Genosuicide and its causes

“Black lives matter” became the slogan of the anti-police protests that followed the 2014 police shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri. Do they? Does yours? Parts of black America appear determined to destroy themselves—black men, that is, rather than black women, who graduate from university at twice the male rate and hold more full-time jobs. Call it genosuicide, the self-willed extinction of a people, and it happens all the time, especially when young men decide that to matter, they must assert themselves violently. There is nothing uniquely “black” about the inner-city catastrophe now unfolding in America, as some historical examples will show.

In the reasonable fear of legal persecution, police in America’s inner cities have stepped back from aggressive enforcement of the law, and the result is a sudden surge in homicides that have killed hundreds of people, almost all of them black. As Heather MacDonald reported in the Wall Street Journal May 29, “Gun violence in particular is spiraling upward in cities across America. In Baltimore, the most pressing question every morning is how many people were shot the previous night. Gun violence is up more than 60% compared with this time last year, according to Baltimore police, with 32 shootings over Memorial Day weekend. May has been the most violent month the city has seen in 15 years. In Milwaukee, homicides were up 180% by May 17 over the same period the previous year. Through April, shootings in St. Louis were up 39%, robberies 43%, and homicides 25%. Murders in Atlanta were up 32% as of mid-May. Shootings in Chicago had increased 24% and homicides 17%. Shootings and other violent felonies in Los Angeles had spiked by 25%; in New York, murder was up nearly 13%, and gun violence 7%.”

To demonstrate that they matter, young black men kill other young black men in appalling numbers. The Economist notes that if black America were a country, it would have the highest murder rate in the world, adding,  Black Americans are still eight times more likely to be murdered than whites and seven times more likely to commit murder, according to the FBI. An incredible one-third of black men in their 30s have been in prison.”

What it means to “matter” is a question of culture. To “matter” in the hip-hop culture that predominates among young black men is to be tougher and more rapacious than one’s fellows, to be indifferent to the prospect of prison or death, to get rich or die trying. No-one put it better than President Obama’s regular houseguest Jay-Z:

I’m from the streets where the
Hood could swallow ’em and, bullets’ll follow ’em and
There’s so much coke that you could run the slalom
And cops comb this shit top to bottom
They say that we are prone to violence, but it’s home sweet home
Where personalities clash and chrome meets chrome
The coke prices up and down like it’s Wall Street holmes
But this is worse than the Dow Jones, your brains are now blown
All over that brown Brougham, one slip you are now gone
Welcome to hell where you are welcome to sell
But when them shells come you better return ’em
All scars we earn ’em…

 

My contention is that there is nothing particularly “black” or even “ghetto” about this credo. The freebooters who followed Wallenstein or Gustavus Adolphus during the Thirty Years War, Napoleon’s privates with field marshal’s batons in their rucksacks, the Confederate rebels of the American Civil War, the Germans of the Third Reich, or even the Athenians at the disastrous campaign against Syracuse—all of them sought lives that “mattered” in terms of wealth and social advancement, and all of them kept fighting until their armies bled themselves into inertia.

The lives of a third of young black Americans have been ruined. That is an important statistic: wars never are fought to the point of actual extinction, but rather to the point at which there are too few prospective fighters to continue the war. Violent self-assertion is the common theme in such wars. Before the dawn of civilization, in fact, that was the norm of the human condition: two-fifths of prehistoric males typically died in tribal warfare, according to the anthropologist Lawrence H. Keeley.

Wars of near-extinction are not universal but are remarkably common in ancient as well as modern history. Europe has had four of them during the past several hundred years: the Thirty Years War of 1618=1648; the Napoleonic Wars of 1797-1814; World War I; and World War II. America had its Civil War, and the Middle East now has its own Thirty Years War.

