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    Japan
     Feb 20, 2010
Webb walks the line on redeployment
By Peter J Brown

United States Senator Jim Webb of Virginia has completed a week-long tour of the Asia-Pacific region to meet officials in Tokyo, Okinawa and Guam, among other places. Webb serves as chairman of the US Senate's Committee on Foreign Relations' East Asia and Pacific Affairs sub-committee as well as chairman of the personnel sub-committee on the Committee on Armed Services.

He planned this trip for a number of reasons. Webb has a strong interest in personnel-related basing decisions in Japan. He is also

  

keenly interested in the "big picture" when it comes to US relations with Asian countries in general.

The primary purpose of Webb's trip was to evaluate the status of the US plan to relocate the US Marine Corps' Futenma air base from Ginowan to Nago on Okinawa. That is, if Japan ultimately decides to carry out this proposal, which was approved by a previous government in 2006.

Webb now realizes that Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama's government will fall apart instantly if the premier decides to go ahead and, in effect, break a promise that he made during his election campaign last year to uphold the wishes of the local electorate on Okinawa. A clear majority there do not want this relocation to happen.

Webb was also interested in finding out what has to be done on Guam to prepare for the proper housing and accommodation of thousands of marines, their families and support personnel who will be transferred there as part of the relocation plan.

When Webb visited Guam, he was not caught off guard by several senior elected officials telling him point blank that Guam is simply not prepared to meet the 2014 timetable for the relocation of the USMC personnel moving from Okinawa to Guam. These would be just some of the estimated 80,000 people, slightly less than half the island's present population, who will arrive over the next four years as part of a huge US military buildup on the island.

US Congresswoman Madeleine Bordallo, who represents the island and describes Webb as "a friend of Guam", seems increasingly annoyed that it will soon have to deal with a sudden population surge.

"Nobody wants 80,000 additional people on Guam in 2014," she said. "We will do everything that we can, federally and locally, to stop that from happening. As I said before, we have our foot on the brakes. I will not support appropriations and authorizations that will result in a construction pace that brings 80,000 people to Guam in 2014."

For Bordallo, Governor Felix Camacho, and other elected representatives, there was a growing sense of urgency as they tried to convince an influential member of the US Senate that the US military presence on Guam is entering an awkward phase, and that more coherent planning and better coordination was necessary.

It is safe to say that Okinawa is not the only place where the local population is frustrated and increasingly uncomfortable with US military bases as neighbors. While Guam may be reluctant to admit, it appears to be slowly tilting in the same direction.

This is no minor matter. US President Barack Obama will visit Guam next month as part of his upcoming trip to the region, which will include stops in Indonesia and Australia.

The last thing that the Obama team wants to confront is a media circus spawned by upset residents complaining about the US government's seizure of more land on Guam, or about how acres of precious coral reefs may be destroyed in the military makeover.
Webb's timing for this trip was ideal. He arrived on Guam just days after Bordallo had openly confronted US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and US Navy Admiral Michael Mullen, chairman of the Join Chiefs of Staff during a defense budget hearing on Capitol Hill.

She planted important buzzwords like "coral reefs" and "aircraft carriers" in the ears of the two top US military decision makers after complaining loudly that any outright seizure of additional land by the US military outside its existing "footprint" on Guam was unacceptable. It is doubtful, by the way, that Bordallo enjoyed making Gates and Mullen squirm in their seats. This was simply meant to send a strong message to the White House.

Bordallo probably is aware that Webb is in the midst of another base-related showdown involving aircraft carriers. There is a proposal to shift an aircraft carrier battle group from Webb's state of Virginia - more specifically from Norfolk, the home base of the US Atlantic Fleet in Virginia - to a base further south in Florida. Webb's antenna went up immediately when this proposal first surfaced, and he adamantly opposes it.

US politicians have battled over the future of US military bases both at home and abroad for years. Webb happens to be an astute Navy-centric politician who is keen on enhancing the US role in Asia at a time when the US government is drowning in red ink.

Webb, a Democrat, is also in a very good position at a time when his political party is going through a very rough time.

Like it or not, Obama needs good advice as he prepares for his second trip to Asia, and Webb who has already upped his profile as a mender of fences following his surprisingly successful foray into Myanmar last year may have important insights to share.

Webb is not Gates. Webb went to Japan, Okinawa and Guam simply to listen, whereas Gates went to Japan in particular not just to listen, but to end the debate and instil in the Japanese a sense of purpose.

