TOKYO - Fueled by concerns over surging oil prices and accelerating global
warming, resource-poor Japan is revving up its drive to promote biofuels. Most
publicly, tax changes aimed at encouraging motorists to use bio-gasoline are
expected in a few months after the world’s second-largest economy and
third-largest oil consumer started to sell bio-gasoline at a limited number of
gas stations earlier this year on a trial basis.
A preferential tax system for bio-gasoline is expected to be introduced in the
fiscal year starting in April 2008, when tariffs
may also be lifted on imports of a key gasoline additive made from biomass
ethanol.
Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda’s ruling coalition is scheduled to release its
taxation system revision outline for fiscal 2008 on Thursday. Under the planned
tax system, biofuels mixed with gasoline will be exempted from the gasoline tax
- currently 53.8 yen US$0.48) per liter - in proportion to the amount of
biofuels included. For example, gasoline that contains 3% of bioethanol will be
taxed 1.61 yen less per liter than pure gasoline. At present, there is no tax
break for gasoline mixed with biofuels, regardless of the ratios involved.
The government is also expected to make imports of gasoline additive ethyl
tertiary butyl ether tariff-free, removing the current 3.1% import tax.
Even with the tax changes, the government-set goal of saving 500,000 kiloliters
(kl) of crude oil - 3.145 million barrels of oil - per annum by 2010 through
the use of biofuels looks ambitious. Two different types of bio-gasoline being
sold on a trial basis have the drawback of higher production cost than
crude-oil derived fuels and the country also has to rely on imports for almost
all of its bioethanol. To reduce this burden, the government has set a target
of boosting domestic annual production of the gasoline substitute to 6 million
kl by 2030.
It has also established a joint council of government agencies, universities
and 16 leading companies, including Nippon Oil Corp, the country's largest oil
distributor, and Toyota Motor Corp, its largest automaker, to develop
innovative technologies for mass-producing low-cost bioethanol.
The rising oil price is one of the biggest potential threats to the Japanese
economy. The country imports almost all of its oil - 4.2 million barrels a day
last year - with nearly 90% coming from the Middle East. Domestic gasoline
prices soared to their highest-ever levels last week, reaching an average of
154.9 yen, according to the Oil Information Center, after global crude oil
prices hit a record US$99.29 a barrel last month.
The New National Energy Strategy, which was compiled last year by the Ministry
of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), set a goal of reducing the nation's
reliance on oil for transport to 80% from the current 100% by 2030.
Japan is also feeling the heat over the Kyoto Protocol on curbing global
warming. Under the treaty, Japan must reduce its annual emissions of carbon
dioxide (CO2) and several other greenhouse gases (GHGs) by 6% to 1.18 billion
tonnes CO2 equivalent on average between 2008 and 2012 from 1990 levels.
The country's GHG emissions totaled 1.341 billion tonnes CO2 equivalent in
fiscal 2006, according to preliminary figures from the Environment Ministry,
down 1.3% from fiscal 2005 levels but still up 6.4% from the fiscal 1990.
Under the Kyoto Protocol, biofuels made from plants are not regarded as sources
of GHG emissions since the amount of CO2 emitted during their use matches that
absorbed by plants.
In April 2005, two months after the protocol took effect, the government
compiled a comprehensive program to reach its Kyoto goal.
Two lanes
The country started its first test sales of gasoline directly mixed with
bioethanol in October, with the Environment Ministry commissioning the
prefecture government in Osaka to lead the initiative. Gasoline directly
blended with up to 3% of ethanol (E3) began to be sold at two gas stations -
one in Sakai City and the other in Daito City in the western Japanese
prefecture - at the same prices as regular gasoline.
A plant in Sakai, completed in January, produces bioethanol from waste wood and
another plant in Okayama city mixes it with gasoline for sale. E3 supplies in
Osaka are at present limited to some 100 cars of local companies that have
registered with the local government in advance. The number of E3-supplying gas
stations will be increased gradually and they will begin selling the product to
ordinary motorists as early as fiscal 2008.
The Environment Ministry has provided subsidies of 700 million yen for the test
sale project for fiscal 2007. A small test sale has also started on thre
island of Miyakojima, southern Japan, using E3 made from sugar cane
produced there. Meanwhile in November a ministry-owned filling station in
Tokyo’s Shinjuku Gyoen National Garden started supplying E3 to the ministry's
cars. The ministry hopes all other government cars will eventually be fuelled
by E3.
Tests with ETBE were meanwhile started in April by Japanese oil distributors in
the Tokyo metropolitan area. The gasoline additive is made by combining
bioethanol - grain alcohol derived from such plants as sugar cane and corn –
with isobutylene, a petroleum product.
The bio-gasoline now on sale at 50 outlets in the Tokyo metropolitan area is 7%
ETBE-blended - and 3% bioethanol-blended. Prices for the bio-gasoline are at
the same levels as those for regular gasoline. The number of ETBE outlets is to
be expanded to 100 gas stations next year, increasing to 1,000 bio-gasoline
outlets across the country in fiscal 2009.
The Osaka tests sales, originally to be launched in August, were delayed until
October because of the petroleum industry’s refusal to supply gasoline for the
trials due to a dispute with the Environment Ministry over how it should be
mixed with bioethanol. The industry favors gasoline blended with ETBE while the
ministry prefers the direct bioethanol-gasoline mixture.
The petroleum industry backs its opposition to direct mixing with the claim
that it costs more. "The ETBE formula can be done through existing
petroleum-refining facilities," Fumiaki Watari, president of the Petroleum
Association of Japan (PAJ), said earlier this year. The direct mixture formula,
by contrast, requires additional capital spending and cooperation from many
companies, he said.
The Environment Ministry argues, however, that the ETBE formula makes it
technically difficult to raise the concentration of bioethanol in bio-gasoline.
The ministry plans to raise the legal limit on the percentage of bioethanol in
the mix from the present 3% to 10% in the future.
With METI backing, the petroleum industry plans to blend 360,000 kl of ETBE
with gasoline in fiscal 2010 to save consumption of 210,000 kl of crude oil.
That will still be far less than the government's target of saving 500,000 kl
of crude oil through the use of biofuels. The Osaka project is one of the key
steps to save the remaining 290,000 kl.
More fuel Other roadblocks to meeting the crude oil saving target are the negligible
domestic bioethanol production and high production costs of bio-gasoline. The 6
million kl goal for annual biothenal production by 2030 is equivalent to about
10% of present annual gasoline consumption.
To help to meet the target, the recently inaugurated joint council will aim to
develop cost-efficient technologies for mass-producing cellulosic bioethanol by
2015. It will specifically aim to produce bioethanol from rice straw and husks
and used construction materials, such as waste wood and wood chips, at a cost
of 100 yen per liter.
At present, it costs about 2,000 yen to produce one liter of bioethanol from
used construction materials. Production of bioethanol even from sugar cane,
seen as the most cost-effective material, costs about 140 yen per liter.
The council will also aim to develop technology for turning out bioethanol from
the common silver grass, or susuki, at a cost of 40 yen per liter, a
level considered to be internationally competitive. The price takes into
consideration a plan by the US to slash bioethanol production costs to around
30 yen to 40 yen per liter in 2012. The US and Brazil are major producers of
bioethanol.
Hisane Masaki is a Tokyo-based journalist, commentator and scholar on
international politics and economy. Masaki's e-mail address is yiu45535@nifty.com
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