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Seoul's new envoy may not please US
By Jaewoo Choo

SEOUL - After weeks of hard thinking over what he perceived as "insulting" remarks by officials in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun accepted the resignation of foreign minister Yoon Young-kwan. And late Friday he replaced him with his recent foreign-affairs adviser, Ban Ki-moon, something of a mystery diplomat who over many years has seldom expressed his own views.

Some see Ban, a Western-oriented career diplomat, as friendly to the United States and his appointment a sign of improving relations after Roh's pursuit of relative independence from Washington. Others, however, see him as a polished and pragmatic messenger boy who initially may put Washington at ease while actually promoting his president's desire for a more Korea-centered policy and reluctance to satisfy Washington's every whim and diktat.

After a major internal debate, South Korea decided not to satisfy the US request for 5,000-10,000 combat troops in Iraq. Instead, Seoul has deployed only 3,000 combat and non-combat forces - and this after heated debate about how far to follow Washington's lead in an unpopular and dangerous war and occupation. The new foreign minister is considered unlikely to put troops in harm's way.

From within the Foreign Ministry had come some criticism of Roh's distancing from the United States - politically popular with many voters. Some close to Roh in the ministry's rival, the National Security Council, were reportedly dubbed "the Taliban". It got worse, and the foreign minister had to accept the blame for not disciplining his outspoken subordinates.

The sacking/resignation and new appointment generated controversy and two differing reactions. Some viewed it as Roh's wise determination to repair the apparently drifting Seoul-Washington relationship by installing a more experienced minister with a long background as a career diplomat. Others saw it as only a tactical move intended to enhance Roh's ambition in pursuing a more independent diplomacy.

At least on the surface, the move would appear to endorse the argument for remedying Korea-US ties. The underlying story, however, tells more about Roh's pursuit of independence from Washington.

Some diplomats criticize distancing from US
The day before Yoon submitted his resignation, Roh delivered his New Year's address, clearing indicating his disapproval of unflattering comments about his policies that were relayed to US officials and leaked to the media. A controversial investigation was launched into the behavior of Foreign Ministry officials who were alleged to have expressed their dissatisfaction with Roh and his government's policy to the US side.

Roh expressed his displeasure: "There were informational leaks intended to change presidential policy. There were also leaks intended to influence policy details after larger policy had been decided." The president acknowledged that there were differences of opinion and misunderstanding among these officials concerning South Korea's US policy. He emphasized his early warnings to the Foreign Ministry dissenters, saying, "We requested they follow [policy] after cautioning them on several occasions, and it got to the point where some among them immediately objected and began to speak in insulting language."

From such a standpoint, Roh - a strong advocate of a policy diverging from that of the United States during his presidential campaign in late 2002 - seems to be taking action to stabilize the critical bilateral relationship said by some to be in its most dangerous phase in its half-century history.

Against this backdrop, Roh hand-picked as his new foreign minister Ban, a diplomat with 34 years of experience. Roh's spokesman called Ban his nation's "savviest" civil servant when it comes to the United States, US foreign policy, and US diplomats and foreign-policy makers. Roh's choice of his new minister also drew something very rare these days from Washington: a positive remark about South Korea.

State Department spokesman Richard Boucher told a news conference on Friday that Ban is "well known [in the US] and liked here, so we look forward to working with him, and the secretary called him this morning and made that clear ... Ban Ki-moon is one of the Republic of Korea's most experienced diplomats and prominent civil servants." The next day, US Secretary of State Colin Powell seemed pleased with Roh's choice, and Boucher reported that the two officials already had discussed ways to enhance the two countries' alliance beyond its current status.

Well aware of the reasons for his appointment, Ban told a news conference after his appointment that he values the alliance with the US and is ready to pursue what he called "balanced pragmatic" diplomacy in handling South Korea's current foreign-policy agenda.

Appointment may promote independence
Ban's appointment, despite all the rhetoric of good feelings, may well be an effort to promote the independent policy that has so distressed Washington and Roh's critics at home.

