Front Page

Intelligent reform of US intelligence
By Alexander Casella

After having scored both a mid-term election victory at home and a UN Security Council resolution to his liking on Iraq, President George W Bush commented that he still had on his agenda one item of unfinished business that he planned to complete before the end of the year: obtaining congressional approval for the creation of a Department of Homeland Security.

Then, on November 19, Bush's wish came true. By an overwhelming majority of 90 to nine, the US Senate voted to set up a Department of Homeland Security geared specifically to fight terrorism. But, while the vote was undoubtedly a political victory for the Bush administration, it came nowhere close to "finished" business. Indeed, not only will it take years for the department to become operational, the vote underscored the fact that, ultimately, improved internal security will only come about once the American political establishment comes to terms with the fact that "homeland security" is more a state of mind than a bureaucratic mechanism.

Ever since September 11, the concept of homeland security has become an American obsession. Overnight, a nation that for the past 150 years had never been exposed either to a war fought on its soil or to violent spasms of social disruption had to come to terms with the fact that violence was no longer a product made only for export, to be consumed abroad.

Throughout history, homeland security, and its byproduct, internal intelligence, was one of the pillars on which the ruling establishment of every great civilization counted to preserve its hold on power. From Rome to ancient China to Napoleon to Europe's industrialized democracies, internal intelligence was part of the apparatus of the nation state. Initially conceived as an instrument either of internal repression or as a safeguard against coups, or both, intelligence was initially by nature a domestic concern. Thus, while spying on the foreign enemy was a case-by-case activity, geared to specific conflicts, spying on the enemy at home was a full-time activity. By the early 20th century, most industrialized countries had developed somewhat similar security structures that clearly differentiated between foreign intelligence-gathering and homeland security.

Britain, in 1909, created MI5, which was responsible for internal intelligence and reported to the Home Office. Power of arrest rested with the national police, better known as Scotland Yard, while external intelligence was the domain of MI6, which reported to the Foreign Office.

France had a somewhat similar security structure. Its internal intelligence agency, the DST (Directorate for the Security of the Territory) reported to the Ministry of the Interior, while its external intelligence service, the DGSE, reported to the Ministry of Defense. The "Renseignements Generaux", the general intelligence, coordinated both agencies. In addition, the country had a national police force that reported to the Minister of the Interior, as well as a parallel militarized police. This was the "Gendarmerie Nationale", which included anti-terrorist forces as well as armored and helicopter-borne units and was part of the Ministry of Defense. The ultimate purpose of this structure was not only to provide the country with a specialized internal security force but also to ensure that the Ministry of the Interior, through its control of the police and of internal intelligence, would not acquire too much power, and if need be, could be counterbalanced by the Ministry of Defense.

The separation of internal intelligence, external intelligence and police functions was a pattern exclusive to industrialized democracies. The Soviet Union, through the KGB, had amalgamated in one agency the power of arrest as well as both internal and external intelligence. Only the army retained a separate intelligence apparatus, the GRU, but this was purely of a technical nature. Likewise, Nazi Germany merged into a single department - the Central Office for State Security - the police, internal and external intelligence and, as of 1944, even military intelligence.

For obvious reasons, both historical and geographical, the United States addressed the concept of "state security" to suit its own specific needs. With no enemies on its borders, and an internal political system that did not lend itself either to coups or to indigenous subversion, the US never established, throughout its short history, a specific internal intelligence apparatus. Indeed, intelligence as such was perceived essentially as a foreign battlefield-oriented task that was best left to the armed forces. Likewise, the concept of state sovereignty and the lack of a strong central authority precluded the development of a centralized police force. It was therefore only in 1908 that President Theodore Roosevelt ordered an immigrated descendant of Emperor Napoleon, Charles-Joseph Bonaparte, to create, within the Department of Justice, a "Bureau of Investigation" staffed with 34 agents. In 1934 that bureau was renamed the Federal Bureau of Investigation, or the FBI.

Under the direction of its legendary head, J Edgar Hoover, the FBI enforced prohibition, fought the mob and, during World War ll and the subsequent Cold War, expanded its role to include counter-intelligence and the tracking down of Nazi and Soviet agents within the US. While Hoover over the years became obsessed with tracking down "subversion", including homosexuals, civil rights leaders and "liberals" of all kin, the FBI retained the corporate culture of a crime fighting organization, so much so that in 1970 he prohibited all FBI agents from having any contact with the CIA without his specific authorization.

