Why Trump is wrong about China, China, China

(From the World Post)

By Jeremy Haft

After the devaluation of the yuan and the dive in China’s stock exchanges, the blowback on American markets and the presidential candidates lining up to blame China, President Xi Jinping may be wishing he’d booked his visit for another time. But now is the perfect opportunity to set the record straight. The latest round of China bashing — that China is “killing us,” stealing our jobs and money — overestimates China’s clout and distorts our discourse.

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

It’s easy to see why we fear China’s economic might. Take a walk down the aisle of your local Walmart and just about everything appears to be “Made in China.” If China can make anything we can, only cheaper and at the click of a mouse, we must be racing to the bottom in wages, jobs and quality of life. It’s no wonder campaign themes like Donald Trump’s “Make America Great Again” are resonating this election season. We feel like we’re on the ropes and China has us beat. Polls like the 2012 Pew Global Attitudes Project Survey confirm this notion, showing more Americans believe China is the world’s leading economic power today.

But China is not the world’s largest economy, nor is it the world’s second-largest economy, as we hear so often. It only appears outsized because we’re looking at China through a distorted lens.

The basis for claims that China has already surpassed the United States is gross domestic product, a misleading metric. It tallies up how much a nation spends over a period of time, but tells you little about an economy’s true size. If you wanted to compare your household wealth to the Jones’, would you add up how much you spent in a given year?  No, you would compare your assets and liabilities. By that measure,America is, in fact, 50 to 60 trillion dollars wealthier than China, whose national wealth is roughly $21 trillion.

To make matters worse, China’s GDP figures are untrustworthy. In an authoritarian government that considers economic growth its top priority, China’s official statisticians are famous for fudging the numbers. So much so, that even China’s leaders disregard their own statistics.

The size of China’s economy, though, is less relevant than the quality of its growth. China’s slowdown proves Warren Buffet’s saying that when the tide rolls out, you can see who’s been swimming naked. Americans imagine China as a manufacturing powerhouse, the world’s factory floor. But viewed from the ground, the opposite is true. China struggles to make a toy safely, much less a nuclear power plant.

Consider the “Made in China” safety scandals. There have been thousands just in the past few years and tens of thousands spanning decades. August’s giant explosion in Tianjin was one of more than 300 major industrial accidents from the past seven months. Poisoned baby formula, lethal antibiotics, cadmium-heavy rice, lead-coated toys, collapsing bridges, toppling buildings — in every corner of China’s economy, severe safety lapses are a daily fixture of Chinese life.

It’s not a matter of a few bad actors, as the authorities would have us believe. China’s manufacturing and agricultural sectors are hamstrung by systemic risk — a combination of unsafe raw material inputs; weak corporate governance; long, opaque supply chains; and ineffective government regulation. Each step of the production process adds risk that the finished products will be unsafe.

China’s systemic risk presents a real threat to our health, as U.S. inspectors screen only a tiny fraction of imports. We’ve already experienced firsthand the danger that pervades “Made in China” with tainted blood thinner, faulty auto ignitions, toxic drywall, deadly pet food and more. Read more

 



Categories: AT Opinion, China

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