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Pakistan's military sets Afghan terms

Pakistan's military establishment, taken fully on board by the United States in the efforts to find solutions for Afghanistan, has made clear that its cooperation comes with strings attached. Any Indian role is to be restricted to civilian development projects, and Pakistan will choose for itself who its enemies are. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Feb 8, '10)

India-Pakistan thaw key to Afghan peace
The prospect of the first high-level bilateral talks between India and Pakistan since the 2008 Mumbai attack was raised by global powers when they endorsed a United States-backed plan in London that seeks reconciliation with the Taliban in Afghanistan. Washington sees the key to Kabul as lying in Islamabad, and the key to Islamabad as lying in New Delhi. - Siddharth Srivastava (Feb 8, '10)

Taliban go-betweens draw up road map
Plans drawn up by Taliban mediators for a political settlement in Afghanistan encourage the insurgency's leaders and the government to reach agreement on key issues, such as the withdrawal of all foreign troops and al-Qaeda. The reaction of the United States to the plan and the vexed issue of a new constitution are the biggest roadblocks, the mediators say. - Gareth Porter (Feb 8, '10)


Dangerous steps in Iran's nuclear dance
Just days after Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad said Tehran's nuclear fuel could be processed abroad, he ordered stockpiles of uranium to be enriched to a high degree domestically. Tehran's dualistic diplomacy is designed to increase Iran's bargaining ability in regards to a fuel deal, while proving a point to hawks in the United States. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Feb 8, '10)

Israeli case for war with Syria - and Lebanon
Threats may be escalating between Syria and Israel, but the chances of war breaking out are very low: it would be too dangerous for Israel and too costly for the Middle East. Nobody, though, can rule out another Israeli war in Lebanon, where there is "unfinished" business to do. - Sami Moubayed (Feb 8, '10)

Beijing beefs up cyber-warfare capacity
Research and development in Internet-based combat, including cyber-espionage, is high on Beijing’s next five-year plan. Given that friction between the United States and China will likely continue, if not worsen, over issues including trade, Taiwan and Tibet, cutthroat competition along the information superhighway could add a new dimension of instability. - Willy Lam (Feb 8, '10)

If you really want to hear about it ...
In anti-hero Holden Caulfield, American novelist J D Salinger, who died last week at the age of 91, created a character the world instinctively understood. Soviet Union authorities even put translations of The Catcher in the Rye, which came out in 1951, in schools, unaware that the critique of small-town values also fueled rebellious thought among teenagers behind the Iron Curtain. - Nikola Krastev (Feb 8, '10)



Desperation fuels North Korea's leniency
North Korea's release of American missionary Robert Park comes as the debilitating effects of a botched currency reform raises fears of famine and as a power struggle erupts among Pyongyang's elite. With the North reportedly reeling from rice riots and inner-party purges, Seoul and Washington see the perfect chance to turn the screws on Pyongyang over its nuclear weapons program. - Donald Kirk (Feb 5, '10)

Okinawa call to shape new US-Japan era
Washington is pressuring Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama to stick to a 2006 agreement on the relocation of US Marines stationed on Okinawa, saying that any other call risks bilateral ties and Japan's national security. Even if the dispute ends in compromise, Hatoyama's defiant stance may signal the end of the asymmetric US-Japan alliance. - Axel Berkofsky (Feb 5, '10)

Nepal trying to march in step
Nepal, striving for lasting peace after a decade of insurgency, has two standing armies: a state-funded military and 20,000 Maoist combatants living in United Nations-monitored camps. Divisions over how they should be integrated into one force have the power to disrupt preparations for a new constitution and even draw the involvement of neighbors. - Dhruba Adhikary (Feb 5, '10)

BOOK REVIEW
Look who's come to dinner
Superfusion by Zachary Karabell
This insightful book examines the alternatives to fearing China's inevitable rise as a super-economy and global political force and asks whether American hostility to making room at the table for an upsetter of the old economic order is more a reflection of its own lost confidence. - Benjamin A Shobert (Feb 5, '10)