To name a few historic examples:

  • Athenian dead in the Peloponnesian War reached 25% of the city-state’s total manpower before Athens capitulated to the Spartan-Persian alliance;
  • The Thirty Years War killed 30% to 40% of the population of Central Europe and left wide swaths of Spain and France empty of people
  • The Napoleonic Wars resulted in 1.4 to 1.7 military French military deaths out of a total French population of 29 million. Men aged 17 to 49 were probably 20% of the total, or about one-fifth of the population, or 5.8 million. That puts the war dead at about 24% to 30% of total manpower pool.
  • Confederate casualties in US civil war were at least 28% of military age men, and historians are revising the casualty numbers upward.
  • German military casualties in World War II were 5,330,000, out of 17,718,714 men 15 to 44 years, or 30% of the manpower pool.

The 30% casualty rate is common to great conflicts across time and geography. Two other common factors are noteworthy.

The first is that really big wars typically last for two generations. You kill the fathers in the first phase of the war, and in the second phase you will their sons. Usually there aren’t enough grandsons to continue the war. The American Civil War is a big exception: with their characteristic energy and dedication, the Americans of the mid-nineteenth century managed to accomplish in four years what took other peoples thirty.

The second is that casualty rates typically rise in inverse proportion to the probability of victory. The young men who fight great wars are not game theorists, calculating the likelihood of dying in battle against the probability of victory. On the contrary, casualty rates typically rise sharply after hope of victory has faded. What matters is to “matter.”

Casualty rate rises sharply after South loses Gettysburg and Vicksburg in July 1863 (and the war)

Casualty rate rises sharply after South loses Gettysburg and Vicksburg in July 1863 (and the war)

During the First World War, casualty rates declined sharply after the initial stalement, but rose to their highest point in 1918 when Germany launched the Ludendorff offensive  in the hope of delivering a knock-out blow to the French — after America’s entry had already given Germany a losing position.

World War 1 casualty rates rise to a maximum during the 1918 German offensive

World War I casualty rate peaks during the 1918 German offensive

The vast majority of German casualties during World War II occurred during the last year of the war, when the German armies were in full retreat from Russia and the Allied beachhead in Normandy had turned into a full-scale I have not been able to find month-by-month casualty for the Germany army, but American casualties by month are a reasonably good proxy.

Most World War II casualties were incurred after Germany's position had become hopeless

Most World War II casuaties occurred after Germany’s position had become hopeless

A frequently-heard slogan in the anti-police protests declared, “From Ferguson to Palestine.” It seems odd to confuse the American civil rights movement with the tortuous history of the Palestinian Arabs; Dr. Martin Luther King was a fervent and outspoken supporter of the State of Israel. The young men of Gaza and the young men of Baltimore have nothing in common but a propensity towards genosuicide, something they share with the Pappenheimer Curassiers of 1631, Napoleon’s Old Guard in 1814, the Waffen-SS of 1944, the Athenian Hoplites of 414 B.C.E, and the Confederates at the Battle of Waynesboro.

We are only in the first phases of a great Sunni-Shi’ite war in the Middle East, but it seems likely to produce similar results. The bulge in military-age population occasioned by the high fertility rates of twenty years ago has produced an enormous number of young men with little hope of employment or marriage who learn daily that they do not matter. As ISIS terrorists they can claim to matter, and will continue to sacrifice their lives with abandon.

The bulge in military-age men in the Levant and Mesopotamia feeds the new Thirty Years War

The bulge in military-age men in the Levant and Mesopotamia feeds the new Thirty Years War

 

As Europe leared in 1618, 1812, 1914 and 1939, and as America learned in 1860, there are circumstances in which the usual path of war-avoidance through compromise is blocked, and two successive generations will exsanguinate in order to “matter.” What we have learned from the Arab Spring, the overthrow of Qadaffi, and the imposition of majority rule in Iraq is that the sad, oppressive, old regime is better than any possible improvement. The heavy hand of the police in inner cities, despite its frequent brutality and disregard for legal niceties, saves black lives. The old Sunni dictatorships, vicious and cruel and backward as they were, prevent the all-consuming disorder that has killed hundreds of thousands and displaced nearly twenty million people in the Middle East.