With the onset of World War ll, President Franklin D Roosevelt realized that the nation could no longer rely on the armed forces as the sole source of foreign intelligence and thus needed an independent full-fledged external intelligence agency with an operational capacity. Thus, on June 13, 1942, he created the Office of Strategic Services (OSS), America's first intelligence agency. Under its first director, "Wild Bill" Donovan, the OSS recruited most of its agents among the Ivy League Eastern establishment and was soon referred to as "Oh So Social". While social they indeed were, the OSS proved to be a swashbuckling and courageous lot, parachuting behind German lines in France and altogether making a good show of itself. Off the battlefield, its representative in neutral Switzerland, Allen Dulles, secretly negotiated the surrender of the German armies in Italy, thus saving thousands of Allied lives.

In Asia the OSS did less well, though not for want of trying. Here the main obstacle was not the Japanese but the US Navy. Not only did naval intelligence refuse to share with the OSS its intercepts of Japanese communications, it ultimately it succeeded in excluding the OSS from the Pacific theater. The only exception was Vietnam, where in 1944 an OSS team led by Major Archimedes Patti parachuted into the North, linked up with Ho Chi Minh and undertook to train his forces to fight the Japanese. While Patti's glowing reports on the Viet Minh to Washington were never followed up on the policy level, and the US finally decided to throw its lot with the French, the OSS mission made a profound impression on Ho Chi Minh and can probably rate as one of the great missed opportunities in history.

Whatever its successes, the OSS was never a full-fledged intelligence service, and with the onset of the Cold War, the need for such an institution became imperative. Thus, in 1947, President Harry S Truman created the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), tasked with both the collection of intelligence abroad and the conduct of clandestine operations, if required. The emphasis on "foreign" intelligence was stretched to the limit, with the CIA prohibited from collecting information both on resident aliens and legal immigrants.

While both the FBI and the CIA had their share of failures and successes during the Cold War, they operated in an environment in which the enemy was identified, cautious and predictable. Ultimately, it was a white man's joust in which each contestant knew the limits that were not to be overstepped. And as the years went by, the tools of spycraft became increasingly technical. Aerial or satellite reconnaissance, communications intercepts, global positioning systems and cruise missiles increasingly replaced the scholar-spy or the stealthy assassin. The US by far led this revolution in spycraft. Increasingly human intelligence (or, in the jargon, humint) took a backseat to techno spying. By the time the Soviet Union imploded, a development that no one in Washington had foreseen, the US had the most comprehensive intelligence-gathering network on the planet.

On the eve of September 11, the US had 13 intelligence agencies and 104 government departments with an intelligence responsibility. The resources to support this system were massive. With 9,800 agents at its headquarters and 18,000 in the field, including 40 foreign posts and 456 satellite offices in the US, the FBI presence was pervasive. While figures for CIA personnel are unconfirmed, the agency in 1997 had a budget of US$26.6 billion. The National Security Agency, responsible for communications intercepts, has a staff of 25,000 and a yearly budget of $5 billion. In addition to the Big Five (CIA, FBI, NSA, INR - State Department Intelligence and Research - and DIA - Defense Intelligence Agency), there was a plethora of security services spread throughout government.

Thus the Secret Service, responsible for the security of the president, was part of the Department of the Treasury, while the Coast Guard came under the Department of Transportation. Not only did these various agencies not share data but also they used incompatible or outdated computer systems. Thus it was only in 1999 that the FBI set up an automated fingerprint system.

Visas, for one, were granted by consular officers from the State Department and accepted at entry points by the INS. However, there was no crosschecking with the FBI or the CIA. The failure of the system was highlighted by a minor incident that occurred on March 11, 2002. That day the Huffman Aviation School in Florida received a letter from the INS informing that a certain Mohamed Atta had been approved for a student visa to study flying. There was only one problem. Six months earlier, Atta had been at the controls of one of the aircraft that was flown into the World Trade Center. His visa request, however, had continued to make its way through the labyrinth of the computer system of the INS, unchecked by anyone.

