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China, land of 1.3 billion, is short of labor
By Yao Yuan

HONG KONG - It's hard to imagine a labor shortage in China, but there is. With 120 million "farmer workers" having migrated to the cities, and at least 300 million more expected to follow them by 2020, many rural areas are desperately short of labor. Ironically, the unskilled migrants find themselves unemployed in the cities, where there is an unsatisfied demand for skilled workers.

China used to bask in its abundant and cheap labor, a key factor making it the "world's factory" with 1.3 billion people. No longer. For the first time in 20 years, China is experiencing an acute shortage of floating former farm workers, "farmer workers", who become urban migrants, many unemployed. Life in the cities isn't much better than life in the countryside for most.

The reasons: rising and unrealistic expectations of a better life, lack of opportunities in the countryside, lack of factory skills and resentment of exploitation, especially in the cities. And that leaves some rural areas without adequate labor, as workers migrate to overcrowded cities in search of opportunities. So there's a huge pool of floating labor, unemployed and disgruntled.

On the face of it, the booming national economy would seem to be demanding more labor than the country can provide. But the reason is that an increasing number of farmer workers, at the bottom rung of the employment ladder, have had enough exploitation by employers. Therefore, efforts should be redoubled to ensure the welfare of those workers so as to sustain the labor supply and the economic boom, human resources experts and economists point out.

Agriculture has been a lagging for many years in the countryˇŻs modernization process, which in effect attaches the utmost priority to industrial and commercial development. After the first influx of foreign direct investment (FDI) in China, redundant farmers and rural workers moved into towns or cities to sell their labor for a pittance and became what people now call farmer workers - after they found there was not enough cropland to enable them to subsist. So they are neither farmers, nor are they workers.

According to China Daily, there are currently about 120 million migrant laborers in China. It is estimated that another 300 million to 350 million migrant workers will have relocated to urban areas by 2020. That's more than the population of the entire United States, and about one-quarter of the population of China.

For the past few years, seeking to control the chaotic swarm of job-seekers from dull rural areas into boom towns during and after ChinaˇŻs traditional Spring Festival, Chinese authorities warned against the blind optimism of job hunting. These warnings fell on deaf ears because disgruntled ex-farm workers were determined to try their luck in developed cities. Thus the migrant worker population has been snowballing.

Reports: World's factory short of workers
However, numerous reports this year allege that China, often called "the world's factory", is suffering a massive scarcity of farmer workers, especially in the provinces of Guangdong, Fujian, Zhejiang, Jiangxi and Hunan. In the Pearl River Delta, a main venue of FDI in Guangdong province, the huge influx of farmer workers commonly seen in the previous years has disappeared, while manufacturers are complaining about their urgent need for skilled workers. Statistics show that the processing and manufacturing industry in the Pearl River Delta is short of two million workers, and Dongguan city alone (in Guangdong province) in the delta accounts for half of that figure.

Over the past few years, Dongguan has developed as a gargantuan carrier of workshop clusters. The local Labor Bureau released a survey in February, indicating the manpower shortfall at 230,000 employees. The official figure was then diminished in March to somewhere between 60,000 and 70,000. Yet some news media made further investigations and shrugged off the understated statistics, claiming that the factories around Dongguan are still in want of more than one million workers, and two million at least for the whole Pearl River Delta.

On the other hand, the authorities insist on their own calculation. On July 8, Dongguan Labor Bureau chief Mo Haiming, in a symposium with foreign investors, rebutted the "exaggeration" by the media, fixing the shortall number at 20,000 only. It can be presumed that the 20,000 is still acceptable to such a labor-intensive enterprise center as Dongguan, while the 1 million figure would likely sound a danger alarm.

Leaving the numbers controversy aside, what discourages the massive exodus of rural labor from city work comes into the spotlight.The press ascribe it to execrable working conditions, unfavorable salaries, unprotected legal rights, etc. The farmer workers have learned to say "no" to unfair treatment, according to media reports, even if that means no work or the underground economy.

That explanation has finally gained widespread recognition in China. Admittedly, farmer workers - the floating or migrant workers - have long been the poorest laborers who eke out a living in labor-intensive, high-overtime and ill-paying jobs in vile working conditions. But they are not given the respect or care that they deserve; they often have to wait long after their scheduled pay day to get their belated salaries.

Now, the burgeoning labor shortage has reminded the country - which powers its economy through the efforts of the working class, be they peasants, factory workers or farmer workers - of the interests and well-being of the migrant workers who have been neglected for two decades. In fact, some enterprises in pressing need of labor have adopted measures to retain the workers, such as raising salaries, improving working conditions, promising to protect their legal rights, and so on. 

The Dongguan Labor Bureau is planning to raise the minimum salary standard above 450 yuan (US$54) per month and to set up complaint hotlines to supervise the enforcement of labor laws. In Zhejiang province's Suzhou city, the salary threshold has been lifted from 540 yuan to 620 yuan since July.

It takes more that a meager pay raise
But these measures will not herald the dawn of a better life for the floating workers. First, it is difficult to ensure that government policies - to raise salaries, for example - are strictly implemented, because submitting false reports is a common practice among non-government-funded enterprises. For instance, employers often understate the staff total in order to dodge full payment of taxes.

Second, the manpower shortage mainly breaks out in labor-intensive enterprises along the country's coastline. In Dongguan city, the majority of enterprises are highly demanding and less profitable investments shifted from Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong and Taiwan because wages in China are much lower, in some cases one-tenth the wages in other countries. With a view to the low profit margin, the investors would rather relocate their factories or workshops to regions offering cheaper labor costs than hike the salaries and trim the profits.

"There will be some factories trying to retain skilled workers, but the seeming manpower undersupply will not bring about fundamental changes to workers' welfare situation," concludes Dr Liu Kaiming, executive director of the Institute of Contemporary Observation.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)



Aug 17, 2004



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