Middle East

COMMENTARY
Smoke on the water

By Paul Belden

Four days after a blast tore a chunk out of the side of the French-owned supertanker Limburg in the Arabian Gulf off the coast of Yemen, there seems only one thing anyone can say for certain about the incident: There was a genuine hero out there on the water that day.

With the tanker sitting dead in the water inside a lake of burning oil, with its sailors diving off the bow 80 feet down into that burning lake, with the smoke so think that you couldn't tell what was going on, or what might explode next, the driver of a Zodiac pilot boat kept his craft as close to the Limburg as possible, and he picked up survivors.

"The British pilot, he's the hero," Georgi Novakov, one of those survivors, told the Washington Post. "He was not afraid to go near the fire with the little motorboat."

Which was more than one could say for the tugboats that were also on hand to guide the ship into port; they all kept their distance.

Other than that, though, nobody seems to know anything. Was the blast an accident? Was it terrorism? The captain, Hubert Ardillon, seems to think the latter. "I am very sure the first explosion was from the outside [the ship]," he told Reuters on Tuesday. But in this, he was opposed by the Yemenis, the French Foreign Ministry in Paris, and Mahathir Mohamad, Prime Minister of Malaysia (where the ship was chartered), who all had their doubts.

The swinging back and forth went on all week. One day Marcel Goncalves, a vice consul at the French embassy in the Yemeni capital of Sanaa, was whispering "terrorism" to Agence France Presse, and the next day the French Foreign Ministry in Paris was issuing a statement distancing itself from the resulting report.

But on Wednesday a Reuters photograph surfaced that seems to unmistakably show a hole in the Limburg's hull right at the waterline with the metal blown inward - ruling out an internal blast - so it seems safe to conclude that the blast was the work of terrorists. Of some sort.

But what sort?

Here we are, right back where we started. Not knowing anything. Because if this was terror, it was of a different sort. An act of terrorism is meant to be known. It is meant to be seen for what it is. It is meant to convey a message, convey terror. That is its very raison d'etre.

Not this blast. If there was a message here, nobody was getting it. Still, we can make the attempt. The usual suspects are out there. Let's round them up.

It was al-Qaeda! Even hiding out in Kunar province in Afghanistan, as many believe - Osama bin Laden still leads the conspiracy pack, and he probably always will. Even if he really is dead. (Probably the only way that the US will be able to kill the bin Laden legend will be to find his DNA, clone it, grow another, set him loose, and damn it, this time, get him!) But since al-Qaeda is generally acknowledged to have blown up the USS Cole, a bombing that occurred two years ago to the week of the Limburg blast and less than 400 miles away, in the same country, using the same modus operandi - case closed. Right? Well, not quite. It could have been ...

The Yemenis! They had every reason. Just to show George W Bush that, war or no war, it's still their port and that they'll blow things up in it whether he likes it or not. And US Special Forces have supposedly been charging around the country for the past six months or so - maybe this was the Yemeni version of the rebel yell. Or maybe it was ...

Carlos the Jackal. We at Asia Times Online explored that possibility on Tuesday. (The jackal's eyes gleam) and I'm certainly in no position to judge. But it made for a good headline. Arrest that man! No wait ...

Maybe it was the US! Haven't the war hawks been trumpeting their supposed strategic link between al-Qaeda and Baghdad for weeks now? And all the time the world just sort of smiled and nodded and went its business. You want a link? Here's your link! Also, the tanker was French. Still, it could have been ...

Saddam Hussein! Maybe Saddam doesn't need any stinking war hawks to help him link up with al-Qaeda, or even to help him publicize it - maybe he's proud of it! Maybe he thinks that by blowing up a supertanker in the Arabian Sea he can give the US a little taste of what he's got cooking up in case of invasion. Shove me around, buddy, and you lose your sea lanes real quick, maybe he's saying.

Does that about cover the possibilities? Oh yeah, almost forgot ... it was Israel's Mossad! Well, of course it was ... everyone knows that you can't have a conspiracy without the Mossad. Did the Jewish sailors show up for work that day? Has anyone checked?

So which one of those theories is correct? If it was a bomb, one of them - whether it's listed here or not - has to be, right?

Here's a crazy idea ... maybe it wasn't one of them. Maybe it was all of them. After all, as any spinmaster can tell you, perception is reality, and maybe the simple fact of Asia Times Online's running a story on Tuesday speculating that Carlos the Jackal could have been behind the bombing ... means that he was behind the bombing!

The headline on that story, as we mentioned, was The Jackal's eyes gleam. As well they might. Carlos has been in the game long enough to realize that it doesn't matter whether he actually had anything to do with the attack. All that's beside the point. He gets to gleam anyway! And smirk at his jailor.

So. They're all true. As long as someone, somewhere, believes or writes or reads it, it's true. And in the stew of conspiracy that is the Internet these days, you can bet that's the case. Because somebody somewhere out there believes that the CIA was behind the attack. Because somebody somewhere believes that it could have been the work of no one other than bin Laden - it was the work of Osama. And the Mossad. They're all in it together anyway, you know.

Which leaves us where? Well, it leaves us with one dead Bulgarian sailor to mourn, 29 saved lives to celebrate, a hell of a mess to clean up - and one truly admirable act of courage by an as-yet unidentified port pilot.

Now here's something we can all point at and say, without a doubt, that it was the real thing.

(©2002 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)

 
Oct 10, 2002



Tanker blast: Experts cry 'Osama!' (Oct 9, '02)

The jackal's eyes gleam (Oct 9, '02)

 

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