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    China Business
     Dec 24, 2009
Youku, Tudou battle for video billions
By Sherman So

HONG KONG - A three-year battle to be China's leading video-sharing site is coming down to the wire, with front-runners Tudou and Youku looking for recognition as the mainland equivalent of YouTube, the hugely successful US-based site.

The reward for the fleetest could take the form of an initial public offering (IPO) in Nasdaq, the United States share market often favored by Chinese technology companies for raising cash. The founders and venture capital backers of the first past the Nasdaq post can anticipate cashing in their investments and consider the prospect of a soaring share value. The losing company faces a less illustrious future, with a possible sale to a rival or another Internet company.

The race started in 2005 when video-sharing became the hot trend

  

in Silicon Valley. After Google bought the unprofitable YouTube at a remarkable US$1.65 billion in late 2006, more than 100 YouTube wannabes sprang up in China. Now the race is essentially down to two contestants, Shanghai-based Tudou and Beijing-based Youku, competing neck-to-neck in the last round.

Tudou - Chinese for "potatoes" - was among the first web sites to provide video-sharing services in China when it was founded by Gary Wang and Dutchman Marc Van der Chijs in April 2005. The two knew each other through Van der Chijs' wife, who worked with Wang in the China operation of Germany's Bertelsmann Media Group. Like YouTube, at first it was focused on user-generated content - or as the non-tech world calls it, homemade videos.

They soon secured the backing of venture capital investors looking for the next big thing in China. Tudou's first batch of investment was seed money of US$500,000 in 2005. In May 2006, it raised $8.5 million from Granite Global Ventures, JAFCO and IDG VC. By early 2008, Tudou had raised a total of $85 million over four rounds of funding.

Competitors were already on their tail, especially after Google's acquisition of YouTube in November 2006, which demonstrated that video-sharing sites were not only popular but also valuable. At their peak, more than 100 were operating in China, with most looking exactly like their American model.

Pure homemade video was no longer the main attraction. All kinds of pirated materials and erotic content were uploaded to grab attention and market share. Viewers could watch movies that were still showing in the cinemas. Watching TV shows and movies on the sites became a favorite pastime of the young.

By the end of 2008, 238 million people - 80% of China's Internet users - were visiting video-sharing sites, according to researcher IDC.

The industry started to consolidate in 2007, driven by the high cost of developing national networks that would support and deliver video content; only players with the strongest backing could survive. These included ku6.com, 6.cn, 56.com, and Youku, which with the help of venture capital money started to assault Tudou's position as the number one video-sharing operator. Of these, Youku was the most serious contestant.

Youku was founded by Victor Koo, a former president of Sohu, China's second-largest online portal, in December 2006. To challenge Tudou, it has raised $70 million equity investment and another $10 million in loans, and has brought to customers a different approach to content.

Youku focuses on professional content, partnering with local television stations and production houses to obtain programs and movies. Koo's previous experience with Sohu, which stocked its online portal with content from local newspapers and magazines, convinced him that he could have just as much success with professionally produced video.

"China's film and television industry is very fragmented. It is not difficult to convince local television stations and production houses to partner with us," said Koo. Another factor behind his approach is the relatively low availability of home video.

"Homemade video in America has a history of 10 to 20 years," said Koo. "But it only became popular in China in the past two or three years. Good user-generated video content is much less plentiful in China than in America."

While the American television industry is dominated by a few powerful groups such as Walt Disney, CBS, NBC Universal and Time Warner, China has 298 TV companies providing more than 2,000 channels. And whereas the American film industry is concentrated in the hands of a few Hollywood studios, China has over 1,000 film and television production houses.

By the end of 2008, Youku had signed up over 70% of local television companies and most of the film and TV production houses. It later expanded to media companies overseas. Youku offers its partners a small downpayment for the right to show their programs and shares the advertising revenue with them.

Youku also invested heavily in network infrastructure. When it formally launched in December 2006, Youku's national network was mostly in place, and in the following 18 months it continued to expand rapidly in capacity and coverage.

With a decent network and lots of professional content, Youku's popularity soared. By the end of 2008, the young site was attracting 23 million visitors a day, who on average spend an hour a day on the site. As many as 150 million people were by then visiting the site every month.

Most agreed it had surpassed Tudou as the country's number one video-sharing site. A report by the China Internet Society in March 2008 said Youku had a 37.3% market share in the video sharing sector, compared with Tudou's 32.9%.

