Global Economy

The real battlefield
By Jayanthi Iyengar

NEW DELHI - The United States may be fighting a conventional war in Iraq, but recent developments have shown that ultimately, in this era of globalization, it will be trade rather than missiles that will determine dominance.

That the importance of trade has not been forgotten even in the midst of this war is clear from an opening salvo fired by the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) on March 31. A METI subcommittee headed by Professor Mitsuo Matsushita of Seikei University released the key points of its 2003 report on the World Trade Organization (WTO) Consistency of Trade Policies by Major Trading Partners. The full report will not be available in English before the end of the month, but the key points highlight four major US failings:

  • Imposition of safeguard measures on imports of 14 steel products.
  • A sunset provision in the anti-dumping agreement that set high standards for revocation of anti-dumping measures.
  • Provisions in the Anti-Dumping Act of 1916 that violate WTO provisions.
  • Anti-dumping measures imposed by the US on certain hot rolled steel products from Japan.

    The summary makes the point that though the United States is the most active user of WTO dispute-settlement mechanisms, "it continues to maintain Article 301 and similar measures that allow for unilateral action". It further notes that the US government has a tendency to use Article 301 in conjunction with WTO dispute-settlement procedures to leverage negotiations. "This is a trend that will require continued monitoring on Japan's part," it states.

    Japan's report does not end with the United States. It also has a list of complaints about the European Union, China and other Asian trading partners. As far as the EU is concerned, Japan's gripe revolves around provisional safeguard measures imposed on the import of 15 steel products, including flat and long products. The provisional safeguard was imposed for six months ending September 28, 2002. However, on September 29, EU imposed a three-year-long definitive safeguard duty against seven steel products, including non-alloy hot rolled steel and cold rolled steel sheets. The report makes the point that the EU is one of the world's main producers and consumers of steel and its implementation of the safeguard measures on the heels of the US measures will have "considerable" influence on world trade in steel. "The result of the EU and US measures has been to give new momentum to protectionism in the trade of steel around the world," it states.

    In China's case, Japan's economic "attack" is wider. The four main points of disputes include:
  • Provisional safeguard measures imposed on the import of steel products (covering 48 customs categories) followed by definitive safeguard measures on import of steel products (27 customs categories).
  • Failure to fulfill tariff concessions on certain photographic and cinematographic products.
  • Failure to implement import quotas for automobiles and major auto parts.
  • Infringement of intellectual property rights (IPR), including counterfeiting and piracy.

    The summary notes that while China has joined the WTO, it still has many issues left to tackle in fulfilling its obligations to the world trade body. These include the enhancement and amendment of a vast body of domestic law, the establishment of a transparent and uniform administration and training of human resources.

    The report states that the accession protocol permits China to maintain an import quota system until the end of 2004, expanding the value of the quota at the rate of 15 percent per annum from an initial US$6 billion. The import quota for 2002 had been set at $7.94 billion according to this formula, but the actual imports were only $3.12 billion between April and December, "raising concerns that the quotas have not been implemented as promised".

    On infringement of IPR, METI's criticism is more scathing. It points out that counterfeits and piracy have been serious problems in China. The Chinese authorities have taken steps to deal with the problem, but little improvement has been seen. The situation will require appropriate and effective administration of laws and enforcement by the judicial and administrative branches of government, not just improvements in laws themselves. "We look for drastic improvement in the enforcement of the existing protection."

    Further, Taiwan and South Korea come in for criticism for lax IPR protection, while India, Indonesia and Thailand have been held responsible for spreading the "abuse and misuse of anti-dumping measures".

    Interestingly, within hours of METI releasing its report, the US government retaliated, setting aside for the moment its concerns over the "shock and awe" in Iraq. In a joint statement issued on the very same day as METI's report, US Trade Representative (USTR) Robert Zoellick and Agriculture Secretary Ann Veneman blasted Japan. They said it was one of the few WTO member countries identified as "blocking progress on agriculture to preserve high protective tariffs on a few products".

    The US officials also said their government was "disappointed but not surprised" that WTO agricultural trade negotiations had missed the crucial March 31 deadline for agreeing on modalities, specific details and time frames for eliminating export subsidies.

    A day later, the USTR released its annual report on foreign trade barriers. "Bringing down barriers to trade promotes growth and prosperity for the United States and the world," Zoellick said while releasing the report. "The [George W] Bush Administration is committed to identifying unfair barriers to US exports and to working aggressively with our trading partners to eliminate the barriers."

    The USTR report describes unfair trade barriers encountered in Africa, Brazil, Canada, China, the EU, India, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, Russia and Ukraine. Covering practices by 56 trade partners, the report precedes by a month a statutory deadline for identifying those countries' practices best suited for action under Special 301 provision of the US trade law against inadequate intellectual property protection. In 2002, for instance, the US imposed retaliatory tariffs under Special 301 on imports from Ukraine.

    The report states that the USTR views as "unfair" the non-tariff barriers on agriculture imposed by the EU, Russia, China, Mexico, Australia, Japan, Taiwan and Venezuela. Barriers in Russia contributed to a $500 million drop in US poultry exports, it states. An EU moratorium on licensing biotechnology products since 1998 has led to lost of export opportunities worth $200 million a year, it elaborates.

    A dramatic increase in trade barriers to agriculture has been reported for Mexico as compared with the previous year, it claims. It reiterates that the US would not renegotiate market access issues in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) settled years ago.

    It further claims high levels of copyright and patent piracy in Europe, Asia and Latin America. It pegs US losses from copyright piracy at $777 million from Brazil alone. If also reiterates the Japanese position on China and states, "The lack of effective IPR enforcement remains a major challenge in China. If significant improvements are to be achieved on this front, China will have to devote considerable resources and political will to this problem."

    (©2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
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