The stated reasons for the Ban appointment are his expertise in the business of government and diplomacy in which he maintains harmonious personal relations. According to Cheong Wa Dae (Blue House, South Korea's presidential residence) senior secretary for civil affairs Chung Chan-yong, "We believe he will play a good role as minister for Foreign Ministry employees who are feeling tense, and he understands the foreign policy, position and philosophy of President Roh Moo-hyun."

In other words, what Roh sees in his new minister is the ability and capacity to carry out his foreign-policy vision, known as "independent" diplomacy, the main cause of all the turbulence in the ministry. Although in his remarks to ministry staff and to the press Ban successfully avoided use of the term "independence", as long as Roh does not publicly renounce his pursuit of such diplomatic independence, it will remain the top goal of his foreign-policy agenda, especially in view of the pending National Assembly election in April.

Roh's ambition for "independent" diplomacy will continue as long as the National Security Council has the upper hand over the Foreign Ministry in formulating South Korea's foreign policy. In spite of Ban's declaration that there won't be any friction between the two institutions as long as he is around, this can be read, at best, as the rhetoric of domestic diplomacy.

Not too many people will bet on Ban's words, mainly for two reasons.

First, Roh does not seem to have a vision for his foreign policy, since in his New Year's address he did not articulate specifics of his government's position and policy on its the current agenda. This includes the North Korean nuclear issue, Japanese claims of sovereignty over Dokdo (also known as Senkaku Island), Chinese efforts to persuade the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) to recognize the Goguryeo tomb as an international cultural site (see Northeast Asia's intra-mural mural wars, December 23, 2003), US troop deployment, and dispatch of South Korean troops to Iraq.

Instead, President Roh used the occasion simply to express his deep concern about those who "insulted" his government's foreign policy. Thus, with the man he trusts in the top position at the ministry, the career diplomats will be carrying out, not shaping, policy. Ban will coordinate between Roh's National Security Council and the Foreign Ministry, which will merely receive instructions from the NSC.

Second, Ban's splendid and successful career speaks for itself as to his future role as a minister. Since joining South Korea's foreign service in the 1970s, Ban has enjoyed far more success than anyone of his rank, despite changes in his nation's leadership. He survived leaders who relied heavily on regional factions, or regionalism, which ordained virtually all personnel decisions. Not one of the successive presidents, in other words, was from Ban's home region. On the contrary, it may have worked to his advantage because it allowed him to concentrate as a professional on his work, rather than taking sides with any faction.

However, it is difficult to know Ban's own vision and stance on Korean diplomacy since he became a prominent figure on the diplomatic scene in the early 1990s. While serving in a succession of important posts to which he was appointed by former presidents Kim Yong-sam and Kim Dae-jung and the current President Roh, Ban rarely expressed his views and thinking on agendas and challenges confronting South Korea. He acted as if he were merely a messenger of these presidents and their counterpart leaders in the US and Japan. This was evident in his work as a representative to the Trilateral Coordination and Oversight Group and to the UN, and in his appointment as vice minister and senior secretary for national security and foreign affairs. In all these positions, he was particularly adept in reiterating his presidents' views and policies when relaying their messages at discussion tables.

So, on one level, Western governments may find Ban relatively easy to work with.

Ban's major handicap at this critical juncture in carrying out a "balanced pragmatic" diplomacy, as he proclaimed, is his relative lack of deep understanding of Korea's powerful neighbors, China, Russia and Japan. He visited China for the first time last July when he accompanied Roh. When asked by the Korean press about his relative lack of experience in certain areas, Ban explained that the positions he has held throughout his career limited his work and visits largely to the US and Western nations. Since Roh has not visited Russia, by the same logic, neither has Ban. He may not necessarily have to understand all the affairs of these nations, but he understands the affairs of the Blue House, and he will continue to fulfill his president's orders, as he has in the past.

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Jan 21, 2004



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