 

 



Categories: AT Top Writers, Spengler

  • James Jerome

    The biggest Genosuicide in history is about to happen when the US attacks Russia, China or Iran. The main reason is that US forces are spent and will need at least 10 years to get back to a decent readiness level, after the waste of wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The US will have to have a massive draft to offset the millions of soldiers that China, Russia and Iran could field. The biggest problem is that this build-up has to start at least 2 years before you actually go to war. You can’t just send a draftee to boot camp for 8 weeks and throw them into a battle theater with a rifle. The weapons systems and tactics are so high tech that most of the draftees would have a difficult time learning to use these systems and to learn tactics. The war would be lost before they can be able to make a difference. The US is in a very bad position by taking positions that are indefensible, like supporting Israel, bringing democracy to the middle east, instigating a Maidan coup in the Ukraine, antagonizing North Korea, proxy war against Iran, if all out war breaks out on all of these fronts at once, it will be like what Rome faced in its decline, being attacked on multiple fronts.

  • jane ryan

    I suspect many black males realize that competing in a computer/verbal/written world is opposite of what they are inclined to do…………..it creates anger and frustration and with little help maturing through the first 20 years of their lives they have few positive ways to deal with that frustration, so that leaves negative ways ………..

  • jane ryan

    ‘our’ gruberment will surrender before it comes to any of that

  • SNAKESRULE

    Iran would be quick….assuming America can re-discover the “Punitive Expedition.”

  • Dean Weingarten

    I agree with the author on most points, but the Heather MacDonald article is lying with statistics. There is no surge in murders of police in the United States. It is merely a one year return to historically low levels after a record setting drop in 2013:

    Homicides of Law Officers Committed with Guns in the United States 1965-2014

    http://gunwatch.blogspot.com/2015/06/homicides-of-law-officers-committed.html

  • MC Slammer

    My only questions is what can I do to speed the process along?

  • Actually, Israel is saving the US from gross under-investment in civilian and military R&D by sharing its technology. Israel has larger properly trained combat forces, more operable tanks and better military technology than the US!! If Israel switched sides the US would really be screwed.

  • James Jerome

    You mean the Israel that got its butt kicked in the 2006 Lebanon invasion by 3,000 Hezbollah fighters against 40,000 Israelis, there whole army, and the Israelis started bombing women and children in Beruit to get the UN to intervene because they were on the way to an even bigger defeat, and at that time Syria would have been in a great position to flank them and annihilate the whole Israeli army. Get the facts if you want to comment on military matters.
    http://www.counterpunch.org/2006/10/13/how-hezbollah-defeated-israel/

  • I suggest you learn to spell before you expect anyone to take your so called “facts” seriously. Israel’s whole army is 750,000+, not 40,000. Serious military analysis of Israel’s recent military performances show its doing way better than the US in similar circumstances. Israel conducted more airstrikes on Gaza last year in a fortnight than the US has managed on ISIS in the last 18 months, with a better ratio of enemy combatants killed to civilians than the US. Israeli ground troops did way better in Gaza than the US did in Fallujah.

  • mj01323

    More left-wing drivel from a self-proclaimed left-wing publication. Do you expect to be taken seriously?

  • James Jerome

    Andrew Hamilton you know that you and your ilk are on your way out, thanks to the new world economic order led by China, when the bankrupt dollar is removed as the worlds currency Israel will have no friends and the Iranians already have Nuclear weapons, in fact Iran is getting into position to take over the entire Middle East. You are in denial of the truth, I am helping them to remove the cancer of history. Airstrikes in Gaza to kill women and children, I pray that they try to conduct airstrikes on Iran, I really pray that they would be foolish enough. The Pentagon generals are not fools, they know the consequences of this mistake. I would also like to see the US attack China and Russia, I also pray that they do go down that road. I hope you are drafted, if you are not cowardly enough. I know you have never been in uniform, to much manliness for metro-sexual effeminate cream-puffs. Why don’t we meet and I can train you in some real military warfare tactics. You can show me the vaunted Israel military tactics you are so eager to brag about. Take off that spandex and put down your Latte, and show everyone what you will do when drafted to fight for the Neanderthals, (remember Esau), during the exile in Egypt it was discovered that the Hebrews were really Neanderthals, you know red hairy body, smell like rotten potatoes, that explains their warlike genocidal, homocidal mentality. Andrew the world knows what you really are that’s why we are going to dispatch all of you to the dustbin of history, Seig Heil and thank god for Xyklon B.

