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    Greater China
     Mar 31, 2007
Page 2 of 2
BOOK REVIEW

China and the 'enlightened' West
The Writing on the Wall
by Will Hutton

consistent with Enlightenment values. Yet even the more liberal capitalist period was consistent with the slave trade, colonialism and rapacious commercial policies abroad plus aggressive anti-labor policies at home.

This does not seem to bother Hutton very much. In his note of how China was carved up by the colonial powers in the 19th century, he argues that one of the big disadvantages China had in



the conflict was to have been relatively peaceful. The greater experience of competition, conquest and war among the European powers, especially the UK, put them in a commanding position when they sent in the gunboats. Perhaps "Gunboat Enlightenment" is the fuller development of his political concept.

His poster boy for Enlightenment values is the US. This is despite his coverage of US protectionism in the 19th century and up to the 1940s, when he admits that historically "the United States was the undisputed king of protectionism" (p 254). All seems to be okay, however, because after 1947, the US changed tack.

To thwart the new threat from the Soviet Union, the United States turned against an earlier idea of ruralizing Germany and Japan, newly defeated in war. Helped by its clear supremacy in productive capacity and finance at the time, the US instead embarked on a program of trade liberalization that assisted the dramatic growth of the global economy in the post-World War II period.

That phase of "enlightenment" for Hutton seems to have come to an end in the early 1970s, with the onset of the first oil shock and economic crisis. Since then, there has been a retreat from Enlightenment values, led by "a conservative campaign to revitalize American capitalism [that] has grown into an all-devouring monster" (p 284). The devouring consists of a sharp rise in inequality, a "fervent anti-Enlightenment religiosity", the atrophy of regulation, and short-termism in business strategy.

We can all recognize the latter points in contemporary images of the United States. However, this is an odd division of history. What about McCarthyism in the 1950s, or US policy in Asia and Latin America before the 1970s? Were these examples consistent with the Enlightenment tradition? Presumably so. In general, Hutton does not really question US policy. Hence, for example, while the Vietnam War was a "humanitarian and tactical disaster", the "original intent of the war (defeating communism) was justifiable" (p 285).

Enlighten yourself
The irony running through Hutton's book is that it lauds the benefits of liberal market capitalism for China at the same time as the West is giving up on it. He is aware of this, however, and calls for the West (particularly the US and the UK) to return to "Enlightenment values" - as a way both of revitalizing their own economies and of managing the rise of China.

Yet perhaps the real problem is that he can only really point to a 25-year phase of development (roughly from 1945 to 1970) when, in his view, such values reigned supreme. That 25-year period was exceptional in many respects. The US was in an overwhelming position to manage the postwar boom and also to benefit from it, while the challenge from the Soviet Union put some constraints on the exercise of power politics.

Now we are in the post-communist era, and we witness an unstable mix: continued US military pre-eminence, declining US economic power, and the rise of a more preemptive US foreign policy in the so-called "war on terror".

China is now a big element in a more unstable world system, in Hutton's view. Its economic rise challenges US global influence and its political and military policies are not subject to US wishes in the same way as for other major countries. He cites the case of Iran, for example, where China's backing has helped to thwart US policy.

His remedy is twofold: China must be encouraged by the West to reform, and the US must recognize that its current economic problems are "largely home-grown" (p 283) and not China's fault. This would "build China into the world system and genuinely offer it the possibility of co-managing the system for mutual benefit" (p 250).

Overall, Hutton's book reveals a Western policy pundit's anxiety about China's rise in the global economy and the impact that this might have on a more aggressive United States, the former manager of the global capitalist system. The book covers a lot of ground, and is valuable for that. However, its bias is one of allowing far more leeway to accept US policy (despite some criticisms) than to understand the constraints that China has had in trying to thrive in a global economy dominated by the Western powers.

Hutton has an apocalyptic view of China's development if it does not embrace Western values straight away. However, this probably underestimates the Chinese authorities' ability to adapt and to manage the next stages of economic change. The tensions he describes are real enough, however, and will no doubt be the subject of further books in the months and years to come.

The Writing on the Wall: China and the West in the 21st Century by Will Hutton. Published by Little, Brown, 2007. ISBN-10: 0316730181. US$40, 431 pages.

Tony Norfield is a former executive director and global head of foreign-exchange strategy for ABN AMRO Bank. He has traveled extensively in Asia over the past decade.

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