To compete, Tudou changed its strategy. While it continued to encourage user-generated content, the company shifted its main focus to TV programs and movies. In late 2008, it launched a high-resolution service called "black bean" to play professional content.
It also improved its network infrastructure, but was reluctant to spend freely on bandwidth as Youku had done. "I could easily increase our traffic immediately," said Wang in November 2008. "Just give a phone call to the telecom operators and tell them to increase our bandwidth. But what is the point? Not all traffic is worth pursuing.

"In 2007, we competed with our rivals on traffic. But by early 2008, I realized that competition on traffic was a black hole. Unless you have the support of Google," said Wang, alluding to YouTube's corporate parentage, "the business model is not sustainable."

Helen Wong of GGVC, a venture capital investor that has backed Tudou, highlighted the contrasting development of the two rivals. "Youku was more aggressive in spending money. Tudou chose to test the business model before letting the bandwidth flow freely," she said.

Koo, however, disagreed that higher spending on bandwidth was the only reason for Youku’s lead on Tudou. “Apart from bandwidth, [the site’s] brand name, content and technology also count. I believe a better overall user experience is the key to Youku’s dominance.”

Koo's "aggressive" approach to spending cash was with good reason - he believed the benefits would quickly follow, given the extra benefit of showing TV shows and movies compared with amateur video. "As our content is similar to that of the mainstream media, it is easier to get advertising," he said.

Both Youku and Tudou formally introduced advertising programs in 2008. Their revenue was mainly from display and video ads from a broad spectrum of Chinese and international brands, from automaker Ford to leaders in the computer and electronic gadgets field, such as Samsung, Hewlett-Packard and Lenovo. Sporting-goods makers were represented by Nike, Adidas and Li-Ning, while movie-goers' favorites Coca-Cola and KFC were among others recognizing the value of the sites. This is very different from YouTube, which relies mainly on ads from Google's AdSense network, Koo said.

Youku’s revenue reached 200 million yuan in 2009, said Koo. Most was from brand advertisements, although it has some ads from Google and Baidu. And, some revenue came from its partnerships with e-commerce sites (such as Taobao, China’s leading online auction site) and wireless value added services providers. Tudou's ad revenue was also increasing fast. It has increased 40% from the previous quarter, said Van der Chijs in December.

Yet such are the high bandwidth requirements for carrying video, vastly higher than is required for merely carrying print, that growing ad revenue probably means Tudou and Youku are still making losses, say analysts. "It takes $1 million to $2 million a month to run their operations," said an industry expert.

Perhaps so, but the winds of fortune turned strongly in favor of Youku and Tudou in mid-2009 to the extent that Tudou co-founder Van der Chijs said earlier this year, "We think we can afford to increase our bandwidth again."

That is thanks to a significant cut in the cost of bandwidth after a government-enforced shake-up in the Chinese telecommunications industry. "The competition of telecom operators increased after the telecom restructuring. There are three providers, instead of two. Moreover, their network capabilities have increased," said Wong of GGVC in December. "The unit cost of bandwidth was reduced by 65% compared with a year ago."

With more bandwidth, Tudou's market share is again about same as Youku, said Van der Chijs in December. But, Koo believed Youku was still leading Tudou. A check at Baidu Index, which measures popularity of a site based on searches in the leading Chinese search engine, showed Youku was about 40% more popular than Tudou.

Recently, Tudou placed advertisements to hire a public relations director for international media. Industry insiders said this could mean the company is ready for a listing overseas.

Youku, on the other hand, raised another US$40 million from its investors. “The new investment is to further develop our platform and scale up our operation,” said Koo, “We are also open to strategic investments from other internet companies, as it can make us even stronger.” Market talk says Youku was talking to other Internet companies, such as Sina, the country's leading Chinese portal and Baidu, the leading Chinese search engine.

Without a doubt, the competition between the two will further intensify in the coming year. The winner will head for an IPO. The loser will probably be sold to another internet company.

Recently, smaller rival Ku6 was acquired by wireless value-added service provider, Hurray, which is 51% owned by Nasdaq-listed Shanda, a leading online game player in the mainland.

Sherman So is a Hong Kong-based correspondent and co-author of the book, Red Wired: China's Internet Revolution

This article was amended on January 6, 2010.

(Copyright 2009 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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