When Webb informed Okinawa Governor Hirokazu Nakaima a few days ago that the planned airfield relocation on Okinawa from Ginowan to Nago should go forward for safety reasons, one gets the sense that Webb's statement may have been more polite and predictable than firm and distant.

There is an obvious reason for this assessment. A day before this meeting took place, Webb spoke at the Japan National Press Club in Tokyo, where he urged both countries to find a solution to the problem which allowed both to "feel comfortable".

"There are ways that the American military could be readjusted, but they also have to be able to perform their mission," he said. "I do believe that we must find a solution on the Futenma issue for the well-being of the citizens in that area."

"And I am open to listening to all the suggestions from the Japanese government and also from the people of Okinawa," he added.

Webb is mindful that the presence of US forces on Okinawa has been a political hot potato for years. Former governor Keiichi Inamine, for example, proposed a complete withdrawal of US military personnel from Okinawa in 2003.

Webb even wrote an article in early 2001 for Parade magazine entitled "Should We Leave Okinawa?" in which he mentioned that former Japanese prime minister Ryutaro Hashimoto "speaks often of 'the suffering of the Okinawan people' as a result of the American bases, implicitly supporting their removal".

"Okinawa - 350 miles [563 kilometers] from Taipei, 700 from Seoul, 800 from Manila and about 1,500 from Singapore - is ideally situated not only for the defense of Japan but also for rapid deployment to a wide array of potential crises," Webb wrote. "Ironically, some US defense planners believe that the limits American forces have placed on themselves in order to satisfy the Okinawan people are too restrictive, leading them to recommend a substantial withdrawal from the island."

Webb also highlighted a US National Defense University study in 2000 which recommended a "diversification throughout the Asia-Pacific region" of US forces on Okinawa.

In 2010, Webb did not fly into Tokyo in order to somehow rescue Hatoyama, who has been unable and unwilling to make a final decision on this matter. In fact, Hatoyama is experiencing significant coalition government-induced stress lately thanks to the Socialist Democratic Party (SDP) endorsing the idea that all US forces on Okinawa should ultimately be relocated elsewhere, and the People's New Party (PNP) irritating the SDP considerably by conjuring up relocation alternatives that the SDP is not inclined to approve.

Absent support from the SDP and PNP, the government led by Hatoyama and the Democratic Party of Japan would quickly crumble.

In effect, Hatoyama finds himself pitted against Nago Mayor Susumu Inamine, who is no doubt starting to appreciate the situation in which Bordallo finds herself. These two politicians are not exactly cut from the same cloth. Whereas one finds himself at odds with what is being done to - or more precisely being imposed on - his constituents by the US military, the other grapples with how it is being done and what is best for her constituents.

"I won [the recent mayoral election in Nago], promising local people that I will not allow [the US government] to build any new base," Inamine said recently. "I believe that reflects the will of the local people."

Consider these excerpts from Bordallo's recent congressional report, an annual address presented to the Guam legislature.
The first common ground position concerns the overall military footprint on Guam and the navy's desire to acquire additional private and public lands. We will challenge the Navy to conduct the military build-up on their existing land. The navy should better utilize its land and consider moving housing and some support facilities for the marine aviation unit to Andersen Air Force Base. The navy wants to move 8,600 marines to Guam and their question is how much land will that take? Our question is the navy only has so much land on Guam and how many marines will that land accommodate?
Bordallo means business, and she is not timid when it comes to dealing with Gates, the US Navy or anyone else for that matter.

"The plans for the carrier berth in Apra Harbor will result in a significant loss of coral. I will challenge the navy to identify other alternatives that will minimize coral damage and that will take advantage of currently dredged areas," she said. "There is no ideal solution to the transient berth proposal at Apra Harbor but I would urge a solution that requires the least damage to our coral and the least dredging."

The sensitivity of this situation cannot be overlooked. Obama must step off Air Force One and be seen immediately by the public as a global climate-concerned, coral-hugging friend of Guam.

So, as both the Mayor of Nago, Japan and Guam's lone representative in the US Congress find themselves fending off US military planners and each struggles to preserve the future wellbeing of their communities, a bond may be forming.

This is what Webb's world looked like in mid-February as he trekked across the Pacific trying to emphasize the importance of partnerships at each stop. He walked a fine line and then went home to Virginia.

Peter J Brown is a freelance writer from the US state of Maine.

(Copyright 2010 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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