CHAN AKYA
Hair of Damocles' sword
United States Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's future in office might be short, with a warning by Moody's Investors Service that the US is at risk of losing its triple A credit rating giving more ammunition to critics of his handling of the financial crisis. Whenever his successor takes over, humiliating deals with China are likely to be part of a thankless work load. (Feb 5, '10)

US fires off new warning in Pakistan
With its biggest drone attack to date in Pakistan - nine unmanned vehicles firing 19 missiles in one evening - the United States has underscored its invigorated desire to wipe out Taliban and al-Qaeda sanctuaries in the Pakistan and Afghanistan border areas. The efforts are backed by a new intelligence-gathering network tapping into Afghan tribesmen. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Feb 4, '10)

Iran launches new phase in nuclear crisis
Tehran's acceptance of a "fuel-for-fuel" deal that would defuse concern over its nuclear program comes as the United States announces plans to encircle Iran and introduce tougher new sanctions on the Islamic Republic. Iran says its gesture is an unclenching of its fist, while skeptics dismiss it as a ploy to buy time and garner international support. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Feb 4, '10)

THE ROVING EYE
Staring at the abyss
On Indonesia's tropical island of Bali, everything is about sekala and niskala, ritual and the occult. In the United States, the Pentagon has its occult as it continues its descent into the ghostly abyss of its "long war". When President Obama visits Indonesia next month, he'd do well to do some soul-searching on Bali if he is to avoid being permanently engulfed by hungry ghosts. - Pepe Escobar (Feb 4, '10)

Dalai Lama firm on Obama meeting
A United States rebuttal of warnings from China against the Dalai Lama meeting Barack Obama adds to the growing list of tensions between Washington and Beijing. The issue has spilled over into talks between Beijing and envoys of the Dalai Lama, who stressed that a meeting between the Tibetan spiritual leader and the US president was a tradition unbroken since 1991, one of the envoys tells Asia Times Online. - Saransh Sehgal (Feb 4, '10)

Shanghai wishing on a fading Disney star
China's financial center, Shanghai, may be losing its warm, fuzzy feelings over getting the third Disneyland theme park in Asia, scheduled to open in 2014. As the city’s politicians look south to the magic kingdom in Hong Kong, where the reality of losses mock the expectations of a bonanza for the economy, they see a warning of what their dreams may bring about. - Olivia Chung (Feb 4, '10)

Anwar trial another black eye for Malaysia
To many, Anwar Ibrahim is not the only defendant in the dock in a sodomy trial that is the talk of Malaysia. Amid explicit language and allegations, everyone from the prime minister and the political establishment to the police and judiciary itself could be dragged through the mud if, as in Anwar's first trial, the courtroom drama turns into a high-stakes soap opera stretching out for months. - Anil Netto (Feb 4, '10)

India's awards lose honorable luster
India's highest civilian awards are increasingly being distributed to those who have friends in positions of power. Adding to a string of questionable choices in recent times, this year's top award-winners include a former militiaman and an alleged crook. - Sudha Ramachandran (Feb 4, '10)

US's strike threat catches China off guard
The United States' plans for a "Prompt Global Strike" system that could launch a conventional weapons attack on anywhere in the world within an hour are unsettling China. The US combat strategy has traditionally relied on nuclear might, and this change is seen by Beijing as a maneuver in America's quest for domination of the world and of space. - Peter J Brown (Feb 3, '10)

Pakistani Taliban has its work cut out
If Hakeemullah Mehsud, the leader of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, did indeed die in a United States drone attack last week, there is a ready replacement for him in a young battle-hardened commander with a set agenda: to continue the relationship that Mehsud's group forged with al-Qaeda as a component of its regional plans. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Feb 3, '10)

US ups the ante in Iran nuclear game
By expanding its missile defense systems in the Persian Gulf, the United States is sending its strongest message yet to Iran over the stalemate in talks over Tehran's nuclear program. The move can also be seen as a sign that neo-conservative voices are being heard in Washington. - Mohammed A Salih (Feb 3, '10)

Obama expectations revised in Indonesia
Confirmation that United States President Barack Obama will make a much-awaited visit to his childhood home of Indonesia has had a mixed reception. Fading hopes that Obama will upgrade Jakarta's strategic importance in Washington mirror discontent with Indonesia's own president, raising doubts whether Obama's visit will benefit the Indonesian leader. - Sara Schonhardt (Feb 3, '10)