  • davidpgoldman

    Israel’s 2006 performance was unsatisfactory for a number of reasons, including lack of IDF preparedness, PM Olmert’s timidity, and (most of all) US pressure not to hit Hizbollah too hard. Condi Rice promised a political solution in which Hizbollah would disarm. What a joke that turned out to be! I know some of the officers who would lead a ground attack on S. Lebanon next time, and am quite sure that 1) and 2) would be remedied, and that 3) Israel would ignore American calls for restraint. Recall that 200,000 to 400,000 S. Lebanon Shi’ites fled to Syria in August 2006. They would be driven out this time in larger numbers, and run directly into ISIS/al Nusra/al Qaeda. Hizbollah’s weakness is that it lives among a civilian population whose position is quite fragile given that the Sunni rebels are gaining ground in Syria. Nasrallah knows this, and that is why he probably won’t attack Israel.

  • davidpgoldman

    One can quibble with some of Heather’s numbers, but in Baltimore the murder rate is the highest in decades.

  • James Jerome

    Why is it that when a brain-washed Neocon Israel apologist always put a spin on why you are losing the long term war from the enemies that you created, continue to do so in spite of irrefutable evidence to the contrary. If Israel is so invincible, why not attack the fully Nuclear weaponized Iran now, I pray that they do. Although I know why they are terrified of this foolish decision and it is because of geography, Israel is smaller than the COUNTY I live in, in fact the county I live in is 1900 sq. mi. larger than Israel, while in comparison Iran is the size of Texas and Alaska. It would take no more than two 100 kiloton Nuclear weapons to wipe Israel off the face of this planet. So do me a favor contact your handlers and tell them to attack Iran. I relish that day.

  • mulga mumblebrain

    A fit interlocutor with Spengler.

  • mulga mumblebrain

    The Israeli press at the time of the aggression against Lebanon in 2006 boasted that it was ‘the best prepared war in Israeli history’. Israeli military had apparently fully informed the US military of its plans some time before. Goldman seems disappointed that the slaughter of Lebanese did not reach the 40,000 of 1982, crowned by that feat of Israeli martial valour, the Sabra and Shatilla massacres. Still Israel displayed its legendary ‘moral values’ by littering south Lebanon with hundreds of thousands of cluster bomblets as they retreated, their tails between their legs, bested by Hezbollah, again.

  • mulga mumblebrain

    That’s not ‘military performance’-that’s efficiency in massacring defenceless women and children. The USA is only pretending to attack ISIS, which it created to destroy Iraq and Syria in accord with the Oded Yinon Zionist Plan for the Middle East.

  • davidpgoldman

    The thing to worry about this time isn’t Israeli bombs, but Sunni knives. A war with Israel concurrent with the Syrian civil war well might mean the end of the Shi’ite presence in Lebanon. This in any case is inevitable at a 40-year horizon, because the Sunni population (especially Pakistan) continues to grow while Iran’s population will shrink. Israel is largely a bystander in the Sunni-Shi’ite war, but this war vastly improves Israel’s strategic position.

  • davidpgoldman

    Of course we did. We also created Saddam Hussein and the Ayatollah Khomeini. The Middle East is a reality show operated by the CIA for the benefit of American TV news!

  • mulga mumblebrain

    Of course, in fact, Israel is a leading fomentor of the Sunni/Shia discord, in line with the strategy, outlined in Oded Yinon’s infamous ‘Plan’ and reiterated by Perle, Netanyahu et al in ‘A Clean Break’, to destroy the states of the region and break them up along sectarian, ethnic and tribal lines, into powerless statelets the better for Israel to dominate. It is quite reminiscent of US tactics to stir up ethnic hatred to destroy Yugoslavia, and the same truly evil policy is at work in Ukraine, too. I see that you are slavering at the prospect of a genocide of Shia in Lebanon, and am not at all surprised.

  • mulga mumblebrain

    Pretty stupid stuff. Saddam was a CIA asset for decades and a good ally of the US particularly in attacking Iran. Then he proved useful as fall-guy. And the USA created Khomeini by supporting the brutal ‘Shah’ after overthrowing Mossadegh, a democrat.

