(From Philippine Star)
The arbitration case between the Philippines and China will not help resolve the dispute over the South China Sea as it would result to more conflicts in the region, a maritime analyst said.
Nanyang Technological University Prof. Mingjiang Li said that there is likely to be a “period of greater turbulence” once the Permanent Court of Arbitration under the United Nations (UN) releases its decision on the case between the two countries.
The Philippines earlier filed an arbitration case against China before the UN tribunal, challenging the latter’s nine-dash line claim over the disputed sea. China refused to participate in the proceedings and reiterated its “indisputable sovereignty” in the South China Sea, justifying its massive reclamation activities in the area.
Li noted that Beijing is unlikely to change its major policies and positions once the arbitral tribunal issues its decision.
“There is a very strong possibility that Beijing will just ignore the arbitration result, as suggested by ongoing deliberations within Chinese policy circles,” Li said in an article published on the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative.
The analyst pointed out possible consequences once the decision comes out in a few months. Read More