Middle East

For this war, Jordan switches sides
By Ferry Biedermann

AMMAN - A group of Iraqi exiles sitting down at the end of a day of fasting in Café Central in downtown Amman are not worried that the US wants to attack Iraq. But they are surprised by the opposition to it from many Arabs.

"Arabs don't know what we've been through, they don't know what life is like under Saddam's regime," says Jamal Boustani, an Iraqi writer in exile. "I don't understand why they're angry and why they want to demonstrate against a US war to topple Saddam when we are actually hoping for change."

Such views are not uncommon among the some 300,000 Iraqis in Jordan. They are skeptical of Saddam Hussein's apparent softening toward his opponents in releasing political prisoners last month, and in declaring an amnesty. The Iraqi embassy in Amman says some 700 new passports have been issued to exiles since then, but few believe that figure. And no one thinks that any outspoken opponent of the Iraqi regime is among the applicants.

Jordan is a haven for Iraqis fleeing Saddam Hussein. The kingdom is regarded as among the most stable and loyal allies of the West in the region. But many Jordanians vehemently oppose an attack on Iraq.

During the Gulf War the late King Hussein represented the will of the people in keeping Jordan out of the coalition against Iraq. Other Arab countries such as Egypt and Syria backed the US and received its largesse in return.

Jordan not only angered the US but also Gulf nations that had given Jordan much-needed economic aid, and provided work opportunities for its people. Jordan was severely punished for its perceived pro-Saddam stance after the Gulf War, and many of those sources of money dried up.

As trade with Iraq collapsed, Jordan suffered more than most of Iraq's neighbors. Only recently have some of the Gulf countries restored their ties to the old levels. And it is only after the 1998 oil-for-food protocol that trade has recovered. US aid to Jordan has also risen, to a record US$235 million in civilian aid and some US$200 million in military support in the current US financial year.

The tables seem to have turned in the Arab world. Syria and Egypt are now counselling the US against attacking Iraq, while the Jordanian government is said to be quietly aiding the US effort. In the streets of Amman this has inevitably led to grumbling that "America is running this country".

The local unrest has increased after heavy-handed suppression of demonstrations in support of people in Gaza and the West Bank. The official figure for Jordanians of Palestinian descent is 40 percent in a country of 5.3 million. Unofficially, Palestinian-Jordanians are believed to be the majority.

The focus has shifted now from dissatisfaction with the government's response to the intifada to unhappiness over its position on Iraq. Laurence Foley, a senior administrator with the US AID program, was shot dead last month. Last year an Israeli businessman was shot dead in Amman. There are fears that these may not remain isolated incidents.

Rami Khoury, a member of the Middle East team of the International Crisis Group, says the murder of Foley could be the beginning of long-term violence against foreigners across the Arab world. "There are a lot of very frustrated, angry, humiliated people," he says. "There is a widening gap between governments and their people in many cases and Jordan is one of those cases."

Most suspicions focus on Islamic fundamentalists. Jordan is the only country in the region where the fundamentalist Muslim Brotherhood is not banned and where its political wing, the Islamic Action Front (IAF), can openly engage in politics, even though its members are singled out for close scrutiny by the security services.

"The targeting of Islamists is an unjust measure and does not serve the country's interests," IAF secretary-general Hamza Mansour warned at a conference of Muslim scholars in Amman last week. "If this US policy that we and others condemn does not stop, the price will be heavy," said Mansour. The assembled scholars warned Arab governments in a fatwa, or Islamic edict, that support for the US plans would be un-Islamic.

The fatwa says: "It is considered a crime against Islamic Sharia law what ruling governments have adopted in outlawing jihad and preventing Muslims from fighting the US invaders. It is not permissible for any Muslim to help Americans in any way possible, whether by guiding him or her to roads that harm Muslims or filling their planes or cars with fuel or selling the aggressor a piece of bread or even giving them water."

The fatwa is clearly aimed at the Jordanian government. The monarch, King Abdullah II, has indicated that he will not follow the stand taken during the Gulf War. His new slogan is 'Jordan First'. An American-dominated Iraq can mean a new market for Jordan and revival of its old trade route.

Opponents of a US attack on Iraq see in that slogan a message of things to come. "We are worried that this slogan is a way of preparing people for Jordan siding with the Americans in a war against Iraq," says Jamal Abu Bakr, deputy secretary-general of the IAF.

The fundamentalist position has drawn a sharp response from pro-government politicians. "We will have to deal strictly with agitators and organizers of unauthorized demonstrations," says senator Marwan Dudin. "Everybody has to abide by the national consensus that Jordan is a moderate and respectable country. We can never be free of people who are fanatic, before or after September 11, but you must be aware of what our security apparatus can do to thwart any attempts at terrorist attacks."

While the US is preparing for an attack on Iraq, Jordan is preparing for the regional fall-out. There is support for the US within the government and among the Iraqis here. The anger among the Islamists and the Jordanians of Palestinian descent is also palpable, but the government has a long track record of handling such dissent.

(Inter Press Service)
 
Nov 12, 2002



 

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