South Korea marks a painful centenary
Northeast China, March 26, 1910. A Korean nationalist is executed for pumping four bullets into Hirobumi Ito, architect of the Meiji Restoration and Japan's colonial administrator for Korea. The shots fired by Ahn Jung-geun ushered in a 35-year Japanese occupation of Korea marked by killings, "comfort women" and a merciless "Japanization". They also rang out across Northeast Asia, raising questions of Pan-Asian unity that remain unanswered to this day. - Ronan Thomas (Feb 2, '10)
David P Goldman
(Feb 5, '10)
The drop in the unemployment rate to 9.7% is an artifact of seasonal adjustment.






Karachi grinds to a
halt after fatal blasts

Pakistan's efforts to rein in its fiscal deficit were dealt a further blow when business in Karachi, the country's commercial center, struggling to recover from a bomb attack last December, ground to a halt again at the weekend after two more blasts killed at least 30 people. - Syed Fazl-e-Haider

Hainan fears real-estate bubbles - again
Money has flooded into the Chinese province of Hainan in the few weeks since the central government said it should become an international tourist resort. The sub-tropical island's attractions could certainly lure visitors, but residents with a sense of history already fear a property crash might come first. - Stephen Wong

Obama prolongs the pain
President Barack Obama's record, including his 2010 budget proposal, indicates that had he, and not George W Bush, been elected eight years earlier, his legacy would be about the same as the one he inherited. His budget also means a grim inheritance for the next generation of US citizens. - Hossein Askari and Noureddine Krichene

CREDIT BUBBLE BULLETIN
The beginning of the end?
The recent tumult in some European debt markets has reignited global crisis fears, and other straws in the market winds do little to allay these concerns. Do the US dollar's rally and commodities' downturn indicate deflation? Have the Chinese become serious about reining in financial excess? In short, is the sum of the various recent pullbacks the pause that refreshes - or is it the beginning of the end for global reflation?
Doug Noland looks at the previous week's events each Monday.

FROM THE BLOG
Poor weather gauge
The drop in the United States unemployment rate is an artifact of seasonal adjustment - a step that in present circumstances is rather like seasonally adjusting rainfall patterns during Noah's flood. - David Goldman




MARKET RAP
Friday blues come up trumps
End-of-week trading brought sell-offs across the region, with the largest weekly declines in more than two months. Yet few indexes are technically highly oversold, and further downward moves can be expected. (Feb 5, '10)
R M Cutler runs his eye over the ups and downs in the week's markets.


"Cricket - A 'sport' where pussies wear mattresses on their legs." - Jim the Moron

"Gridiron - a game played by mattresses, period. ... But back to the cricket, where India and South Africa are vying for the top world ranking. Any Indian readers out there? What do you think of [South African captain Graeme] Smith's declaration? ... Smith's declarations have proved largely unsuccessful lately and I believe expose a lack of killer instinct." - aquicke

From Our Mailbox
[Re 30-second warnings, February 5] When a country takes great offense over a pro-life ad but finds joy in almost naked women parading their bodies and "farting clowns", then we are in trouble.
Ysais A Martinez
Pennsylvania, USA
   Go to Letters to the Editor



1. Desperation fuels North Korea's leniency

2. What's next for the dollar?

3. US's strike threat catches China off guard

4. Hair of Damocles' sword

5. Okinawa call to shape new US-Japan era

6. BOOK REVIEW: Look who's come to dinner

7. US fires off new warning in Pakistan

8. Profits, not principals, move the age

9. Staring at the abyss

10. Iran launches new phase in nuclear crisis

(Feb 5-7, 2010)

Pick of the month Jan 2010
Obama's Yemeni odyssey targets China
- M K Bhadrakumar










ATol Specials


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  VIDEO
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Inheritance
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Mark Perry and
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By Pepe Escobar with photographs by Kevin Nortz

   Nir Rosen goes inside the Iraqi resistance

Nir Rosen rides with the US 3rd Armored Cavalry in western Iraq



 
 


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