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BOOK REVIEW
Sony's uncertain prospects
Business the Sony Way: Secrets of the World's Most Innovative Electronics Giant by Shu Shin Luh

Review by Gary LaMoshi

Despite a seven-fold increase in profits to 115.5 billion yen (US$964 million) for the business year ended March 31, Sony's shares in Tokyo and New York fell more than 15 percent in late April. Investors focused on a loss of 111 billion yen in the final quarter, indicative of the transition under way at the electronics giant.

With that loss came a forecast of significantly lower profits in the current year - which will suffer from comparison with Spiderman numbers from 2002 - and a $10 billion cost cutting plan. Despite Sony's positioning as a cutting edge technology company, investors are rightly skeptical about its future.

Business the Sony Way doesn't sugarcoat the company's uncertain prospects, even though the paperback belongs to a series that's previously revealed the "secrets" of business stars from Richard Branson to Amazon.com. Veteran business reporter Shu Shin Luh intelligently describes how Sony turned "Made in Japan" from a term of derision into a sign of quality in the 1950s and 60s. Looking ahead, though, what worked to make Sony great isn't necessarily part of the strategy for keeping it great.

Shu's highlights of how founders Masaru Ibuka and Akio Morita built Tokyo Tsushin Kogyo (or Totsuko) from a radio repair shop founded in 1946 into the "world's most reputable consumer electronics company" that is "neither wholly Japanese nor entirely Western" surely warm hearts at Sony's public relations department. Ibuka was the master engineer. Morita was the marketing and management genius. In addition to those skills, each co-founder used links to Japan's prewar and wartime establishment to supplement seed capital of less than $1,000.

In Japan's postwar rubble, Ibuka and Morita moved into territory occupied by established but discredited and devastated electronics firms. They combined their contacts and the notion of employees as family with some very un-Japanese ideas, including a corporate structure that encouraged bottom up innovation. PlayStation, currently Sony's most profitable division, is the latest example of a single employee spearheading a radical corporate turn. The Trinitron color television and the Walkman are other examples of how Sony's open culture gave rise to blockbuster products.

Ibuka and Morita revolted against the stodgy conventions of Japanese business in other ways. Aspiring opera singer Norio Ohga wrote critical letters to Sony about its first product, the tape recorder. That won him a position in the company even while he pursued his performing ambitions; he became Sony's third chairman. More prosaically, Sony challenged the traditional supply chain and sought to control distribution of its products in Japan and overseas to foster an image of quality.

Sony thought of itself as an international company long before it had the size or success typically associated multinationals. Beyond its Wall Street firsts for a Japanese company, Sony focused on overseas markets early, realizing that foreign consumers in general and those throngs of wealthy ones in the victorious United States in particular presented key growth opportunities. Sony's international outlook sent Morita and other executives on overseas assignments and led to Westerners joining Sony's board of directors, another first for a Japanese company.

Ever innovative, Sony has always eschewed product-trend research. Its designers and managers contend that by the time a trend emerges through research, it's too late to develop a product for it (at least for Sony). Yet Sony's understanding of consumer behavior and preferences has been a major strength over the decades. When Sony introduced the transistor radio to the United States in 1957 after its rousing success in Japan, US industry analysts scoffed: in a big country with big houses, who needs little radios? But, as with the Walkman and its ancestor the tape recorder, Sony invented a product filling a need consumers didn't realize they had.

That understanding of consumers may have failed the company with the Betamax video-recording system, but it has made Sony a successful latecomer with VAIO personal computers (PCs), PlayStation, and Clie personal digital assistants (PDAs). It even gave Sony the chutzpah to start making mobile phones.

Paradoxically, Shu notes, Sony joined the parade in low-margin PCs, PDAs and phones because it wants to move beyond electronics manufacturing. Current chairman Noboyuki Idei is known as the Digital Dream Kid (Ibuka was the Transistor Kid and Morita was the Walkman Kid). Shu, like many investors, is obviously uncomfortable with Idei's vision for reinventing Sony. She deserves credit for effectively conveying her doubts. But, unlike mere investors, Shu can't just sell the stock; she needs to sell readers on the reasons Idei's dream inspires so much skepticism.

The digital dream vision - as Shu lays it out from Sony's diagram - envisages leveraging content holdings Sony Music (the former CBS Records) and Sony Pictures (the former Columbia Pictures) to create value chains (Sony eschews the word "synergy") through its digital platforms. Hence, Sony needed to create its own PC, PDA and phone to link users into the value chain.

Shu and the stock market wonder whether Sony can reinvent itself far from its manufacturing roots for this task. Efforts to integrate the company into a dream team haven't been promising, especially since PlayStation godfather Ken Kutaragi and his Sony Computer Entertainment group rest uneasily in the new corporate flow chart. Moreover, outsiders can't help recalling Sony's $2.7 billion Columbia writedown in 1994. AOL Time Warner in the United States and Vivendi Universal overseas have failed to find synergies to make their various media holdings greater than (or even equal to) the sums of the parts. So far the best Sony can offer is a Spiderman movie promoting a Spiderman phone, a breakthrough considering that previous Sony films regularly featured Nokia phones, Samsung televisions and Compaq computers.

Those obvious questions, though valid, miss far bigger issues for Sony. At the most basic level, Shu accepts Idei's contention that Sony must diversify beyond its electronics manufacturing roots for the 21st century. Yet for 57 years, Sony has been finding or inventing new consumer needs to satisfy with its electronic offerings. PlayStation and, before that, the VAIO computer indicate that the company hasn't lost its core competency. By contrast, no Sony group that emerged from Idei's digital dream has made a dime.

Shu also seemingly buys into the company line that the Betamax loss taught Sony the importance of controlling content. If Sony owned the rights to popular movies, that argument goes, then the company could have created demand for its playback system by releasing those movies only in Beta. That interesting, if ignoble, idea sounds all the more appealing when you've got properties like Spiderman and Michael Jackson in your stable.

However, no stable can ever be big enough to hold every horse anyone could ever want. While it may be Idei's vision to have Sony profit at each step of the value chain, what happens to owners of Toshiba computers who want to see the latest Sony Pictures release? Will the gate swing open only for those with Sony equipment?

The Betamax debacle, and its flip side - the victory of the Sony-Philips compact-disc (CD) standard - should have taught Sony the value of standardized open systems. If everyone could have used the same tape and chosen whether to watch it in VHS or Betamax, perhaps Beta would have won. But forcing choices mandates losers and winners.

As digital opportunities arise, Sony should be positioned to take advantage of them on all fronts, no matter who made the phone they're downloading the song on to. The winners will be the companies that find ways to satisfy consumers best. That's something Sony has been doing for more than half a century without a digital dream. Furthermore, that success is built on values Sony now dismisses, such as employment security and the freedom to make mistakes.

In Business the Sony Way Shu sounds a timely alarm. But the book doesn't tell Sony or its investors why they need to stir from a digital dream that's all wet.

Business the Sony Way: Secrets of the World's Most Innovative Electronics Giant by Shu Shin Luh, John Wiley & Sons, 2003. ISBN: 0-470-82097-7. Price: US$17.95, 200 pages (paperback).

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jun 21, 2003



 

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