forces have been restricted to largely non-combat roles, critics question their involvement in the local conflict of a sovereign nation. The United States has justified involving itself by citing links between the Abu Sayyaf and global terrorism. Under the war on terror, the imputation of such links is sufficient reason for intervention.

Whether the Philippines will be a singular case remains to be seen. Clearly, however, as recent campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq attest, the objectives of the war on terror are broad enough to justify not only the expansion of US military might across states but also its extension into states.

Growing resentment
US military expansionism understandably alarms some countries such as Iran and Syria that fear an invasion; and it discomfits others such as China and Russia that fear competition for influence and natural resources such as Central Asia's oil. But America's growing military presence also makes its allies uneasy.

US bases, especially in Asia, have long been a lightning rod for anti-American resentment. Okinawans living near the base there have had to contend with such daily irritations as the deafening noise from shelling practice or from jets flying overhead. The growth of vice industries such as prostitution and gambling tinge their community with an air of corruption. Prime land is gobbled up by the military for airstrips and golf courses, while the refuse from the bases is dumped, sometimes indiscriminately, in the surrounding area. In Seoul, US troops were found to have dumped untreated chemicals into the city sewerage system. In the Philippines, the legacy of toxic-waste dumping continues to ail residents living near the site of former US bases.

But it has been incidents of criminal abuse by US servicemen that have ignited the most strenuous calls for the Americans to withdraw. Okinawans still remember how three US servicemen raped a 12-year-old girl in 1995. In 2000, after a 14-year-old girl had been fondled by a drunken marine, then president Bill Clinton promised to lessen the US "footprint" on the island and try harder to be "a good neighbor". The following year, when a marine sergeant lifted up the skirt of a schoolgirl to take photographs, Okinawans took matters into their own hands. The Okinawa Prefectural Assembly passed an unprecedented resolution demanding, unsuccessfully, that the United States reduce its military presence on the island.

A US military presence can incite anti-American sentiments even in nations without bases. Although the Philippines got rid of its bases more than 10 years ago, security agreements concluded with the United States continue to rouse fierce opposition. In order to pass the 2002 Mutual Logistics and Support Agreement through the Philippine Senate, an accord that Philippine Foreign Secretary Blas Ople described, perhaps understatedly, as "nothing but administrative and accounting procedures", a clause had to be inserted explicitly prohibiting the establishment of US bases, facilities, and permanent structures. Similarly, when Rumsfeld seemed to sanction a combat role for US troops in the Balikatan 03-1 joint US-Philippine military exercises against the Abu Sayyaf, public outcry was so great, even after the terms of Balikatan had been clarified to disallow any combat role for US troops, that Philippine President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo had to scuttle the exercises until after the war with Iraq.

At a time when the mandate of US troops abroad seems increasingly ambiguous, this insistence on precision, on defining the exact scope of US operations, seems to reflect an assertion of sovereignty in the face of US ubiquity. While America's allies permit, perhaps even bless, its military predominance, they seem as interested in limiting its scope to that which is absolutely necessary. Power within limits, largely unsheathed, seems the goal, as embodied in the administrations of Franklin Delano Roosevelt and Harry Truman. Under their helm, Fareed Zakaria writes, the United States "reassured countries - through word and deed, style and substance - that [its] mammoth power need not be feared".

However, recent forays into Afghanistan and Iraq raise the specter of a military power utterly unharnessed and ultimately threatening, even to its friends. Political sociologist Walden Bello argues that under the current neo-conservative administration, Washington's goal of even greater global dominance will succeed only in generating widespread opposition. This opposition, whether articulated by states or through popular demonstrations, will belie US gains in military reach and strength and beset its movements with resistance. In short, what Bello calls imperial overstretch will ultimately prove self-defeating.

Zakaria sounds a similar warning. "America's special role in the world," he writes, "... is based not simply on its great strength, but on a global faith that this power is legitimate." If such faith is squandered, the United States of America, for all its power, will find itself increasingly under fire and isolated.

(©2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
May 17, 2003



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