  • tttbnr

    Many African Americans are descendants of European slave owners who raped their slave girls and women. If black American men assert themselves through violence, the assertion is most likely an expression of their European genes.

  • tttbnr

    Dylann Storm Roof is a big fan.

  • dgotshalk

    Good solid comment. Google up the 2015 Paris International air show and take a look at Israeli Drone and unmanned aircraft latest technology. 35 years of experience and R&D in a field that is crucial to security, defense, inteligence, and attack. Over 20 countries are customers today of its technology. Airbus and Boeing were not the only stars of this unbelievable show. The defense of America is dependent on this.

  • dgotshalk

    The Ferguson Fiasco started with the elimination of a monster, Michael Moore.
    Black teen Michael Brown should more accurately be discribed
    as a brutal monster that resisted arrest and caused the resignation of a fine
    Police officer and a race riot that destroyed the economy of Ferguson for no
    reason. See Utube of who Michael Moore was.

    https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10152409165407282

  • vanisle1

    A wonderful piece, as always, with wonderful ideas and wonderful faults. I personally would start with the fact that our means of communication are largely controlled by people whose interest it is to sell us things. To sell more things, one ideally creates a population devoted to self-indulgence and acquisitiveness. So we are constantly propagandized to buy things and have fun.

    This does less harm in subcultures where more constructive habits are taught or enforced. But in subcultures where this is not happening, there is no brake on self-indulgence. And when racial prejudice is so pervasive that low-skilled members of a subculture feel there is little chance to get ahead, we have the phenomena Spengler describes. Not to totally discount things like lack of police presence and wrong-headed types of welfare, but the ethos propagated by the US media is not very constructive.

    The fact that Martin Luther King supported Israel is a warm memory of a simpler time, when our Biblical familiarity with Israel inclined us in favour of the underdog state. We did not then consider the underlying fact that the Allied powers were ashamed of their own anti-Semitic instincts, but did not want too much Jewish immigration to their countries. So they salved their consciences by helping carve out a piece of someone else’s land to give away.

    As things are now, I see Israel as both a triumph and a tragedy. A triumph for obvious reasons. A tragedy now for Arabs who have been displaced, and a future tragedy for Jews who may really have no workable alternative to their current policies of violent suppression and piecemeal expansion, which will end up being punished when other states gain the power to do so. I have no solution, I just see tragedy looming.

  • MC Slammer

    9 Whites are killed by Blacks in every 13 hour period in the US, 24/7/365. Where are all the tears over that? Oh that’s right, they’re White people so they deserve it, right?

  • tinhatter

    Keyboard warrior, terrifying.

  • tinhatter

    I stubbed my big toe today, it was all the fault of the CIA and the 4by2’s.

  • Val Cocora

    you don’t have to do anything, islam is a cancer so intolerant that it will even fight itself.
    just lay back, grab some popcorns and a six pack, and enjoy the show.

  • James Jerome

    You really need to be afraid tinhatter, your leaders have sold you out for greed. I almost feel sorry for you, with what the future holds for you. I have my own agenda, you won’t know it but you will feel it.

  • David

    So what do you suppose would be the end result of supporting the brutal Saddam was supposed to be?

  • rogerinflorida

    The tragedy of the US African American community that Mr. Goldman describes is of course part of a wider story. African slaves were brought to the Americas to work as agricultural laborers, there is still a requirement for that work but A-As are not going to do it. The subsistence level agricultural life that many A-As (and many whites) lived in the South after the civil war and before the great migration was a life of absolutely mind numbing poverty and never ending back breaking work. To those who proclaim the nobility of that life (Prince Charles, Obama) I say try it you phony’s. The great migration of A-As to Northern factories improved A-A life, but that has now gone. There is no employment available for A-As or for millions of whites. David Stockman estimates that a more realistic unemployment rate for the US economy is 42%, calculated simply by dividing the actual hours worked by the potential work hours from the US workforce. The violence we see in A-A neighborhoods is the result of intense competition for the only remaining economic opportunity; the drug trade. In white communities there are for the moment more economic resources, that is, wealth, we see the result of the unemployment in white communities in epidemic levels of drug addiction.
    It is instructive to look at the situation in the UK, where a large proportion of the “working” class has no work and no possibility of ever getting any. The result is a dystopia where violence, alcoholism, illegitimacy, drug use and crime is rampant.
    Mr. Goldman laments the drop in advanced society birthrates as a catastrophe, I disagree, the real catastrophe is the population explosion in the third world, particularly Africa. The world actually needs less resource exploration and exploitation, less industrialization, but most of all less people.
    But this may be cured in the time honored way; a war. If that war is between USA and China don’t worry it will go all out nuclear within 24 hours of starting and there will be a billion or so less mouths to feed in a few days.