While this incident was essentially a technical glitch, it reflected a number of long-term trends that in the eyes of professional observers have conspired to lead to the intelligence breakdown that resulted in September 11. It is clear today that even with the wisdom of hindsight, no single measure could have prevented the attack - if only for the fact that there was no precedent for suicide hijackings. Where the breakdown occurred was in the mindset of the American political and military establishment. September 11 was not an isolated event, but the last of a long sequence which started with the US and Saudi support of the anti-Soviet jihad in Afghanistan and never considered the possible long-term implications that might result from the fueling of the most extreme form of Islamic fundamentalism.

The breakdown might in part have been prevented had it not been for a fossilization of the whole US intelligence apparatus. Here technological breakthroughs, especially in satellite imagery and intercepts, actually worked against the system. At the turn of the last century, the British had an institution called "the consular service of the Levant". Its diplomats, throughout their whole career, rotated exclusively between London and the countries of the Middle East. Proficient in the local languages and dialect, having established personal contacts over decades, they became the ultimate area specialists, the prototype of the scholar-diplomat who combined experience with a sensitivity for their area which reached far beyond factual analyses.

As such, they represented the exact opposite of the US foreign service/intelligence officer. Washington was always most wary of "area specialists" who were accused of being too close to their subjects. The last of their breed were the China specialists who in 1946 predicted the victory of Mao Zedong, much to Washington's chagrin, and were hounded out of office when their unwelcome predictions came true. The same fate befell the handful of CIA officers who early on concluded that the Vietnam War, in the current context, was unwinnable.

As, over the years, the technical intelligence of the US establishment expanded dramatically, the analytical capacity of the system, not to say the footwork and that special intuition that distinguishes the art of intelligence from craft of spying shrank accordingly. The end result, in the aftermath of September 11, was that the FBI had to advertise for Arab language interpreters; at the time, it had but two. And the CIA conceded that not a single agent had infiltrated the Taliban: too dangerous, too uncomfortable, too long-term.

As the pieces of the pre-September 11 jigsaw puzzle fall into place, it is clear that there was mounting evidence that something was being planned against the US by Islamic fundamentalist groups. On the minus side, the evidence was scattered, piecemeal, often uncorroborated and, last but not least, there was no one to read it. But even if there had been, the only measure that could in theory have been taken was a complete overhaul of airport security and the armoring of aircraft cockpit doors. Given their cost and the disruption that would ensue, none of these measure would have been accepted by either the US population or Congress based solely on often-speculative intelligence reports. Planning for the unforeseen is not what democratic government is all about. Thus one cannot escape the conclusion, that for the US to tighten it overall internal security, September 11 had to happen.

Whether the nascent Department of Homeland Security will achieve its aim is still a major question mark. Administratively, it was set up to bring within one department the functions of border security, immigration, emergency preparedness, science and technology, information analysis, Secret Service and Coast Guard. Each of these, however, will continue to operate as autonomous agencies. Overall, the department will indeed be in a position to "analyze information" on domestic security provided by the FBI, CIA and NSA. In addition, it will be able to gather its own information through such services as the Coast Guard and the Secret Service. This should bring it into collision with the FBI as a rival domestic intelligence-gathering agency.

Several observers feel that ultimately what is needed, and what the Bush administration has shied away from, is a top-to-bottom restructuring and rethinking of the whole US intelligence apparatus. This would entail following in the footsteps of other industrialized democracies and creating a domestic security agency separate from the FBI, which would become an exclusive law-enforcement office. The military would retain control of technical intelligence, which would then be centralized in a Central Analysis Agency that would replace the CIA, from which the "Clandestine Service" would be detached to form an independent entity.

The Cold War saw a standoff between figuratively two elephants. The issues were predictable; the rules of the game known and abided by; and both elephants knew where not to overstep. Today, while the elephant that is now supreme has no more enemies of his size, he is confronted with having to swat a swarm of mosquitoes. The mosquitoes will never kill him, or even seriously hurt him - but they can make life miserable for him. Alternatively, the chance that he will be able to swat all the mosquitoes, even at a considerable cost, is to say the least doubtful.

(©2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies, or to submit a letter to the editor.)
 
Jan 15, 2003




US intelligence failure: Deja vu (Sep 24, '02)

 

FlyChina

Affiliates
Click here to be one)
 


   
       
No material from Asia Times Online may be republished in any form without written permission.
Copyright Asia Times Online, 6306 The Center, Queen’s Road, Central, Hong Kong.