  • guerillasurgeon

    98% of whites are killed by whites. And there is a certain type of person who only gets concerned about black people killing each other after a white person has killed a whole lot of black people. I wonder why that is. Mind you this whole column is a load of pseudo-intellectual bullshit anyway.

  • Langdon Daughtrey

    This article was written before the South Carolina tragedy.

  • MC Slammer

    Your logic escapes me. First of all, the figure that 98% of whites are killed by whites is spurious. While it is true that most murders are committed with racial concordance, that still doesn’t negate that fact that blacks kill far, FAR more whites than whites kill blacks, despite blacks being only 13% percent of the population. My point stands.

  • guerillasurgeon

    I use that figure because I’m sick of hearing the equally untrue figure that 98% of Blacks are killed by other Blacks. Neither figure is true. But you people keep hammering at the latter. The true figure of course is 86% :-). And the actual percentage difference between interracial killings is quite small. Also the motivation is quite different. Simply put white people are richer, and more vulnerable to street crime. Whereas White’s tend to kill Blacks because they are black. But I wouldn’t expect logic amongst the racists on this site anyway.

  • MC Slammer

    “Whereas White’s tend to kill Blacks because they are black.”

    Oh please…how do you know that? For your information, the vast majority of White on Black killings are in self defense, as in “he was in my house in the middle of the night with a gun.”

    https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2012/crime-in-the-u.s.-2012/offenses-known-to-law-enforcement/expanded-homicide/expanded_homicide_data_table_6_murder_race_and_sex_of_vicitm_by_race_and_sex_of_offender_2012.xls

    but I guess you won’t trust Eric Holder’s (when the data was compiled) Justice Department. I guess he’s in on the anti-Black conspiracy too.

  • guerillasurgeon

    I see nothing in your table about self defence. However it’s 6 o’clock in the morning and I can’t be arsed poking around too much. But your own figures show that ‘the actual rates of Black-on-white crime are lower than random chance would predict; No more than 0.7 percent (seven-tenths of one percent) of African-Americans will commit a violent crime against a white person, according to 2013 FBI expanded homicide data. ‘
    I also have access to academic databases – you?

  • tttbnr

    The world would be a better place without European Americans who think they are white.

  • tttbnr

    The author omitted the Masada mass suicide.

  • tttbnr

    They probably are not white. Most European Americans were not considered white when their ancestors migrated to the US. The English adopted Darwinism to demonstrate the Irish were the lowest human life form, ranked below Africans, but after the Irish came to the US, and after one or two generations, they wanted to join the Klan.

  • MC Slammer

    There is pretty much no disagreement on who is and who is not Black or White.

  • tttbnr

    Ask the grandpappies. Many blacks have European ancestors because the European American slave owners were serial rapists. These slave owners ‘white’ descendants (racists) think President Obama is black. He is more white than they will ever be.

  • mulga mumblebrain

    Gandhi understood the reality of Zionism better than MLK. But if King had lived, I really doubt that he would have remained an uncritical apologist for the apartheid state.

  • Abdullah

    This is false. You may want to read http://www.snopes.com/politics/crime/shawnspall.asp

  • dgotshalk

    What part of this film is false?

  • Abdullah

    The fact that it is neither “Michael Moore” the film director nor Michael Brown for starters.

  • dgotshalk

    thanks for correction. It is Michael Brown not Moore.